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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›CME

CME

CME GROUP INC.

Next earnings Jul 22, 2026 (before open) · consensus $3.01 EPS, $1.74B rev

Last earnings +0.5% on 2026-04-22

Buy
$236.60
▲ +8.24%
$236.60▼ -10.54%
over 1Y
L $218.58H $317.19
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+8.2%
1W+5.2%
1M-5.1%
3M-22.1%
YTD-9.7%
1Y-10.5%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Buy
Quality
B-
Valuation
Fair value
Filings
Clean
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 21 analysts
Hold

Wide-moat derivatives monopoly compounding at high margins; ~22x earnings is a fair price for this quality.

Diluted EPS $11.16 · FY2025

The read

Solid fundamentals at a roughly fair price — reasonable risk/reward at today's level.

CME is a structurally advantaged exchange and clearing house, and the numbers show it: FY2025 revenue of $6.52B (+6.4% YoY) carries a 64.9% operating margin and a 62.5% net margin, with net income of $4.07B (+15.5%) and diluted EPS of $11.16 (+15.4%). The growth is steady rather than cyclical-looking — revenue has stepped up every year from $4.69B (FY2021) to $6.52B (FY2025) and net income from $2.64B to $4.07B over the same span. The MD&A confirms the engine: aggregate average daily volume rose 6% to 28,129K contracts with broad-based strength (interest rates +4%, equity indexes +8%, energy +8%, agricultural +8%, metals +34%), and average rate per contract held firm at $0.696 (+1%), so growth came from volume and product expansion rather than pricing erosion. Clearing and transaction fees (+6% to $5,281.1M) and market-data revenue (+13% to $803.1M) both grew. Cash generation is excellent — operating cash flow of $4.28B (+15.9%) against just $83.5M of capex — funding a $3.93B dividend (+9.7%).

The balance sheet looks alarming at first glance (liabilities/equity of 5.91x, total assets +44.4% to $198B), but this is the mechanical footprint of a clearing house: current assets ($165B) and current liabilities ($160B) are dominated by performance-bond and customer collateral balances that net out, not corporate borrowings. Tellingly, current portion of debt is $0 and cash rose 52.7% to $4.42B. ROE of 14.2% understates the economics because equity is inflated; the relevant signal is the 60%+ margins and high free cash conversion. A notable swing was non-operating income jumping 81% to $1,101M, which flattered the 15% net-income growth versus the 6% revenue line — investors should not extrapolate that full pace.

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 11:06 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$4.69B$5.02B$5.58B$6.13B$6.52B
Gross profit—————
Operating income$2.65B$3.02B$3.44B$3.93B$4.23B
Net income$2.64B$2.69B$3.23B$3.53B$4.07B
Diluted EPS$7.29$7.40$8.86$9.67$11.16
Net margin56.2%53.6%57.8%57.5%62.5%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$81.1B
EV / EBITDA18.7
EV / Sales12.4
EV / FCF19.3
P / FCF20.4
PEG (trailing)1.37
Earnings yield4.8%
FCF yield4.9%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)11.6%
Free cash flow$4.19B
Total debt$0.00
Net cash$4.42B
Altman Z-Score0.48 distress
Piotroski F-Score4/7

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.0%
Dividend yield (est.)4.6%
Shareholder yield4.6%
Shares Δ YoY+0.1%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has been improving.
  1. 8-K Officer / director change2026-06-17

    Executive/board leadership change announced (Item 5.02) plus Reg FD disclosure

  2. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-06-10

    Special/shareholder meeting voting results reported (Item 5.07)

  3. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-19

    Annual meeting voting results: directors elected, routine proposals decided

  4. 8-K Material agreement2026-04-27

    Entered a material definitive agreement (Item 1.01)

  5. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-04-24

    Q1 2026 (period 3/31): trading volumes underpin continued revenue growth

  6. 8-K Earnings results2026-04-22

    Q1 2026 earnings release; growth momentum on high market volatility

  7. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-03-23

    2026 proxy: board nominations and executive comp put to shareholder vote

  8. 10-K Annual report2026-02-26

    FY2025 10-K: record revenue $6.52B, op margin 64.9%, EPS +15%, ADV +6%

  9. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-04

    FY2025 results: revenue $6.52B +6%, net income $4.07B +16%, EPS $11.16

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-252026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-012026-06-29open ↗

Quality score

B-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueC-
GrowthB+
ProfitabilityA
Financial healthC+
MomentumD
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✗Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$262.61

Fairly valued +11% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $11.16 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 10.9% growth) × 0.95 quality = 23.5× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

