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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›MNR

MNR

MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP

Next earnings Aug 5, 2026 · consensus $0.33 EPS, $370M rev

Last earnings -1.6% on 2026-05-07

Hold
$12.60
▲ +0.48%
$12.60▼ -0.32%
over 1Y
L $9.95H $14.26
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+0.5%
1W-0.2%
1M-5.9%
3M-6.3%
YTD+21.9%
1Y-0.3%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
B
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Flagged
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 13 analysts
Buy

Cash-rich, low-decline E&P LP at a fair 11.5x, but debt-fueled growth diluted per-unit earnings and the distribution can go to zero.

Diluted EPS $1.09 · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~26% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

MACH is an Anadarko/Permian/San Juan upstream LP running ~12,000 low-decline PDP wells plus integrated midstream (gathering, processing, water) that lets it 'optimize pricing, increase flow assurance and eliminate third-party costs.' That asset base throws off real cash: operating cash flow held at $507M (+0.3%) on $1.18B revenue (+21.2%), an OCF yield near 24% of the $2.11B market cap. At 11.5x EPS and 1.8x sales the units are not expensive for a cash-generative producer, which is what keeps this a hold rather than a sell.

But the quality of the headline growth is poor. The revenue jump and the +61.5% leap in total assets to $3.78B were bought, not earned: long-term debt rose 71.1% to $1.14B and the unit count rose 42.2% to 168M. The result is that per-unit economics went backwards even as the company got bigger — diluted EPS fell 42.6% to $1.09 and net income fell 22.8% to $143M, with operating income down 15.8% and net margin compressing to 12.2%. Cash on hand was nearly halved to $42.6M (-59.7%), and current assets ($378M) barely cover current liabilities ($360M), so liquidity now leans on the revolver and on commodity prices cooperating.

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$392M$937M$762M$970M$1.18B
Gross profit—————
Operating income$155M$522M$359M$291M$245M
Net income$138M$517M$68.5M$185M$143M
Diluted EPS——$0.72$1.90$1.09
Net margin35.3%55.1%9.0%19.1%12.2%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$3.20B
EV / EBITDA6.0
EV / Sales2.7
EV / FCF—
P / FCF—
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield6.8%
FCF yield—

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)—
Free cash flow—
Total debt$1.14B
Net cash-$1.10B
Piotroski F-Score4/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield—
Dividend yield (est.)—
Shareholder yield—
Shares Δ YoY+42.2%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has skewed negative — read the flagged items.
  1. 8-K Other event2026-05-22

    Other-events disclosure, likely quarterly distribution declaration/corporate update

  2. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-07

    Q1 2026 quarterly results filed (period ended 2026-03-31)

  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-07

    Q1 2026 quarterly results filed (period ended 2026-03-31)

  4. 8-K Other event2026-04-08

    Other-events disclosure (acquisition/financing update), no income impact signaled

  5. 8-K Exhibits2026-04-06

    Filed exhibits/financial statements only, likely acquired-asset financials

  6. 8-K Earnings results2026-03-12

    FY2025: rev +21% yet EPS -43%, LT debt +71%, units +42% (acquisition-driven dilution)

  7. 10-K Annual report2026-03-12

    FY2025: rev +21% yet EPS -43%, LT debt +71%, units +42% (acquisition-driven dilution)

  8. 8-K Officer / director change2025-12-17

    Officer/director change announced (Item 5.02)

  9. 10-Q Quarterly report2025-11-06

    Q3 2025 quarterly results filed

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-222026-05-22open ↗424B5Filing2026-05-22open ↗424B5Filing2026-05-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-152026-05-19open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-05-12open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-072026-05-07open ↗10-QPeriod ending 2026-03-312026-05-07open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-082026-04-13open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-082026-04-10open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-04-08open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-082026-04-08open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-04-062026-04-08open ↗

Quality score

B
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueA
GrowthC-
ProfitabilityA-
Financial healthA-
MomentumC+
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$9.27

Overvalued -26% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $1.09 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 0.0% growth) × 1.00 quality = 8.5× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

