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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›MCD

MCD

MCDONALDS CORP

Next earnings Aug 4, 2026 (before open) · consensus $3.38 EPS, $7.23B rev

Last earnings -0.1% on 2026-05-07

Hold
$280.63
▲ +5.03%
$280.63▼ -1.41%
over 1Y
L $264.54H $336.88
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+5.0%
1W+6.1%
1M+1.5%
3M-8.0%
YTD-6.3%
1Y-1.4%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
C+
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Clean
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 40 analysts
Buy

Elite franchise margins and steady cash flow, but ~5% growth at 23x earnings leaves little upside — a quality hold, not a buy.

P/E (price / FY diluted EPS) 23.3 · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~36% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

McDonald's is a best-in-class franchise compounder. The heavily-franchised, rent-and-royalty model produces a 46.1% operating margin and 31.9% net margin — figures almost no other restaurant operator approaches — and FY2025 was another steady year: revenue $26.9B (+3.7%), operating income $12.4B (+5.8%), net income $8.56B (+4.1%), and diluted EPS $11.95 (+4.9%). Operating cash flow rose 11.7% to $10.6B, comfortably covering $3.37B of capex and the $5.12B dividend. This is a durable, highly profitable cash machine.

Don't be misled by the headline -478% ROE or the -$1.79B stockholders' equity — this is not balance-sheet distress. Retained earnings are actually +$70.3B; the negative book equity is the cumulative artifact of decades of debt-funded buybacks and dividends, a deliberate capital-return strategy common to mature cash generators. The genuine watch-item is leverage: roughly $40.7B of total debt ($40.0B long-term + $725M current) against just $774M of cash (down 28.7%), with a current ratio just under 1 (current assets $4.16B vs liabilities $4.36B). The predictable $10.6B of operating cash flow makes this serviceable, but it leaves little cushion for a serious demand shock, and the dividend and buyback both ride on uninterrupted cash generation.

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 18, 2026, 7:22 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$23.2B$23.2B$25.5B$25.9B$26.9B
Gross profit—————
Operating income$10.4B$9.37B$11.6B$11.7B$12.4B
Net income$7.55B$6.18B$8.47B$8.22B$8.56B
Diluted EPS$10.04$8.33$11.56$11.39$11.95
Net margin32.5%26.6%33.2%31.7%31.9%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$239B
EV / EBITDA18.6
EV / Sales8.9
EV / FCF33.3
P / FCF27.7
PEG (trailing)5.68
Earnings yield4.3%
FCF yield3.6%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)—
Free cash flow$7.19B
Total debt$40.7B
Net cash-$39.9B
Piotroski F-Score5/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield1.0%
Dividend yield (est.)2.6%
Shareholder yield3.6%
Shares Δ YoY-0.6%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has been improving.
  1. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-22

    Annual meeting: directors, say-on-pay & auditor ratification all approved

  2. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-07

    Q1 2026 10-Q filed; quarterly financials accompany the earnings release

  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-07

    Q1 2026 10-Q filed; quarterly financials accompany the earnings release

  4. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-07
  5. 8-K/A Amended 8-K2026-04-02
  6. 10-K Annual report2026-02-24
  7. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-11

    FY2025 results: revenue +3.7%, diluted EPS +4.9% to $11.95, record profit

  8. 8-K Officer / director change2026-02-10

    Leadership change: officer/director appointment or departure disclosed

  9. 8-K Earnings results2025-11-05

    Q3 2025 quarterly earnings released to shareholders

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-03-312026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-03-312026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-03-312026-07-02open ↗11-KPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-06-18open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-102026-06-10open ↗144Filing2026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-282026-06-01open ↗SDFiling2026-05-28open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-262026-05-27open ↗144Filing2026-05-26open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-202026-05-22open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-05-13open ↗

Quality score

C+
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueC+
GrowthC+
ProfitabilityA+
Financial healthD
MomentumD
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$180.60