218.5852-week317.19
Revenue
$6.52B
+6.4% YoY
Net margin
62.5%
ROE
14.2%
P/E
21.2

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$6.52B+6.4%
Net income$4.07B+15.5%
Operating income$4.23B+7.6%
Diluted EPS$11.16+15.4%
Cash & equivalents$4.42B+52.7%
Total assets$198B+44.4%
Total liabilities$170B+52.9%
Stockholders' equity$28.7B+8.5%
Op.: 64.9%L/E: 5.91x

Frequently asked

Is CME GROUP INC. (CME) a buy?
CME currently carries a Buy rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Wide-moat derivatives monopoly compounding at high margins; ~22x earnings is a fair price for this quality.
What is CME's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on CME's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $262.61. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is CME overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, CME currently appears fairly valued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is CME GROUP INC.'s quality score?
CME scores 66.2553307148074/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001156375, latest 10-Q filed 2026-04-24) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 3:06:14 PM.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 2 open-market buys · 0 sales

2026-06-25
Tierney Robert J JR
Director
Award645.00 @ $225.00$145K
2026-06-25
GEPSMAN MARTIN J
Director
Award645.00 @ $225.00$145K
2026-06-25
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
Award645.00 @ $225.00$145K
2026-06-25
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
Award422.00 @ $225.00$95.0K
2026-06-25
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
Buy14.32 @ $230.57$3.30K
2026-06-25
SHEPARD WILLIAM R
Director
Buy324.78 @ $230.57$74.9K
2026-06-25
Seifu Rahael
Director
Award645.00 @ $225.00$145K
2026-06-25
Suskind Dennis
Director
Award645.00 @ $225.00$145K
2026-06-25
SIEGEL HOWARD J
Director
Award645.00 @ $225.00$145K
2026-06-25
SIEGEL HOWARD J
Director
Award422.00 @ $225.00$95.0K
2026-06-25
Mulchrone Patrick J
Director
Award645.00 @ $225.00$145K
2026-06-25
Maloney Patrick W
Director
Award645.00 @ $225.00$145K

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
4.8%
Annual / share
$11.25
Last ex-date
2026-06-09
Last amount
$1.30
ex 2026-06-09paid 2026-06-25$1.30
ex 2026-03-10paid 2026-03-26$7.45
ex 2025-12-12paid 2025-12-30$1.25
ex 2025-09-09paid 2025-09-25$1.25
ex 2025-06-09paid 2025-06-25$1.25
ex 2025-03-07paid 2025-03-26$1.25

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-04-22Miss -1.2% est▲ +0.46%8-K ↗
2026-02-04Miss -0.0% est▲ +0.53%8-K ↗
2025-10-22Beat +0.8% est▼ -0.30%8-K ↗
2025-07-23Beat +0.4% est▲ +0.67%8-K ↗
2025-04-23—▼ -1.54%8-K ↗
2025-02-12—▲ +2.99%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

1 buy · 2 sells · 2 members · last 180d

−$8.00K net soldlast trade 19d ago
$8.00K bought$16.0K sold
2026-07-02Gilbert CisnerosSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-02-13Gilbert CisnerosBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-01-15Julie JohnsonSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-12-11Julie JohnsonSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-10-10Valerie HoyleSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-09-12Valerie HoyleBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-09-11Julie JohnsonSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-09-11Julie JohnsonBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-08-14Julie JohnsonBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-06-22Jefferson ShreveSell$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗
2025-05-08Rob BresnahanBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-04-11Carol Devine MillerBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Recent news

market news →
Sector Update: Financial Stocks Advance Late Afternoon
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-02
Will Oil Prices Keep Falling? WTI Futures Hit Pre-Iran War LowsBearish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-02
CME Group Reports Record June Average Daily Volume and Second-Highest Q2 EverBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-02
KBW and Piper Sandler Highlight CME Group (CME) Leadership Transition and Growth OutlookBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-01
Stock Market Investors Just Got Bad News From the Federal Reserve. History Says a Big Drop Could Follow.Bullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-01
Stock Market Investors Just Got Bad News From the Federal Reserve. History Says a Big Drop Could Follow.Bullish
nasdaq.com· 2026-07-01

Vs Financials peers

compare →

185 tracked peers · median

TENK Score66 vs 73
Revenue growth6.4% vs 7.7%
Net margin62.5% vs 21.3%
Return on equity14.2% vs 12.1%
P/E21.2 vs 15.3
Peers
WTMJHGRNRALLPRIPGROMFSLM

News sentiment

EODHD · 53d
Neutral
-0.01
vs typical · 216 articles
↑ improving

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.