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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›YUMC

YUMC

Yum China Holdings, Inc.

Next earnings Jul 30, 2026 (after close) · consensus $0.68 EPS, $3.09B rev

Last earnings +2.9% on 2026-04-29

Buy
$41.70
▲ +2.08%
$41.70▼ -4.51%
over 1Y
L $40.18H $57.25
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+2.1%
1W+3.8%
1M-3.9%
3M-14.7%
YTD-12.4%
1Y-4.5%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Buy
Quality
C+
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Clean
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 29 analysts
Buy

China's largest restaurant chain: steady unit growth, 17% ROE, fortress balance sheet, and aggressive buybacks at just 17x earnings.

Revenue $11.8B · FY2025

The read

The fundamentals carry the rating, but the price is rich (~20% above our fair-value estimate) — a quality-at-a-price call. The case rests on the business, not the entry; patient buyers may wait for a pullback.

Yum China is the dominant restaurant operator in China — 18,101 KFC, Pizza Hut, and emerging-brand locations across 2,500+ cities, the largest in the country by system sales. FY2025 delivered durable, profitable growth: revenue rose 4.4% to $11.8B, operating income grew 11.0% to $1.29B (operating margin up to 10.9%), and diluted EPS climbed 7.7% to $2.51, outpacing net-income growth thanks to a 6.1% reduction in share count. ROE of 17.3% is strong for a restaurant operator, and the five-year trajectory shows a clean recovery from the COVID-disrupted FY2022 trough ($442M net income) back to a record $929M.

The balance sheet is a standout: liabilities/equity of just 0.87x, minimal debt (current portion only $30M), and $5.38B of equity. The franchise model generates ongoing fees at roughly 6% of system sales, layered on a company-owned base, giving high-quality recurring economics. Crucially, management is returning capital aggressively — $1.14B of buybacks (shrinking shares 6.1%) plus a dividend raised 42.3% to $353M — funded comfortably by $1.47B of operating cash flow against $626M of (declining) capex. This is a self-funding compounder with a long runway for net unit growth in under-penetrated Chinese cities.

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:44 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$9.85B$9.57B$11.0B$11.3B$11.8B
Gross profit—————
Operating income$1.39B$629M$1.11B$1.16B$1.29B
Net income$990M$442M$827M$911M$929M
Diluted EPS$2.28$1.04$1.97$2.33$2.51
Net margin10.0%4.6%7.5%8.1%7.9%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$13.9B
EV / EBITDA8.0
EV / Sales1.2
EV / FCF16.6
P / FCF17.1
PEG (trailing)8.41
Earnings yield6.5%
FCF yield5.8%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)18.8%
Free cash flow$840M
Total debt$30.0M
Net cash$476M
Altman Z-Score3.58 safe
Piotroski F-Score6/7

Capital returns

Buyback yield7.9%
Dividend yield (est.)2.5%
Shareholder yield10.4%
Shares Δ YoY-6.1%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Routine disclosure cadence — no material red flags in recent filings.
  1. 8-K Material agreement2026-06-16
  2. 8-K Reg FD disclosure2026-06-16
  3. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-28
  4. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-08
  5. 8-K Earnings results2026-04-29
  6. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-16
  7. 8-K Reg FD disclosure2026-04-08
  8. 8-K Reg FD disclosure2026-03-02
  9. 10-K Annual report2026-02-27

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-172026-06-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-172026-06-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-172026-06-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-172026-06-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-172026-06-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-172026-06-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-172026-06-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-172026-06-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-172026-06-22open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-162026-06-16open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-162026-06-16open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-012026-06-03open ↗

Quality score

C+
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueA-
GrowthC
ProfitabilityB-
Financial healthA-
MomentumF
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$33.28

Overvalued -20% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $2.51 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 3.2% growth) × 1.00 quality = 13.3× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

40.1852-week57.25
Revenue
$11.8B
+4.4% YoY
Net margin
7.9%
ROE
17.3%
P/E
16.6

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$11.8B+4.4%
Net income$929M+2.0%
Operating income$1.29B+11.0%
Diluted EPS$2.51+7.7%
Cash & equivalents$506M-30.0%
Total assets$10.8B-3.0%
Total liabilities$4.68B-0.2%
Stockholders' equity$5.38B-6.1%
Op.: 10.9%L/E: 0.87x

Frequently asked

Is Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC) a buy?
YUMC currently carries a Buy rating with 4/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. China's largest restaurant chain: steady unit growth, 17% ROE, fortress balance sheet, and aggressive buybacks at just 17x earnings.
What is YUMC's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on YUMC's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $33.28. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is YUMC overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, YUMC currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is Yum China Holdings, Inc.'s quality score?
YUMC scores 64.28036970464942/100 (grade C+) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001673358, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-08) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:44:49 PM.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
2.5%
Annual / share
$1.06
Last ex-date
2026-05-27
Last amount
$0.29
ex 2026-05-27paid 2026-06-17$0.29
ex 2026-03-04paid 2026-03-25$0.29
ex 2025-12-02paid 2025-12-23$0.24
ex 2025-09-02paid 2025-09-23$0.24
ex 2025-05-28paid 2025-06-18$0.24
ex 2025-03-06paid 2025-03-27$0.24

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-04-29Miss -8.4% est▲ +2.85%8-K ↗
2026-02-04Beat +10.2% est▲ +4.73%8-K ↗
2025-11-04Beat +0.4% est▲ +1.91%8-K ↗
2025-08-05Miss -1.0% est▼ -6.11%8-K ↗
2025-04-30—▼ -7.22%8-K ↗
2025-02-06—▲ +9.07%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

Disclosed under the STOCK Act

2023-08-13Daniel GoldmanSell$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗
2019-04-15Nicholas Van TaylorSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2019-03-14Nicholas Van TaylorSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2017-01-10Carlos Mr CurbeloSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Recent news

market news →
Is Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC) A Good Stock To Buy Now?Bullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-29
Yum! Brands Sells Pizza Hut For $2.7 Billion. Here's Why Investors Should Be ConcernedBullish
nasdaq.com· 2026-06-20
Yum! Brands Sells Pizza Hut For $2.7 Billion. Here's Why Investors Should Be ConcernedBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-20
3 Restaurant Stocks We Think Twice AboutBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-19
Yum! Brands (YUM) Sells Pizza Hut In $2.7 Billion Deal To Refocus Its PortfolioBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-18
Yum China Holdings (YUMC) Stock Could Be 29.2% Undervalued on Its Expansion NarrativeBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-17

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1194 tracked peers · median

TENK Score64 vs 67
Revenue growth4.4% vs 7.5%
Net margin7.9% vs 10.0%
Return on equity17.3% vs 12.0%
P/E16.6 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 23d
Bullish
+0.12
vs typical · 49 articles

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.