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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›WMS

WMS

ADVANCED DRAINAGE SYSTEMS, INC.

Next earnings Aug 5, 2026 · consensus $2.12 EPS, $1.00B rev

Last earnings -1.2% on 2026-05-21

Hold
$152.18
▼ -1.49%
$152.18▲ +31.87%
over 1Y
L $110.35H $174.94
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today-1.5%
1W-2.0%
1M+12.2%
3M+10.7%
YTD+2.0%
1Y+31.9%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
B-
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Clean
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
Street · 15 analysts
Buy

Market-leading water-management franchise with 23% ROE and a conversion tailwind, but two years of falling profit at 27x.

Revenue (FY2026) $3.05B · FY2026

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~67% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

Advanced Drainage Systems is the leading US manufacturer of thermoplastic water-management solutions — corrugated HDPE/PP pipe, stormwater chambers, filters and Allied Products — serving non-residential, infrastructure and agricultural markets. The structural story is attractive: the 10-K highlights ongoing 'material conversion' as customers replace concrete, steel and PVC with lighter, more durable, cheaper-to-install thermoplastic pipe, plus a high-margin Allied Products cross-sell (less resin-sensitive) and the recent NDS acquisition broadening the offering. The economics are excellent — 38.3% gross margin, 20.3% operating margin, 14.0% net margin and a 22.9% ROE — backed by a strong FY2026 with revenue up 5.0% to $3.05B and operating cash flow up 40.9% to $819M.

The blemish is the earnings trajectory. Despite the revenue rebound, net income fell 5.3% to $426M, operating income dropped 5.8% to $619M, and diluted EPS slipped 5.6% to $5.44 — the second consecutive annual decline from the $510M FY2024 peak. The business is cyclical and, per the filing, 'sensitive to general economic conditions' across construction, agriculture and infrastructure, with profitability dependent on passing resin and tariff-driven raw-material costs through to customers. Leverage has crept up — long-term debt rose 28.3% to $1.61B (1.37x liabilities/equity) and cash fell 51.9% to $223M — partly funding the NDS deal.

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:47 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Revenue$2.77B$3.07B$2.87B$2.90B$3.05B
Gross profit$800M$1.12B$1.15B$1.09B$1.17B
Operating income$412M$719M$732M$657M$619M
Net income$271M$507M$510M$450M$426M
Diluted EPS$3.15$6.08$6.45$5.76$5.44
Net margin9.8%16.5%17.7%15.5%14.0%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$13.0B
EV / EBITDA15.6
EV / Sales4.3
EV / FCF22.9
P / FCF20.5
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield3.7%
FCF yield4.9%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)14.1%
Free cash flow$569M
Total debt$1.61B
Net cash-$1.39B
Altman Z-Score4.64 safe
Piotroski F-Score5/9

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.8%
Dividend yield (est.)0.5%
Shareholder yield1.3%
Shares Δ YoY-1.3%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Routine disclosure cadence — no material red flags in recent filings.
  1. 8-K Reg FD disclosure2026-06-18
  2. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-06-03
  3. 8-K Reg FD disclosure2026-05-21
  4. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-21
  5. 10-K Annual report2026-05-21
  6. 8-K Material agreement2026-02-27
  7. 8-K Reg FD disclosure2026-02-12
  8. 8-K Reg FD disclosure2026-02-12
  9. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-02-05

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-182026-06-18open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-17open ↗ARSPeriod ending 2026-03-312026-06-03open ↗DEFA14AFiling2026-06-03open ↗DEF 14APeriod ending 2026-03-312026-06-03open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-262026-05-28open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-262026-05-28open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-262026-05-28open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-262026-05-28open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-262026-05-28open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-262026-05-28open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-262026-05-28open ↗

Quality score

B-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueC+
GrowthD
ProfitabilityA
Financial healthB+
MomentumC+
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✗P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$50.86

Overvalued -67% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $5.44 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 0.0% growth) × 1.10 quality = 9.4× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

