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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›AFL

AFL

AFLAC INC

Next earnings Aug 6, 2026 (after close) · consensus $1.80 EPS, $4.25B rev

Last earnings -0.1% on 2026-04-29

Hold
$120.88
▲ +0.67%
$120.88▲ +17.50%
over 1Y
L $96.04H $120.88
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+0.7%
1W+2.2%
1M+6.4%
3M+10.0%
YTD+10.8%
1Y+17.5%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
B
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Flagged
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 23 analysts
Hold

Well-capitalized, buyback-heavy insurer at a fair ~17x P/E, but yen-driven revenue erosion and a 33% earnings drop cap the upside.

Revenue $17.2B · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~50% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

Aflac is a high-quality accident & health insurer whose reported results are dominated by Aflac Japan, and the FY2025 numbers show the double-edge of that exposure. Revenue fell to $17.2B (-9.3%) — the fourth decline in five years, from $21.6B in FY2021 — and net income dropped 33% to $3.65B with diluted EPS off 29% to $6.82. The 10-K makes clear much of this is translation-driven: 'in periods when the Japanese yen weakens against the dollar, translating Japanese yen into U.S. dollars causes fewer U.S. dollars to be reported,' and yen weakness also 'adversely affect[s] the value of the Company's Japanese yen-denominated investments in U.S. dollar terms.' So the top-line shrinkage overstates operational decay, but the earnings hit is real and the hedging program carries its own risk — management warns that a sharp yen strengthening 'could cause cash strain at the Parent Company' via collateral and settlement requirements, and that long-term yen weakening could drive 'significant derivative losses' and rollover hedge-cost pressure.

Underneath the currency noise the balance sheet is a genuine strength. Stockholders' equity grew 13% to $29.5B, liabilities/equity is a conservative 2.95x for an insurer, cash held at $6.25B, and retained earnings rose to $54.7B. Capital return is aggressive and shareholder-friendly: $3.53B of buybacks (+26%) plus $1.20B of dividends (+10%) returned $4.73B — more than the year's net income — shrinking the share count 5.5%. That buyback intensity is a real per-share tailwind even in a flat-revenue world.

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 30, 2026, 9:30 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$21.6B$19.1B$18.7B$18.9B$17.2B
Gross profit—————
Operating income$4.93B$4.16B———
Net income$4.23B$4.42B$4.66B$5.44B$3.65B
Diluted EPS$6.25$6.93$7.78$9.63$6.82
Net margin19.6%23.1%24.9%28.8%21.2%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value—
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales—
EV / FCF—
P / FCF—
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield5.9%
FCF yield—

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)11.1%
Free cash flow—
Total debt—
Net cash$6.25B
Piotroski F-Score3/6

Capital returns

Buyback yield5.7%
Dividend yield (est.)1.9%
Shareholder yield7.7%
Shares Δ YoY-5.5%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has skewed negative — read the flagged items.
  1. 8-K Other event2026-06-30

    Other-event disclosure (Item 8.01); no financials attached, standalone update to investors

  2. 8-K Other event2026-05-28

    Other-event notice with exhibits; likely note offering/corporate update, no earnings impact stated

  3. 8-K Other event2026-05-14

    Other-event notice with exhibits; procedural disclosure, no change to guidance

  4. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-07

    Annual-meeting voting results filed (Item 5.07); directors and proposals ratified

  5. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-06

    Q1 2026 10-Q (period 3/31); ongoing buybacks and dividend, yen/hedge risk persists

  6. 8-K Earnings results2026-04-29

    Q1 2026 earnings release furnished (Items 2.02/7.01); routine quarterly results

  7. S-3 Shelf registration (potential raise)2026-04-23

    Shelf registration refreshed; enables future debt/equity issuance, no immediate dilution

  8. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-03-19

    2026 proxy: board slate, exec pay and auditor up for vote; routine governance

  9. 10-K Annual report2026-02-25

    FY2025 10-K: revenue -9.3% to $17.2B, EPS -29% to $6.82; equity +13%, buybacks $3.5B

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-302026-06-30open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-222026-06-24open ↗S-3ASRFiling2026-06-24open ↗11-KPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-06-23open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-222026-06-23open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-182026-06-23open ↗144Filing2026-06-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-172026-06-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-162026-06-18open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-152026-06-17open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-16open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-112026-06-15open ↗

Quality score

B
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueB
GrowthF
ProfitabilityA
Financial healthA-
MomentumA+
  • ✗Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$60.87