Overvalued -36% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $11.95 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 3.9% growth) × 1.05 quality = 15.1× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

264.5452-week336.88
Revenue
$26.9B
+3.7% YoY
Net margin
31.9%
ROE
—
P/E
23.5

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$26.9B+3.7%
Net income$8.56B+4.1%
Operating income$12.4B+5.8%
Diluted EPS$11.95+4.9%
Cash & equivalents$774M-28.7%
Total assets$59.5B+7.9%
Stockholders' equity-$1.79B+52.8%
Op.: 46.1%

Frequently asked

Is MCDONALDS CORP (MCD) a buy?
MCD currently carries a Hold rating with 4/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Elite franchise margins and steady cash flow, but ~5% growth at 23x earnings leaves little upside — a quality hold, not a buy.
What is MCD's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on MCD's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $180.60. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is MCD overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, MCD currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is MCDONALDS CORP's quality score?
MCD scores 63.340506546003844/100 (grade C+) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000063908, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-07) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/18/2026, 11:22:55 PM.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 5 sales

2026-06-10
Erlinger Joseph M.
President, McDonald's USA
Exercise5.25K @ $157.79$829K
2026-06-10
Erlinger Joseph M.
President, McDonald's USA
Sell5.25K @ $284.32$1.49M
2026-05-28
Ralls-Morrison Desiree
EVP, Chief Legal Officer
Sell2.76K @ $278.36$769K
2026-05-26
Erlinger Joseph M.
President, McDonald's USA
Sell333.00 @ $280.11$93.3K
2026-04-23
Erlinger Joseph M.
President, McDonald's USA
Sell333.00 @ $302.72$101K
2026-04-10
Erlinger Joseph M.
President, McDonald's USA
Exercise2.63K @ $157.79$414K
2026-04-10
Erlinger Joseph M.
President, McDonald's USA
Sell2.63K @ $307.00$806K

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
2.6%
Annual / share
$7.35
Last ex-date
2026-06-02
Last amount
$1.86
ex 2026-06-02paid 2026-06-16$1.86
ex 2026-03-03paid 2026-03-17$1.86
ex 2025-12-01paid 2025-12-15$1.86
ex 2025-09-02paid 2025-09-16$1.77
ex 2025-06-02paid 2025-06-16$1.77
ex 2025-03-03paid 2025-03-17$1.77

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-07Beat +2.2% est▼ -0.14%8-K ↗
2026-02-11Beat +1.4% est▼ -0.85%8-K ↗
2025-11-05Miss -4.2% est▲ +2.16%8-K ↗
2025-08-06Beat +0.4% est▲ +2.98%8-K ↗
2025-05-01—▼ -1.88%8-K ↗
2025-02-10—▲ +4.80%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

1 buy · 1 sell · 2 members · last 180d

+$0.00 net boughtlast trade 96d ago
$8.00K bought$8.00K sold
2026-04-30Jared MoskowitzBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-01-15Julie JohnsonSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-12-11Julie JohnsonSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-12-09Richard Dean Dr McCormickBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-11-21Lisa McClainSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-11-21Lisa McClainBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-11-21Lisa McClainSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-11-16Kevin HernSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-11-16Kevin HernSell$100K–$250KPTR ↗
2025-09-30Cleo FieldsBuy$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗
2025-09-17Richard Dean Dr McCormickBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-09-11Julie JohnsonSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Recent news

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finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-03
Why Restaurant Brands (QSR) Stock Is Up TodayBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-02

Vs Consumer Discretionary peers

compare →

121 tracked peers · median

TENK Score63 vs 65
Revenue growth3.7% vs 5.1%
Net margin31.9% vs 7.1%
Return on equity— vs 19.0%
P/E23.5 vs 23.3
Peers
BYDEATLEVILTHDECKDUOLRLFTDR

News sentiment

EODHD · 56d
Bullish
+0.13
vs typical · 396 articles
↓ cooling

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.