Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC
Next earnings Aug 3, 2026 (after close) · consensus $2.36 EPS, $1.75B rev
Last earnings +3.0% on 2026-04-30
Cheap, high-return specialty P&C insurer: 17.5% ROE at just 13x earnings, with strong cash flow and disciplined capital returns.
Diluted EPS $10.08 · FY2025
The fundamentals carry the rating, but the price is rich (~40% above our fair-value estimate) — a quality-at-a-price call. The case rests on the business, not the entry; patient buyers may wait for a pullback.
American Financial Group is a specialty property & casualty insurer with a long record of underwriting discipline and high returns on capital. Even in a softer FY2025 the franchise delivered a 17.5% return on equity and a 10.3% net margin — strong for the insurance industry — while stockholders' equity grew 7.9% to $4.82B, reflecting solid internal capital generation. Operating cash flow jumped 33.1% to $1.53B, underscoring healthy underlying cash conversion.
FY2025 was a modest down year: revenue slipped 1.8% to $8.17B, net income fell 5.1% to $842M and diluted EPS eased 4.6% to $10.08, broadly consistent with the past few years' normalization from the elevated $2.00B of FY2021. This is a mature, cyclical specialty franchise rather than a grower, and the slight dip is well within normal underwriting/investment-cycle variation. The balance sheet carries insurer-typical leverage (liabilities/equity 5.77x, mostly reserves), with $1.73B cash (+22.8%) and $1.82B of debt.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:49 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.55B | $7.04B | $7.83B | $8.32B | $8.17B |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | $1.33B | $1.12B | $1.07B | $1.12B | $1.07B |
| Net income | $2.00B | $898M | $852M | $887M | $842M |
| Diluted EPS | $23.30 | $10.53 | $10.05 | $10.57 | $10.08 |
| Net margin | 30.4% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% |
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001042046, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-07) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:49:42 PM.
Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.
Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 2 sales
| 2026-06-24 | Gillis Michelle A Senior Vice President | Sell | 2.25K @ $139.00 | $312K |
| 2026-06-23 | Thompson David Lawrence Jr President of Subsidiary | Sell | 11.4K @ $135.05 | $1.54M |
| 2026-06-01 | Nwankwo Evans N Director | Award | 1.30K | |
| 2026-06-01 | Newport Roger K Director | Award | 1.30K | |
| 2026-06-01 | Murray Amy Y Director | Award | 1.30K | |
| 2026-06-01 | Martin Mary Beth Director | Award | 1.30K | |
| 2026-06-01 | VERITY WILLIAM W Director | Award | 1.30K | |
| 2026-06-01 | JOSEPH GREGORY G Director | Award | 1.30K |
Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.
Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
1 buy · 1 sell · 1 member · last 180d
Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.
1194 tracked peers · median
Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.