Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd
Next earnings Aug 27, 2026 · consensus $10.13 EPS, $275B rev
Cheap (~1.3x sales, ~13x market-cap earnings) with cloud/AI upside, but collapsing operating profit and halved cash flow keep it a hold.
Revenue $148B · FY2026
Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~93% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.
On the surface BABA looks deceptively expensive — the headline 133.9 P/E pairs a per-ADS price ($107.10) with per-ordinary-share diluted EPS ($0.80), a units mismatch. The cleaner read uses the provided figures directly: a $199B market cap against $15.0B of net income is ~13x earnings, and P/S is just 1.3x on $148B of revenue. For a dominant commerce franchise with a fast-growing cloud/AI arm and a fortress balance sheet, that is a genuinely cheap multiple, not a stretched one. Revenue is also reaccelerating — $148B (+8.1%) is a fresh high after the FY23 dip ($126B), so the top line is not the problem.
The problem is earnings quality. Operating income fell 62.6% to $7.27B, compressing operating margin to just 4.9%, yet net income only fell 16.2% to $15.0B — meaning the bottom line is being propped up by non-operating items rather than the core business. Operating cash flow tells the same story, down 51% to $11.0B even as revenue grew. ROE is a mediocre 9.8%. This is the signature of a company plowing money into competition and growth bets (R&D up 22.5% to $9.64B, presumably AI/cloud) at the expense of present-day profitability and cash generation. Whether that depressed margin is a discretionary investment cycle that reverses, or competitive erosion that sticks, is the central unknown — and the filing's Risk Factors/MD&A narrative was not provided here, so I can't lean on management's framing.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
| Line item | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $135B | $126B | $130B | $137B | $148B |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | $11.0B | $14.6B | $15.7B | $19.4B | $7.27B |
| Net income | $9.82B | $10.6B | $11.1B | $17.9B | $15.0B |
| Diluted EPS | $0.45 | $0.50 | $0.54 | $0.92 | $0.80 |
| Net margin | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 10.1% |
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001577552, latest 4 filed 2026-07-01) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/19/2026, 6:04:52 PM.
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Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.
1195 tracked peers · median
Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.