9.9352-week14.26
Revenue
$1.18B
+21.2% YoY
Net margin
12.2%
ROE
—
P/E
11.6

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$1.18B+21.2%
Net income$143M-22.8%
Operating income$245M-15.8%
Diluted EPS$1.09-42.6%
Cash & equivalents$42.6M-59.7%
Total assets$3.78B+61.5%
Op.: 20.8%

Frequently asked

Is MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP (MNR) a buy?
MNR currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Cash-rich, low-decline E&P LP at a fair 11.5x, but debt-fueled growth diluted per-unit earnings and the distribution can go to zero.
What is MNR's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on MNR's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $9.27. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is MNR overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, MNR currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is MACH NATURAL RESOURCES LP's quality score?
MNR scores 73.67152828790195/100 (grade B) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001980088, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-07) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/30/2026, 4:32:36 AM.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 2 open-market buys · 2 sales

2026-05-15
IKAV General Partner S.a r.l.
10% owner
Disposed (J)1.42M @ $14.06$20.0M
2026-04-13
WARD TOM L.
See Remarks
Buy76.6K @ $13.05$1000K
2026-04-13
WARD TOM L.
See Remarks
Buy76.6K @ $13.05$1000K
2026-04-08
IKAV General Partner S.a r.l.
10% owner
Sell4.61M @ $12.81$59.1M
2026-04-08
IKAV General Partner S.a r.l.
10% owner
Sell945K @ $12.81$12.1M
2026-04-08
KAYNE ANDERSON CAPITAL ADVISORS LP
Insider
Disposed (J)3.44M @ $12.81$44.1M
2026-03-23
McMullen William Wallace
Director
Buy3.21K @ $13.63$43.8K
2026-03-20
Burn Christopher
Director
Buy1.00K @ $13.85$13.8K
2026-03-20
McMullen William Wallace
Director
Buy2.50K @ $14.00$35.0K
2026-03-19
Burn Christopher
Director
Buy1.00K @ $14.07$14.1K
2026-03-19
McMullen William Wallace
Director
Buy3.57K @ $14.00$50.0K
2026-02-11
WHITE KEVIN R.
See Remarks
Tax5.63K @ $12.62$71.0K

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
14.4%
Annual / share
$1.82
Last ex-date
2026-05-21
Last amount
$0.64
ex 2026-05-21paid 2026-06-04$0.64
ex 2026-02-26paid 2026-03-12$0.53
ex 2025-11-20paid 2025-12-04$0.27
ex 2025-08-21paid 2025-09-04$0.38
ex 2025-05-22paid 2025-06-05$0.79
ex 2025-02-27paid 2025-03-13$0.50

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-07Miss -138.1% est▼ -1.57%8-K ↗
2026-03-12Beat +67.3% est▲ +0.22%8-K ↗
2025-11-06Beat +23.8% est▲ +0.67%8-K ↗
2025-08-07Beat +49.6% est▲ +0.41%8-K ↗
2025-05-08—▲ +1.13%8-K ↗
2025-03-13—▼ -1.58%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Recent news

market news →
Falling Oil Prices Prompt Raymond James to Lower Mach Natural Resources (MNR) TargetBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-22
A Look At Mach Natural Resources (MNR) Valuation As Market Pricing Diverges From Narrative Fair Value EstimateBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-10
Most and least shorted energy stocks with over $2B market cap as of MayBullish
seekingalpha.com· 2026-06-03
EnerCom Announces Premier Networking Events for the 31st Annual Energy Investment Conference, Including Monday Charity Golf Tournament, Monday VIP Welcome Mixer, and Tuesday Casino NightBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-05-21
New Strong Buy Stocks for May 20thBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-05-20
Best Income Stocks to Buy for May 20thBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-05-20

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score74 vs 67
Revenue growth21.2% vs 7.5%
Net margin12.2% vs 10.0%
Return on equity— vs 12.0%
P/E11.6 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 11d
Bullish
+0.17
vs typical · 17 articles
↑ improving

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.