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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›AFG

AFG

AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC

Next earnings Aug 3, 2026 (after close) · consensus $2.36 EPS, $1.75B rev

Last earnings +3.0% on 2026-04-30

Buy
$142.75
▲ +2.04%
$142.75▲ +20.35%
over 1Y
L $116.97H $142.75
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+2.0%
1W+5.0%
1M+10.8%
3M+10.8%
YTD+8.6%
1Y+20.4%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Buy
Quality
B
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Watch
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 12 analysts
Buy

Cheap, high-return specialty P&C insurer: 17.5% ROE at just 13x earnings, with strong cash flow and disciplined capital returns.

Diluted EPS $10.08 · FY2025

The read

The fundamentals carry the rating, but the price is rich (~40% above our fair-value estimate) — a quality-at-a-price call. The case rests on the business, not the entry; patient buyers may wait for a pullback.

American Financial Group is a specialty property & casualty insurer with a long record of underwriting discipline and high returns on capital. Even in a softer FY2025 the franchise delivered a 17.5% return on equity and a 10.3% net margin — strong for the insurance industry — while stockholders' equity grew 7.9% to $4.82B, reflecting solid internal capital generation. Operating cash flow jumped 33.1% to $1.53B, underscoring healthy underlying cash conversion.

FY2025 was a modest down year: revenue slipped 1.8% to $8.17B, net income fell 5.1% to $842M and diluted EPS eased 4.6% to $10.08, broadly consistent with the past few years' normalization from the elevated $2.00B of FY2021. This is a mature, cyclical specialty franchise rather than a grower, and the slight dip is well within normal underwriting/investment-cycle variation. The balance sheet carries insurer-typical leverage (liabilities/equity 5.77x, mostly reserves), with $1.73B cash (+22.8%) and $1.82B of debt.

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:49 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$6.55B$7.04B$7.83B$8.32B$8.17B
Gross profit—————
Operating income$1.33B$1.12B$1.07B$1.12B$1.07B
Net income$2.00B$898M$852M$887M$842M
Diluted EPS$23.30$10.53$10.05$10.57$10.08
Net margin30.4%12.8%10.9%10.7%10.3%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value—
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales—
EV / FCF—
P / FCF—
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield7.2%
FCF yield—

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)12.8%
Free cash flow—
Total debt$1.82B
Net cash-$93.0M
Piotroski F-Score4/7

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.8%
Dividend yield (est.)5.2%
Shareholder yield6.0%
Shares Δ YoY-0.8%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Some governance/structural items recently, but no outright red flags.
  1. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-21
  2. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-07
  3. 8-K Earnings results2026-04-30
  4. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-03
  5. 10-K Annual report2026-02-25
  6. 8-K Officer / director change2026-02-18
  7. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-04
  8. 8-K Other event2025-12-05
  9. 10-Q Quarterly report2025-11-06

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-242026-06-25open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-232026-06-24open ↗144Filing2026-06-24open ↗144Filing2026-06-17open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-012026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-012026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-012026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-012026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-012026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-012026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-012026-06-02open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-202026-05-21open ↗

Quality score

B
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueA
GrowthF
ProfitabilityB
Financial healthA-
MomentumA+
  • ✗Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$85.68

Overvalued -40% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $10.08 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 0.0% growth) × 1.00 quality = 8.5× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

116.9752-week142.75
Revenue
$8.17B
-1.8% YoY
Net margin
10.3%
ROE
17.5%
P/E
14.2

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$8.17B-1.8%
Net income$842M-5.1%
Operating income$1.07B-4.5%
Diluted EPS$10.08-4.6%
Cash & equivalents$1.73B+22.8%
Total assets$32.6B+5.9%
Total liabilities$27.8B+5.5%
Stockholders' equity$4.82B+7.9%
Op.: 13.1%L/E: 5.77x

Frequently asked

Is AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC (AFG) a buy?
AFG currently carries a Buy rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Cheap, high-return specialty P&C insurer: 17.5% ROE at just 13x earnings, with strong cash flow and disciplined capital returns.
What is AFG's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on AFG's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $85.68. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is AFG overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, AFG currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC's quality score?
AFG scores 72.20666952605619/100 (grade B) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001042046, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-07) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:49:42 PM.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 2 sales

2026-06-24
Gillis Michelle A
Senior Vice President
Sell2.25K @ $139.00$312K
2026-06-23
Thompson David Lawrence Jr
President of Subsidiary
Sell11.4K @ $135.05$1.54M
2026-06-01
Nwankwo Evans N
Director
Award1.30K
2026-06-01
Newport Roger K
Director
Award1.30K
2026-06-01
Murray Amy Y
Director
Award1.30K
2026-06-01
Martin Mary Beth
Director
Award1.30K
2026-06-01
VERITY WILLIAM W
Director
Award1.30K
2026-06-01
JOSEPH GREGORY G
Director
Award1.30K

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
5.5%
Annual / share
$7.82
Last ex-date
2026-07-15
Last amount
$0.88
ex 2026-07-15paid 2026-07-24$0.88
ex 2026-04-15paid 2026-04-24$0.88
ex 2026-02-13paid 2026-02-25$1.50
ex 2026-01-15paid 2026-01-27$0.88
ex 2025-11-17paid 2025-11-26$2.00
ex 2025-10-15paid 2025-10-24$0.88

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-04-30Miss -3.6% est▲ +2.97%8-K ↗
2026-02-04Beat +9.1% est▼ -3.12%8-K ↗
2025-11-05Beat +6.1% est▲ +2.80%8-K ↗
2025-08-06Beat +1.7% est▲ +2.69%8-K ↗
2025-05-07—▼ -6.14%8-K ↗
2025-02-05—▼ -6.23%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

1 buy · 1 sell · 1 member · last 180d

+$0.00 net boughtlast trade 496d ago
$8.00K bought$8.00K sold
2026-01-13Julia LetlowBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-01-13Julia LetlowSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2016-08-15Luis V. GutierrezBuy$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Recent news

market news →
KNSL Stock Trades Above 50-Day SMA: What Should Investors Do?Bullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-03
A Look Back at Property & Casualty Insurance Stocks’ Q1 Earnings: Bowhead Specialty (NYSE:BOW) Vs The Rest Of The PackBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-01
The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Marsh & McLennan, American International, American Financial and AccelerantBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-01
Looking Beyond Tech? Here Are 3 Buy-Rated Insurance StocksBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-30
Implied Volatility Surging for American Financial Stock OptionsBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-30
Australian Finance Group (ASX:AFG) Shares Fair Value Moves Lower As Analysts Turn More CautiousBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-28

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1194 tracked peers · median

TENK Score72 vs 67
Revenue growth-1.8% vs 7.5%
Net margin10.3% vs 10.0%
Return on equity17.5% vs 12.0%
P/E14.2 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 21d
Bullish
+0.16
vs typical · 28 articles

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.