Overvalued -50% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $6.82 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 0.0% growth) × 1.05 quality = 8.9× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

96.0452-week120.88
Revenue
$17.2B
-9.3% YoY
Net margin
21.2%
ROE
12.4%
P/E
17.7

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$17.2B-9.3%
Net income$3.65B-33.0%
Operating income$4.16B-15.7%
Diluted EPS$6.82-29.2%
Cash & equivalents$6.25B+0.3%
Total assets$116B-0.9%
Total liabilities$87.0B-4.9%
Stockholders' equity$29.5B+13.0%
Op.: 24.2%L/E: 2.95x

Frequently asked

Is AFLAC INC (AFL) a buy?
AFL currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Well-capitalized, buyback-heavy insurer at a fair ~17x P/E, but yen-driven revenue erosion and a 33% earnings drop cap the upside.
What is AFL's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on AFL's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $60.87. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is AFL overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, AFL currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is AFLAC INC's quality score?
AFL scores 70.53326671108151/100 (grade B) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000004977, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-06) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 7/1/2026, 1:30:49 AM.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 17 sales

2026-06-22
MOSKOWITZ JOSEPH L
Director
Exercise20.3K @ $44.59$905K
2026-06-22
MOSKOWITZ JOSEPH L
Director
Sell4.60K @ $116.54$536K
2026-06-22
MOSKOWITZ JOSEPH L
Director
Sell7.77K @ $116.54$906K
2026-06-22
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
10% owner
Sell23.4K @ $116.57$2.73M
2026-06-22
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
10% owner
Sell4.43K @ $117.46$520K
2026-06-18
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
10% owner
Sell600.00 @ $116.06$69.6K
2026-06-18
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
10% owner
Sell2.70K @ $117.11$316K
2026-06-17
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
10% owner
Sell25.4K @ $116.59$2.96M
2026-06-17
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
10% owner
Sell918.00 @ $117.34$108K
2026-06-16
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
10% owner
Sell21.7K @ $117.24$2.55M
2026-06-16
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
10% owner
Sell8.28K @ $117.79$976K
2026-06-15
Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.
10% owner
Sell28.1K @ $117.15$3.29M

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
2.0%
Annual / share
$2.38
Last ex-date
2026-05-20
Last amount
$0.61
ex 2026-05-20paid 2026-06-01$0.61
ex 2026-02-18paid 2026-03-02$0.61
ex 2025-11-19paid 2025-12-01$0.58
ex 2025-08-20paid 2025-09-02$0.58
ex 2025-05-21paid 2025-06-02$0.58
ex 2025-02-19paid 2025-03-03$0.58

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-04-29Miss -4.4% est▼ -0.07%8-K ↗
2026-02-04Miss -8.3% est▲ +1.41%8-K ↗
2025-11-04Beat +38.8% est▲ +1.72%8-K ↗
2025-08-05Beat +3.7% est▲ +0.37%8-K ↗
2025-04-30—▲ +0.07%8-K ↗
2025-02-05—▲ +0.50%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

Disclosed under the STOCK Act

2025-04-11Carol Devine MillerBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2021-05-28Sara JacobsSell$50.0K–$100KPTR ↗
2015-08-06Thomas MacArthurSell$100K–$250KPTR ↗
2015-08-06Thomas MacArthurSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2015-04-11Thomas MacArthurBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2015-03-11Thomas MacArthurBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2015-03-05Thomas MacArthurBuy$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗
2015-03-05Thomas MacArthurBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Recent news

market news →
Aflac (AFL) Stock Looks Rich On Its Japan Cyber BreachBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-02
3 Unpopular Stocks We Find RiskyBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-02
How Aflac’s Omnibus Shelf and Fit Checks Campaign At Aflac (AFL) Has Changed Its Investment StoryBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-02
The 3 Best Dividend Aristocrats for 2026: The Halftime ScorecardBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-01
3 Overrated Stocks We Approach with CautionBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-01
Aflac Incorporated to Release Second Quarter Results and CFO Video Update on August 6, 2026 and Host Webcast on August 7, 2026Bullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-30

Vs Financials peers

compare →

185 tracked peers · median

TENK Score71 vs 73
Revenue growth-9.3% vs 7.7%
Net margin21.2% vs 21.5%
Return on equity12.4% vs 12.1%
P/E17.7 vs 15.3
Peers
WTMJHGRNRALLPRIPGROMFSLM

News sentiment

EODHD · 29d
Bullish
+0.06
vs typical · 48 articles
↑ improving

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.