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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›HCI
HCI logo

HCI

HCI Group, Inc.

Next earnings Aug 5, 2026 · consensus $5.13 EPS, $242M rev

Last earnings -0.6% on 2026-05-06

Buy
$182.64
▲ +2.37%
$182.64▲ +22.10%
over 1Y
L $136.50H $204.86
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+2.4%
1W+5.5%
1M+20.0%
3M+19.6%
YTD-0.2%
1Y+22.1%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Buy
Quality
A
Valuation
Undervalued
Filings
Clean
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 9 analysts
Buy

Florida insurer at 7.9x earnings with a fortress balance sheet — cheap enough to own despite real hurricane-cycle risk.

Diluted EPS $22.72 · FY2025

The read

Quality fundamentals and an attractive price line up (~373% below fair value) — the rarer case where both the business and the entry look good.

HCI is firing on every fundamental cylinder: FY2025 revenue grew 20.1% to $901M, net income jumped 171.9% to $299M, diluted EPS hit $22.72 (+155.6%), and the company earned a 33.2% net margin and 28.7% ROE. The balance sheet got dramatically stronger in the same year — stockholders' equity more than doubled (+129.6% to $1.04B), cash more than doubled (+127.3% to $1.21B, exceeding total liabilities), and total liabilities fell 19.7%, dropping leverage to a comfortable 1.36x. Operating cash flow of $444M against negligible capex ($3.63M) confirms the earnings are cash-real, not accounting artifacts. At $178.41 the stock trades at just 7.9x trailing EPS and 2.6x sales — a low-single-digit multiple on a business compounding book value and paying a growing dividend.

The growth engine is structural, not lucky: the 10-K describes a deliberate strategy of assuming policies from Florida's state-backed Citizens via legislatively mandated take-out programs plus selective third-party assumptions, supplemented by the Exzeo technology stack that lets management 'identify profitable underwriting opportunities' and the AIF/reciprocal-exchange business. That gives HCI a repeatable, capital-light path to grow premium and fee income beyond pure organic expansion.

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 30, 2026, 12:13 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Is HCI a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$408M$500M$551M$750M$901M
Gross profit—————
Operating income—————
Net income$1.86M-$58.5M$79.0M$110M$299M
Diluted EPS$0.21-$6.24$7.62$8.89$22.72
Net margin0.5%-11.7%14.4%14.7%33.2%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value—
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales—
EV / FCF—
P / FCF5.3
PEG (trailing)0.05
Earnings yield12.8%
FCF yield18.9%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)—
Free cash flow$441M
Total debt$238M
Net cash$972M
Piotroski F-Score5/7

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.1%
Dividend yield (est.)0.8%
Shareholder yield0.9%
Shares Δ YoY+20.7%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has been improving.
  1. 8-K Material agreement2026-06-15

    Entered new material agreement—likely 2026 catastrophe reinsurance/financing terms

  2. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-06-12

    Annual meeting vote results: directors elected, routine proposals passed

  3. 8-K Material agreement2026-06-01

    Material agreement signed; likely June 1 catastrophe reinsurance program renewal

  4. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-07

    Q1 FY26 10-Q: underwriting profit and equity build continue

  5. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-06

    Q1 FY26 earnings released; continued strong P&C underwriting profitability

  6. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-29

    2026 proxy: board election and executive compensation up for vote

  7. 10-K Annual report2026-02-26

    FY25 10-K: revenue +20% to $901M, net income +172%, equity doubled

  8. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-25

    FY25 earnings released: record net income $299M, diluted EPS $22.72

  9. 8-K Officer / director change2025-12-23

    Combined officer change, new agreement and Reg FD update disclosed

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-112026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-112026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-112026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-112026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-112026-06-15open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-112026-06-15open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-102026-06-12open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-012026-06-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-222026-05-27open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-222026-05-27open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-222026-05-27open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-222026-05-27open ↗

Quality score

A
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueA-
GrowthA+
ProfitabilityA+
Financial healthA-
MomentumB-
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$863.36

Undervalued +373% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $22.72 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 22.0% growth) × 1.16 quality = 38.0× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

136.5052-week204.86
Revenue
$901M
+20.1% YoY
Net margin
33.2%
ROE
28.7%
P/E
8.0

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$901M+20.1%
Net income$299M+171.9%
Diluted EPS$22.72+155.6%
Cash & equivalents$1.21B+127.3%
Total assets$2.53B+13.4%
Total liabilities$1.41B-19.7%
Stockholders' equity$1.04B+129.6%
L/E: 1.36x

Frequently asked

Is HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) a buy?
HCI currently carries a Buy rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Florida insurer at 7.9x earnings with a fortress balance sheet — cheap enough to own despite real hurricane-cycle risk.
What is HCI's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on HCI's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $863.36. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is HCI overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, HCI currently appears undervalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is HCI Group, Inc.'s quality score?
HCI scores 84.99248098730547/100 (grade A) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001400810, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-07) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/30/2026, 4:13:13 AM.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-06-11
Madhu Sanjay
Director
Award750.00
2026-06-11
Politis Gregory
Director
Award750.00
2026-06-11
Politis Peter
Director
Award750.00
2026-06-11
Watts Susan
Director
Award750.00
2026-06-11
Burks Robert Wayne
Director
Award750.00
2026-05-22
Harmsworth James Mark
Chief Financial Officer
Tax13.4K @ $157.79$2.11M
2026-05-22
Saravanos Anthony
Division President
Tax13.4K @ $157.79$2.11M
2026-05-22
Graham Andrew L.
General Counsel
Tax13.4K @ $157.79$2.11M

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
0.9%
Annual / share
$1.60
Last ex-date
2026-05-15
Last amount
$0.40
ex 2026-05-15paid 2026-06-18$0.40
ex 2026-02-20paid 2026-03-20$0.40
ex 2025-11-21paid 2025-12-19$0.40
ex 2025-08-15paid 2025-09-19$0.40
ex 2025-05-16paid 2025-06-20$0.40
ex 2025-02-21paid 2025-03-21$0.40

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-06Beat +4.8% est▼ -0.56%8-K ↗
2026-02-25Beat +70.0% est▲ +4.41%8-K ↗
2025-11-06Beat +114.2% est▼ -4.22%8-K ↗
2025-10-16Beat +114.2% est▼ -5.69%8-K ↗
2025-08-07Beat +11.0% est▼ -1.42%8-K ↗
2025-05-08—▲ +2.66%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Recent news

market news →
UVE Stock Outperforms Industry, Trades Near 52-Week High: Time to Exit?Bullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-02
Are You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why HCI Group (HCI) is a Great ChoiceBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-02
Wall Street Analysts Believe HCI Group (HCI) Could Rally 32.19%: Here's is How to TradeBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-01
HCI Group (HCI) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to NoteBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-30
Q1 Earnings Outperformers: HCI Group (NYSE:HCI) And The Rest Of The Property & Casualty Insurance StocksBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-29
HCI Group (HCI) Surges 4.2%: Is This an Indication of Further Gains?Bullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-29

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score85 vs 67
Revenue growth20.1% vs 7.5%
Net margin33.2% vs 10.0%
Return on equity28.7% vs 12.0%
P/E8.0 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 30d
Bullish
+0.17
vs typical · 53 articles
↑ improving

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.