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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›CG

CG

Carlyle Group Inc.

Next earnings Aug 4, 2026 (before open) · consensus $0.95 EPS, $930M rev

Last earnings -3.5% on 2026-05-07

Hold
$42.83
▲ +5.70%
$42.83▼ -14.10%
over 1Y
L $40.52H $67.95
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+5.7%
1W+2.2%
1M-3.7%
3M-7.3%
YTD-28.7%
1Y-14.1%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
C
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Watch
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 24 analysts
Buy

Diversified alt-asset manager with scaling credit AUM, but volatile carry-driven earnings keep it a hold near 20x.

P/E 20.6 · current

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~57% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

Carlyle is one of the world's largest alternative-asset managers, operating three segments — Global Private Equity ($163.5B AUM), Global Credit ($211.3B AUM) and Carlyle AlpInvest ($102.0B AUM). The credit franchise is now the largest leg, reflecting the industry-wide shift toward private credit and insurance solutions, and gives Carlyle a more durable fee base than its legacy PE-heavy mix. The 10-K's market commentary highlights a record-wide public-private valuation gap (buyout multiples at 11.2x EBITDA vs. 17.7x for public markets), which the firm frames as an opportunity for deployment.

The earnings, however, remain lumpy. FY2025 revenue fell 11.9% to $4.78B and net income dropped 20.7% to $809M ($2.18 diluted EPS), continuing a volatile multi-year pattern (revenue swung from $8.78B in FY2021 to $2.96B in FY2023 to $4.78B in FY2025) that reflects the carried-interest cyclicality inherent to the model. The negative operating cash flow of -$3.28B is largely a function of consolidated fund investment activity rather than business distress. Management is returning capital — $687M of buybacks (+23.8%) and a steady $505M dividend.

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:43 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$8.78B$4.44B$2.96B$5.43B$4.78B
Gross profit—————
Operating income—————
Net income$2.97B$1.23B-$608M$1.02B$809M
Diluted EPS$8.20$3.35-$1.68$2.77$2.18
Net margin33.9%27.6%-20.5%18.8%16.9%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value—
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales—
EV / FCF—
P / FCF—
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield5.2%
FCF yield-21.9%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)—
Free cash flow-$3.37B
Total debt$144M
Net cash$1.83B
Piotroski F-Score3/7

Capital returns

Buyback yield4.5%
Dividend yield (est.)3.3%
Shareholder yield7.7%
Shares Δ YoY-0.0%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Some governance/structural items recently, but no outright red flags.
  1. 8-K Officer / director change2026-06-05
  2. 8-K Officer / director change2026-06-01
  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-08
  4. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-07
  5. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-23
  6. 10-K Annual report2026-02-27
  7. 8-K Reg FD disclosure2026-02-26
  8. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-06
  9. 8-K Officer / director change2025-12-05

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-032026-06-05open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-012026-06-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-282026-05-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-282026-05-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-282026-05-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-282026-05-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-282026-05-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-282026-05-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-282026-05-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-282026-05-29open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-05-15open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-05-15open ↗

Quality score

C
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueB
GrowthF
ProfitabilityB
Financial healthA-
MomentumF
  • ✗Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$18.53

Overvalued -57% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $2.18 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 0.0% growth) × 1.00 quality = 8.5× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

40.5252-week67.94
Revenue
$4.78B
-11.9% YoY
Net margin
16.9%
ROE
11.5%
P/E
19.6

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$4.78B-11.9%
Net income$809M-20.7%
Diluted EPS$2.18-21.3%
Cash & equivalents$1.97B+55.6%
Total assets$29.1B+26.0%
Total liabilities$22.1B+31.6%
Stockholders' equity$7.06B+11.2%
L/E: 3.13x

Frequently asked

Is Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) a buy?
CG currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Diversified alt-asset manager with scaling credit AUM, but volatile carry-driven earnings keep it a hold near 20x.
What is CG's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on CG's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $18.53. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is CG overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, CG currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is Carlyle Group Inc.'s quality score?
CG scores 57.01454530033899/100 (grade C) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001527166, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-08) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:43:38 PM.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-05-28
LoBue Lindsay
Chief Operating Officer
Award3.12K
2026-05-28
Jenkins Mark David
Co-President
Award7.63K
2026-05-28
Plouffe Justin
Chief Financial Officer
Award4.08K
2026-05-28
Andrews Charles Elliott Jr.
Chief Accounting Officer
Award409.00
2026-05-28
Nedelman Jeffrey
Co-President
Award7.73K
2026-05-28
Redett John C.
Co-President
Award10.8K
2026-05-28
Ferguson Jeffrey W.
General Counsel
Award1.27K
2026-05-28
SCHWARTZ HARVEY M
Chief Executive Officer
Award20.7K

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
3.3%
Annual / share
$1.40
Last ex-date
2026-05-18
Last amount
$0.35
ex 2026-05-18paid 2026-05-28$0.35
ex 2026-02-13paid 2026-02-20$0.35
ex 2025-11-10paid 2025-11-19$0.35
ex 2025-08-18paid 2025-08-28$0.35
ex 2025-05-19paid 2025-05-27$0.35
ex 2025-02-21paid 2025-02-28$0.35

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-07Miss -8.4% est▼ -3.52%8-K ↗
2026-02-06Miss -2.1% est▲ +5.96%8-K ↗
2025-10-31Miss -7.6% est▼ -5.74%8-K ↗
2025-08-06Miss -0.6% est▲ +4.66%8-K ↗
2025-05-08—▲ +3.28%8-K ↗
2025-02-11—▼ -3.69%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

Disclosed under the STOCK Act

2025-06-22Jefferson ShreveSell$50.0K–$100KPTR ↗
2025-05-08Jefferson ShreveBuy$50.0K–$100KPTR ↗
2025-05-08Jefferson ShreveSell$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗
2025-04-11Jefferson ShreveSell$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗
2023-02-09Shri ThanedarSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2023-02-09Shri ThanedarSell$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Recent news

market news →
Asset Management Stocks Q1 Results: Benchmarking Artisan Partners (NYSE:APAM)Bullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-02
Surventis launches as an independent global leader in automotive coatings and surface treatmentBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-01
10 mega and large-cap financial stocks posting the weakest momentum trendsBearish
seekingalpha.com· 2026-06-24
Carlyle Unveils New Climate Risk Framework for Its $475 Billion PortfolioBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-24
Sector Update: Financial Stocks Higher Late Afternoon
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-22
Carlyle Group (CG) Stock Valuation Check After Recent Mixed Performance And 26% Undervaluation ViewBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-15

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1194 tracked peers · median

TENK Score57 vs 67
Revenue growth-11.9% vs 7.5%
Net margin16.9% vs 10.0%
Return on equity11.5% vs 12.0%
P/E19.6 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 33d
Bearish
-0.09
vs typical · 71 articles
↓ cooling

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.