110.3552-week174.94
Revenue
$3.05B
+5.0% YoY
Net margin
14.0%
ROE
22.9%
P/E
28.0

SEC fundamentals · FY 2026

'22'23'24'25'26

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$3.05B+5.0%
Net income$426M-5.3%
Gross profit$1.17B+6.7%
Operating income$619M-5.8%
Diluted EPS$5.44-5.6%
Cash & equivalents$223M-51.9%
Total assets$4.51B+22.1%
Total liabilities$2.55B+24.1%
Stockholders' equity$1.86B+21.8%
Gross: 38.3%Op.: 20.3%L/E: 1.37x

Frequently asked

Is ADVANCED DRAINAGE SYSTEMS, INC. (WMS) a buy?
WMS currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Market-leading water-management franchise with 23% ROE and a conversion tailwind, but two years of falling profit at 27x.
What is WMS's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on WMS's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $50.86. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is WMS overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, WMS currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is ADVANCED DRAINAGE SYSTEMS, INC.'s quality score?
WMS scores 68.20980065664713/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001604028, latest 10-K filed 2026-05-21) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:47:41 PM.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-06-12
BARBOUR D. SCOTT
See Remarks
Disposed (J)511.00 @ $135.72$69.4K
2026-06-12
BARBOUR D. SCOTT
See Remarks
Acquired (J)511.00 @ $135.72$69.4K
2026-05-26
TAYLOR CRAIG J.
Executive Vice President
Award1.53K
2026-05-26
Martz Bret
See Remarks
Award1.25K
2026-05-26
TALLEY KEVIN C
EVP and CAO
Award1.22K
2026-05-26
Cottrill Scott A
EVP, CFO AND SECRETARY
Award2.50K
2026-05-26
BARBOUR D. SCOTT
See Remarks
Award9.04K
2026-05-26
Coyle Patrick M. Jr
See Remarks
Award1.25K
2026-05-26
MAKOWSKI TIM A
See Remarks
Award847.00

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
0.5%
Annual / share
$0.74
Last ex-date
2026-06-01
Last amount
$0.20
ex 2026-06-01paid 2026-06-15$0.20
ex 2026-03-02paid 2026-03-16$0.18
ex 2025-12-01paid 2025-12-15$0.18
ex 2025-08-29paid 2025-09-15$0.18
ex 2025-05-30paid 2025-06-16$0.18
ex 2025-02-28paid 2025-03-14$0.16

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-21Beat +11.7% est▼ -1.23%8-K ↗
2026-02-05Beat +13.1% est▲ +6.10%8-K ↗
2025-11-06Beat +17.1% est▲ +8.80%8-K ↗
2025-08-07Beat +10.2% est▲ +17.22%8-K ↗
2025-05-15—▼ -3.40%8-K ↗
2025-02-06—▲ +1.44%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

Disclosed under the STOCK Act

2025-08-13Lisa McClainBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-08-13Lisa McClainSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-02-13Rob BresnahanSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2016-03-11Suzan K. DelBeneSell$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗
2015-04-16Suzan K. DelBeneBuy$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Recent news

market news →
HVAC and Water Systems Stocks Q1 In Review: CSW (NYSE:CSW) Vs PeersBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-24
Ubiquiti Upgraded, Reddit Downgraded: Updated Rankings on Top Blue-Chip StocksBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-22
3 Reasons to Avoid WMS and 1 Stock to Buy InsteadBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-22
New Strong Sell Stocks for June 22ndBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-22
Reflecting On HVAC and Water Systems Stocks’ Q1 Earnings: Trane Technologies (NYSE:TT)Bullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-19
How Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) Benefits From the Site-Water Needs Behind Data Center ConstructionBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-19

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1194 tracked peers · median

TENK Score68 vs 67
Revenue growth5.0% vs 7.5%
Net margin14.0% vs 10.0%
Return on equity22.9% vs 12.0%
P/E28.0 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 23d
Bullish
+0.17
vs typical · 42 articles
↑ improving

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.