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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›CTO
CTO logo

CTO

CTO Realty Growth, Inc.

Next earnings Jul 27, 2026 · consensus $0.09 EPS, $41.8M rev

Last earnings +0.7% on 2026-04-28

Hold
$21.57
▼ -1.64%
$21.57▲ +35.25%
over 1Y
L $14.38H $21.93
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today-1.6%
1W+2.0%
1M+8.1%
3M+16.9%
YTD+22.1%
1Y+35.3%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
B
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Clean
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 10 analysts
Buy

Small-cap retail REIT with solid AFFO-style cash flow and a fat dividend, but GAAP optics and leverage cap upside near $21.

Revenue $150M · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~86% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

CTO is a self-managed equity REIT focused on 21 high-quality retail/mixed-use properties (5.5M sq ft) in 'faster growing, business-friendly markets,' supplemented by a fee-based management business (managing PINE and the Subsurface portfolio), a small commercial loan/preferred equity book, and a 15.4% stake in Alpine Income Property Trust (PINE) valued at $41.3M. The five-year revenue trajectory is genuinely impressive — $70M (2021) → $150M (2025), with FY2025 revenue +20.1% YoY and operating income nearly doubling to $34.0M (+93.1%). Operating cash flow of $64.6M comfortably funded the $49.0M dividend, which is the metric that actually matters for a REIT — the headline 264x P/E on $0.08 diluted EPS is a GAAP artifact driven by $60M of D&A, not a sign the dividend is unsupported.

That said, the balance sheet is the wart. Long-term debt rose 18.8% to $616M while equity fell 7.4% to $567M (liabilities/equity 1.23x), cash is a thin $6.5M (-28.3%), and retained earnings dropped 20.3% as distributions exceeded GAAP net income — normal for a REIT, but it means there is no margin for cap-rate expansion or a retail-tenant shock. The 10-K's own Risk Factors language ('readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance' on the forward-looking REIT-market thesis) and MD&A emphasis on external growth via acquisitions in 'business-friendly markets' tell you the growth story requires continued access to debt and equity capital — exactly what gets harder if rates stay high or the stock trades below NAV.

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 25, 2026, 11:15 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Is CTO a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$70.3M$82.3M$109M$125M$150M
Gross profit—$59.5M$78.9M$91.3M$112M
Operating income$23.3M$10.7M$26.5M$17.6M$34.0M
Net income$29.9M$3.16M$5.53M-$1.97M$10.1M
Diluted EPS$1.56-$0.09$0.03-$0.35$0.08
Net margin42.6%3.8%5.1%-1.6%6.7%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value—
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales—
EV / FCF—
P / FCF—
PEG (trailing)0.44
Earnings yield1.4%
FCF yield-44.0%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)2.2%
Free cash flow-$321M
Total debt$640M
Net cash-$633M
Piotroski F-Score6/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield1.3%
Dividend yield (est.)6.7%
Shareholder yield8.0%
Shares Δ YoY+2.3%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has been improving.
  1. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-06-18

    Annual meeting vote results disclosed; routine governance, no operational impact.

  2. 8-K Other event2026-04-29

    Other event disclosure with exhibits; likely dividend declaration or investor update.

  3. 8-K Earnings results2026-04-28

    Q1 2026 results filed; portfolio of 21 properties across 5.5M sq ft maintained.

  4. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-28

    Q1 2026 results filed; portfolio of 21 properties across 5.5M sq ft maintained.

  5. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-04-28

    Q1 2026 results filed; portfolio of 21 properties across 5.5M sq ft maintained.

  6. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-19

    FY25: rev $150M (+20%), op income +93%, net income +$10M; debt up 19% to $616M.

  7. 10-K Annual report2026-02-19

    FY25: rev $150M (+20%), op income +93%, net income +$10M; debt up 19% to $616M.

  8. 8-K Material agreement2025-11-10

    Entered material definitive agreement, likely financing/credit facility update.

  9. 8-K Earnings results2025-10-28

    Q3 2025 quarterly results; ongoing retail/mixed-use REIT operations disclosed.

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-01open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-172026-06-18open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-04-292026-04-29open ↗424B5Filing2026-04-29open ↗424B5Filing2026-04-29open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-04-29open ↗ARSPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-04-28open ↗DEFA14AFiling2026-04-28open ↗DEF 14APeriod ending 2026-06-172026-04-28open ↗

Quality score

B
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueF
GrowthA+
ProfitabilityC+
Financial healthA-
MomentumA
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✗P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$2.99

Overvalued -86% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $0.08 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 22.0% growth) × 0.90 quality = 37.4× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

14.3852-week21.93
Revenue
$150M
+20.1% YoY
Net margin
6.7%
ROE
1.8%
P/E
269.6

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$150M+20.1%
Net income$10.1M+613.6%
Gross profit$112M+22.3%
Operating income$34.0M+93.1%
Diluted EPS$0.08+122.9%
Cash & equivalents$6.47M-28.3%
Total assets$1.26B+7.0%
Total liabilities$697M+22.5%
Stockholders' equity$567M-7.4%
Gross: 74.6%Op.: 22.7%L/E: 1.23x

Frequently asked

Is CTO Realty Growth, Inc. (CTO) a buy?
CTO currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Small-cap retail REIT with solid AFFO-style cash flow and a fat dividend, but GAAP optics and leverage cap upside near $21.
What is CTO's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on CTO's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $2.99. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is CTO overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, CTO currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is CTO Realty Growth, Inc.'s quality score?
CTO scores 70.18643305158194/100 (grade B) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000023795, latest 10-Q filed 2026-04-28) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/25/2026, 3:15:48 PM.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-07-01
Haga Christopher W
Director
Award1.00K @ $20.83$20.9K
2026-07-01
FRANKLIN LAURA M
Director
Award599.00 @ $20.83$12.5K
2026-07-01
Drew Christopher J
Director
Award779.00 @ $20.83$16.2K
2026-07-01
Gable Robert Blakeslee
Director
Award914.00 @ $20.83$19.0K
2026-04-01
Gable Robert Blakeslee
Director
Award1.01K @ $18.88$19.1K
2026-04-01
Drew Christopher J
Director
Award860.00 @ $18.88$16.2K
2026-04-01
Haga Christopher W
Director
Award1.11K @ $18.88$20.9K
2026-04-01
FRANKLIN LAURA M
Director
Award661.00 @ $18.88$12.5K

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
7.0%
Annual / share
$1.52
Last ex-date
2026-06-11
Last amount
$0.38
ex 2026-06-11paid 2026-06-30$0.38
ex 2026-03-12paid 2026-03-31$0.38
ex 2025-12-11paid 2025-12-31$0.38
ex 2025-09-11paid 2025-09-30$0.38
ex 2025-06-12paid 2025-06-30$0.38
ex 2025-03-13paid 2025-03-31$0.38

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-04-28Beat +374.3% est▲ +0.66%8-K ↗
2026-02-19—▲ +1.05%8-K ↗
2025-10-28Beat +397.0% est▼ -0.79%8-K ↗
2025-07-29Beat +41.8% est▲ +1.21%8-K ↗
2025-05-01—▼ -0.93%8-K ↗
2025-02-20—▼ -0.05%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

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Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score70 vs 67
Revenue growth20.1% vs 7.5%
Net margin6.7% vs 10.0%
Return on equity1.8% vs 12.0%
P/E269.6 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 54d
Bearish
-0.33
vs typical · 470 articles
↓ cooling

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.