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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›MUR

MUR

MURPHY OIL CORP

Next earnings Aug 4, 2026 (before open) · consensus $1.36 EPS, $861M rev

Last earnings -6.6% on 2026-05-06

Hold
$31.88
▼ -5.96%
$31.88▲ +45.30%
over 1Y
L $21.48H $42.37
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today-6.0%
1W-9.9%
1M-16.0%
3M-21.7%
YTD+0.0%
1Y+45.3%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
C-
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Flagged
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 24 analysts
Hold

Oil & gas producer's earnings cratered with commodity prices; sound balance sheet and dividend, but a low-return, cycle-dependent hold.

Revenue (FY2025) $2.69B · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~84% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

Murphy Oil is a global oil and gas exploration & production company whose FY2025 results were hit hard by the weaker commodity cycle. Net income fell 74.4% to $104M, operating income dropped 50.0% to $301M, and EPS collapsed 73.3% to $0.72 as revenue declined 10.9% to $2.69B on lower realized prices. The earnings trajectory is starkly cyclical — from a -$73.7M loss (FY2021) to $965M (FY2022) and now back down to $104M (FY2025) — leaving ROE at a meager 2.0% and net margin at 3.9% in this trough year.

The balance sheet and cash generation provide ballast. Operating cash flow, though down 27.8%, was still substantial at $1.25B — far above the GAAP net income, reflecting the heavy non-cash depletion ($978M D&A) typical of E&P. Long-term debt was essentially flat at $1.27B, equity is $5.12B, and liabilities/equity is a conservative 0.90x. The company maintained shareholder returns with a $186M dividend (up 3.5%) and $103M of buybacks, though it cut repurchases 65.9% to preserve cash in the downturn.

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 5:01 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$2.80B$4.22B$3.45B$3.02B$2.69B
Gross profit—————
Operating income$281M$1.59B$1.04B$603M$301M
Net income-$73.7M$965M$662M$407M$104M
Diluted EPS-$0.48$6.13$4.22$2.70$0.72
Net margin-2.6%22.9%19.2%13.5%3.9%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$5.49B
EV / EBITDA4.3
EV / Sales2.0
EV / FCF—
P / FCF—
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield2.3%
FCF yield-2.1%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)3.7%
Free cash flow-$96.5M
Total debt$1.30B
Net cash-$921M
Altman Z-Score1.89 grey
Piotroski F-Score5/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield2.2%
Dividend yield (est.)4.1%
Shareholder yield6.3%
Shares Δ YoY-2.1%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Red flag in recent filings — obligation accelerated (2026-01-08). Worth a closer look.
  1. 8-K Officer / director change2026-06-11
  2. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-14
  3. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-06
  4. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-06
  5. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-03-27
  6. 10-K Annual report2026-02-25
  7. 8-K Earnings results2026-01-28
  8. 8-K New financial obligation2026-01-23
  9. 8-K Obligation accelerated2026-01-08

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-302026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-302026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-302026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-302026-07-02open ↗S-8Filing2026-06-17open ↗11-KPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-06-12open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-082026-06-11open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-132026-05-14open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-05-12open ↗10-QPeriod ending 2026-03-312026-05-06open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-062026-05-06open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-05-06open ↗

Quality score

C-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueC
GrowthF
ProfitabilityC-
Financial healthA-
MomentumD
  • ✗Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✗P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$5.23

Overvalued -84% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $0.72 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 0.0% growth) × 0.85 quality = 7.3× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

21.4852-week42.37
Revenue
$2.69B
-10.9% YoY
Net margin
3.9%
ROE
2.0%
P/E
44.3

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$2.69B-10.9%
Net income$104M-74.4%
Operating income$301M-50.0%
Diluted EPS$0.72-73.3%
Cash & equivalents$377M-10.9%
Total assets$9.83B+1.7%
Total liabilities$4.60B+6.2%
Stockholders' equity$5.12B-1.5%
Op.: 11.2%L/E: 0.90x

Frequently asked

Is MURPHY OIL CORP (MUR) a buy?
MUR currently carries a Hold rating with 2/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Oil & gas producer's earnings cratered with commodity prices; sound balance sheet and dividend, but a low-return, cycle-dependent hold.
What is MUR's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on MUR's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $5.23. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is MUR overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, MUR currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is MURPHY OIL CORP's quality score?
MUR scores 51.84999484661769/100 (grade C-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000717423, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-06) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 9:01:06 PM.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-07-01
Nolan Jeffrey W
Director
Exercise2.17K
2026-07-01
Nolan Jeffrey W
Director
Disposed (D)2.17K @ $31.51$68.5K
2026-06-30
BOTNER E TED
Insider
Exercise8.79K
2026-06-30
BOTNER E TED
Insider
Tax3.46K @ $33.42$116K
2026-06-30
BOTNER E TED
Insider
Exercise7.80K
2026-06-30
BOTNER E TED
Insider
Tax3.07K @ $33.42$103K
2026-06-30
BOTNER E TED
Insider
Exercise25.1K
2026-06-30
BOTNER E TED
Insider
Tax9.88K @ $33.42$330K
2026-03-11
Hanchera Daniel R
Senior Vice President
Sell47.3K @ $33.79$1.60M

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
4.2%
Annual / share
$1.35
Last ex-date
2026-05-18
Last amount
$0.35
ex 2026-05-18paid 2026-06-01$0.35
ex 2026-02-17paid 2026-03-02$0.35
ex 2025-11-17paid 2025-12-01$0.33
ex 2025-08-18paid 2025-09-02$0.33
ex 2025-05-16paid 2025-06-02$0.33
ex 2025-02-18paid 2025-03-03$0.33

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-06Beat +10.2% est▼ -6.58%8-K ↗
2026-01-28Beat +563.6% est▼ -1.23%8-K ↗
2026-01-06Beat +563.6% est▼ -1.00%8-K ↗
2025-11-05Beat +140.0% est▼ -0.86%8-K ↗
2025-08-06Beat +34.1% est▼ -0.92%8-K ↗
2025-05-07—▲ 0.00%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

Disclosed under the STOCK Act

2015-06-07Thomas MacArthurSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Recent news

market news →
3 Stocks Under $50 We Approach with CautionBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-03
Morgan Stanley Lifts Price Target on Murphy Oil (MUR). Here is WhyBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-07-01
Murphy Expands Resource Base With Offshore Cote d'Ivoire Oil DiscoveryBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-24
Traders Question How Much Iranian Oil Can Really Return to MarketBearish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-23
Murphy Oil Corporation Announces Oil Discovery at Bubale-1X Offshore Côte d'IvoireBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-22
2 Value Stocks to Consider Right Now and 1 We Turn DownBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-22

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score52 vs 67
Revenue growth-10.9% vs 7.5%
Net margin3.9% vs 10.0%
Return on equity2.0% vs 12.0%
P/E44.3 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 28d
Bearish
-0.13
vs typical · 44 articles
↓ cooling

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.