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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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TTENK/calls
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Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

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Home›Stocks›AGM
AGM logo

AGM

FEDERAL AGRICULTURAL MORTGAGE CORP

Next earnings Aug 5, 2026 · consensus $4.92 EPS, $115M rev

Buy
$200.94
▲ +3.34%
$200.94▲ +7.15%
over 1Y
L $137.78H $202.44
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+3.3%
1W+4.0%
1M+12.0%
3M+34.9%
YTD+16.1%
1Y+7.2%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Buy
Quality
B+
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Clean
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 6 analysts
Buy

Steady GSE-adjacent ag lender at 11.7x with NII +10%, spread expanding and book value +15% — flat headline EPS understates the franchise.

P/E (price / FY diluted EPS) 11.7 · FY2025 / current price $194.44

The read

The fundamentals carry the rating, but the price is rich (~28% above our fair-value estimate) — a quality-at-a-price call. The case rests on the business, not the entry; patient buyers may wait for a pullback.

Farmer Mac is a well-capitalized, mission-driven secondary-market lender to US agriculture and rural infrastructure, and the franchise is quietly growing even though the headline number looks flat. Business volume crossed $30B, net interest income rose $36.9M (to $390.7M, +~10%) and net effective spread widened from 1.15% to 1.20%, which the MD&A attributes to net new business volume and greater use of non-interest-bearing funding. Core earnings (their fair-value-adjusted measure) rose $11.3M to $182.9M (+~7%), a cleaner read on the operating trend than GAAP net income, which was flat at $207M largely because the company raised $100M of 6.500% Series H preferred to fund growth — pushing preferred dividends up and holding net income to common at $182.5M. Book value compounded fast: equity +15.4% to $1.72B and retained earnings +11% to $1.05B.

Valuation is the core of the buy case. At $194.44 the stock trades at 11.7x FY2025 diluted EPS of $16.62 for a business earning a steady ~12% ROE and growing book value double-digits, with management citing $0.7B of capital above the regulatory minimum and a 301-day liquidity buffer versus a 90-day requirement. That is a fortress balance sheet for a lender, and the 19.58x liabilities/equity ratio — which looks alarming in isolation — is normal leverage for a GSE-style funder that matches assets with debt-market funding and has 'maintained uninterrupted access to the debt capital markets.' A low-double-digit multiple on a growing, well-capitalized franchise leaves room for both continued book-value compounding and a modest re-rating.

Is AGM a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bull call spread~90d expiry
  • Long call 200 @ ~13.15 est
  • Short call 220 @ ~5.56 est
debit $759max +$1,241max −$759BE 207.59

BUY verdict with defined risk: the short call finances part of the long one; max loss is the net debit.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue—————
Gross profit—————
Operating income—————
Net income$136M$178M$200M$207M$207M
Diluted EPS$10.27$13.87$15.81$16.44$16.62
Net margin—————

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value—
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales—
EV / FCF—
P / FCF27.2
PEG (trailing)112.84
Earnings yield9.5%
FCF yield3.7%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)—
Free cash flow$80.1M
Total debt$30.8B
Net cash-$29.9B
Piotroski F-Score2/6

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.6%
Dividend yield (est.)—
Shareholder yield0.6%
Shares Δ YoY+0.3%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has been improving.
  1. 8-K Officer / director change2026-06-08

    Management/board change (Item 5.02) plus a Reg FD disclosure; no financial impact stated

  2. 8-K Other event2026-06-03

    Routine other-event disclosure (8.01), likely volume/dividend update; no shareholder impact

  3. 8-K Other event2026-05-19

    Other-event disclosure (8.01) with exhibits; no material change to financials

  4. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-18

    Reported annual shareholder meeting voting results (Item 5.07)

  5. 8-K Other event2026-05-13

    Other-event disclosure (8.01) with exhibits; routine, no financial impact

  6. 8-K Unregistered share sales2026-05-12

    Sold unregistered equity (3.02), likely perpetual preferred—adds regulatory capital

  7. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-05

    Q1'26: continued NII/spread growth on >$30B volume; credit provisions a watch item

  8. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-13

    Annual proxy: director slate, exec pay, auditor ratification; routine governance

  9. 10-K Annual report2026-02-19

    FY25 net income flat ~$207M; NII +$37M offset by +$21M credit provision, +$14M opex

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-302026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-302026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-302026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-302026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-302026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-302026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-302026-07-02open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-032026-06-08open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-032026-06-03open ↗CERTFiling2026-05-20open ↗8-A12BFiling2026-05-19open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-192026-05-19open ↗

Quality score

B+
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueA
GrowthC-
ProfitabilityB+
Financial healthA-
MomentumA+
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$143.94

Overvalued -28% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $16.62 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 0.1% growth) × 1.00 quality = 8.7× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

137.7852-week203.11
Revenue
—
Net margin
—
ROE
12.1%
P/E
12.1

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Net income$207M+0.1%
Diluted EPS$16.62+1.1%
Cash & equivalents$931M-9.1%
Total assets$35.4B+12.9%
Total liabilities$33.7B+12.8%
Stockholders' equity$1.72B+15.4%
L/E: 19.58x

Frequently asked

Is FEDERAL AGRICULTURAL MORTGAGE CORP (AGM) a buy?
AGM currently carries a Buy rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Steady GSE-adjacent ag lender at 11.7x with NII +10%, spread expanding and book value +15% — flat headline EPS understates the franchise.
What is AGM's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on AGM's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $143.94. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is AGM overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, AGM currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is FEDERAL AGRICULTURAL MORTGAGE CORP's quality score?
AGM scores 76.45267757711305/100 (grade B+) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000845877, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-05) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/30/2026, 4:33:18 AM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 30, 2026, 12:33 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-06-30
Ware Todd P
Director
Award21.00 @ $199.27$4.18K
2026-06-30
McKissack Eric T
Director
Award21.00 @ $199.27$4.18K
2026-06-30
Sexton Robert G
Director
Award42.00 @ $199.27$8.37K
2026-06-30
JUNKINS LOWELL
Director
Award7.00 @ $199.27$1.39K
2026-06-30
Engebretsen James R
Director
Award86.00 @ $199.27$17.1K
2026-06-30
Gales Amy H
Director
Award101.00 @ $199.27$20.1K
2026-06-30
Logan Lyle
Director
Award46.00 @ $199.27$9.17K
2026-05-14
Crawford Dale E
Director
Award386.00

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
3.1%
Annual / share
$6.20
Last ex-date
2026-06-15
Last amount
$1.60
ex 2026-06-15paid 2026-06-30$1.60
ex 2026-03-16paid 2026-03-31$1.60
ex 2025-12-15paid 2025-12-31$1.50
ex 2025-09-15paid 2025-09-30$1.50
ex 2025-06-16paid 2025-06-30$1.50
ex 2025-03-14paid 2025-03-31$1.50

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-05Beat +5.6% est▲ +0.44%8-K ↗
2026-02-19Miss -20.4% est▼ -0.35%8-K ↗
2025-11-03Beat +0.2% est▼ -0.34%8-K ↗
2025-08-07Miss -0.3% est▼ -0.44%8-K ↗
2025-05-09—▲ +4.67%8-K ↗
2025-02-21—▲ +6.35%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Recent news

market news →
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finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-23
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finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-22

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score76 vs 67
Revenue growth— vs 7.5%
Net margin— vs 10.0%
Return on equity12.1% vs 12.0%
P/E12.1 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 29d
Bullish
+0.17
vs typical · 36 articles

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.