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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›BABA

BABA

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd

Next earnings Aug 27, 2026 · consensus $10.13 EPS, $275B rev

Hold
$96.14
▲ +0.66%
$96.14▼ -14.95%
over 1Y
L $94.81H $187.62
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+0.7%
1W+1.1%
1M-25.8%
3M-20.5%
YTD-37.7%
1Y-15.0%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
C-
Valuation
Overvalued
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 48 analysts
Buy

Cheap (~1.3x sales, ~13x market-cap earnings) with cloud/AI upside, but collapsing operating profit and halved cash flow keep it a hold.

Revenue $148B · FY2026

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~93% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

On the surface BABA looks deceptively expensive — the headline 133.9 P/E pairs a per-ADS price ($107.10) with per-ordinary-share diluted EPS ($0.80), a units mismatch. The cleaner read uses the provided figures directly: a $199B market cap against $15.0B of net income is ~13x earnings, and P/S is just 1.3x on $148B of revenue. For a dominant commerce franchise with a fast-growing cloud/AI arm and a fortress balance sheet, that is a genuinely cheap multiple, not a stretched one. Revenue is also reaccelerating — $148B (+8.1%) is a fresh high after the FY23 dip ($126B), so the top line is not the problem.

The problem is earnings quality. Operating income fell 62.6% to $7.27B, compressing operating margin to just 4.9%, yet net income only fell 16.2% to $15.0B — meaning the bottom line is being propped up by non-operating items rather than the core business. Operating cash flow tells the same story, down 51% to $11.0B even as revenue grew. ROE is a mediocre 9.8%. This is the signature of a company plowing money into competition and growth bets (R&D up 22.5% to $9.64B, presumably AI/cloud) at the expense of present-day profitability and cash generation. Whether that depressed margin is a discretionary investment cycle that reverses, or competitive erosion that sticks, is the central unknown — and the filing's Risk Factors/MD&A narrative was not provided here, so I can't lean on management's framing.

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Revenue$135B$126B$130B$137B$148B
Gross profit—————
Operating income$11.0B$14.6B$15.7B$19.4B$7.27B
Net income$9.82B$10.6B$11.1B$17.9B$15.0B
Diluted EPS$0.45$0.50$0.54$0.92$0.80
Net margin7.3%8.4%8.5%13.1%10.1%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$213B
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales1.4
EV / FCF—
P / FCF—
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield6.5%
FCF yield—

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)3.7%
Free cash flow—
Total debt$1.10B
Net cash$18.0B
Piotroski F-Score3/7

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.5%
Dividend yield (est.)2.1%
Shareholder yield2.6%
Shares Δ YoY-89.9%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-292026-07-01open ↗144Filing2026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-06-262026-06-26open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-06-182026-06-18open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-06-182026-06-18open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-06-092026-06-09open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-06-032026-06-03open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-292026-06-02open ↗

Quality score

C-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueC-
GrowthD
ProfitabilityC+
Financial healthA-
MomentumF
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✗P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$6.80

Overvalued -93% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $0.80 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 0.0% growth) × 1.00 quality = 8.5× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

94.8152-week187.62
Revenue
$148B
+8.1% YoY
Net margin
10.1%
ROE
9.8%
P/E
120.2

SEC fundamentals · FY 2026

'22'23'24'25'26

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$148B+8.1%
Net income$15.0B-16.2%
Operating income$7.27B-62.6%
Diluted EPS$0.80-13.0%
Cash & equivalents$19.1B-4.9%
Total assets$277B+11.3%
Total liabilities$114B+15.4%
Stockholders' equity$154B+10.5%
Op.: 4.9%L/E: 0.74x

Frequently asked

Is Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA) a buy?
BABA currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Cheap (~1.3x sales, ~13x market-cap earnings) with cloud/AI upside, but collapsing operating profit and halved cash flow keep it a hold.
What is BABA's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on BABA's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $6.80. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is BABA overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, BABA currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is Alibaba Group Holding Ltd's quality score?
BABA scores 53.966082749191166/100 (grade C-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001577552, latest 4 filed 2026-07-01) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/19/2026, 6:04:52 PM.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 6 sales

2026-06-29
EVANS J. MICHAEL
President
Sell693K @ $94.92$65.8M
2026-06-29
EVANS J. MICHAEL
President
Sell27.0K @ $95.59$2.58M
2026-06-25
Jiang Fan (FJ)
CEO of Business Group
Exercise7.34K
2026-06-25
Jiang Fan (FJ)
CEO of Business Group
Exercise7.33K
2026-06-25
Jiang Fan (FJ)
CEO of Business Group
Exercise15.5K
2026-06-25
Jiang Fan (FJ)
CEO of Business Group
Sell13.6K @ $12.10$164K
2026-06-25
Xu Hong
Chief Financial Officer
Exercise10.0K
2026-06-25
Xu Hong
Chief Financial Officer
Exercise360K
2026-06-25
Xu Hong
Chief Financial Officer
Exercise9.00K
2026-06-25
Xu Hong
Chief Financial Officer
Exercise10.0K
2026-06-25
Xu Hong
Chief Financial Officer
Sell175K @ $12.15$2.13M
2026-06-25
Yu Siying
General Counsel
Exercise3.34K

Dividends

Annual
Yield (TTM)
1.1%
Annual / share
$1.05
Last ex-date
2026-06-11
Last amount
$1.05
ex 2026-06-11paid 2026-07-13$1.05
ex 2025-06-12paid 2025-07-10$1.98
ex 2024-06-13paid 2024-07-12$1.64
ex 2023-12-20paid 2024-01-18$0.98

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Congressional trades

all activity →

1 buy · 1 member · last 180d

+$75.0K net boughtlast trade 146d ago
$75.0K bought$0.00 sold
2026-03-09Gilbert CisnerosBuy$50.0K–$100KPTR ↗
2025-12-15Gilbert CisnerosBuy$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗
2025-11-21Lisa McClainSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-11-21Lisa McClainBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-11-21Lisa McClainSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-11-18Gilbert CisnerosBuy$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗
2025-11-18Gilbert CisnerosBuy$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗
2025-10-05Sheri BiggsSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-08-13Lisa McClainBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-08-13Lisa McClainSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-08-13Lisa McClainBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-08-11Laurel LeeSell$100K–$250KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Recent news

market news →
China proposes broader e-commerce law covering platforms and digital businessesBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-04
Alibaba bars employees from using Anthropic's Claude CodeBullish
seekingalpha.com· 2026-07-03
Alibaba Group Holding Limited (BABA) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should KnowBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-03
Alibaba, Tencent back Kuaishou's Kling AI in $2.8 billion fundraiseBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-03
Home Control Upgrades Singapore Headquarters: Deepens Regional Strategic Footprint and Strengthens Healthcare Ecosystem CollaborationBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-03
Alibaba's Damai International Introduces New Label, Launches Global Artist InitiativeBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-03

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score54 vs 67
Revenue growth8.1% vs 7.5%
Net margin10.1% vs 10.0%
Return on equity9.8% vs 12.0%
P/E120.2 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 60d
Bearish
-0.47
vs typical · 530 articles
↓ cooling

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.