Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

FEDERAL AGRICULTURAL MORTGAGE CORP
Next earnings Aug 5, 2026 · consensus $4.92 EPS, $115M rev
Steady GSE-adjacent ag lender at 11.7x with NII +10%, spread expanding and book value +15% — flat headline EPS understates the franchise.
P/E (price / FY diluted EPS) 11.7 · FY2025 / current price $194.44
The fundamentals carry the rating, but the price is rich (~28% above our fair-value estimate) — a quality-at-a-price call. The case rests on the business, not the entry; patient buyers may wait for a pullback.
Farmer Mac is a well-capitalized, mission-driven secondary-market lender to US agriculture and rural infrastructure, and the franchise is quietly growing even though the headline number looks flat. Business volume crossed $30B, net interest income rose $36.9M (to $390.7M, +~10%) and net effective spread widened from 1.15% to 1.20%, which the MD&A attributes to net new business volume and greater use of non-interest-bearing funding. Core earnings (their fair-value-adjusted measure) rose $11.3M to $182.9M (+~7%), a cleaner read on the operating trend than GAAP net income, which was flat at $207M largely because the company raised $100M of 6.500% Series H preferred to fund growth — pushing preferred dividends up and holding net income to common at $182.5M. Book value compounded fast: equity +15.4% to $1.72B and retained earnings +11% to $1.05B.
Valuation is the core of the buy case. At $194.44 the stock trades at 11.7x FY2025 diluted EPS of $16.62 for a business earning a steady ~12% ROE and growing book value double-digits, with management citing $0.7B of capital above the regulatory minimum and a 301-day liquidity buffer versus a 90-day requirement. That is a fortress balance sheet for a lender, and the 19.58x liabilities/equity ratio — which looks alarming in isolation — is normal leverage for a GSE-style funder that matches assets with debt-market funding and has 'maintained uninterrupted access to the debt capital markets.' A low-double-digit multiple on a growing, well-capitalized franchise leaves room for both continued book-value compounding and a modest re-rating.
Is AGM a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →
BUY verdict with defined risk: the short call finances part of the long one; max loss is the net debit.
Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net income | $136M | $178M | $200M | $207M | $207M |
| Diluted EPS | $10.27 | $13.87 | $15.81 | $16.44 | $16.62 |
| Net margin | — | — | — | — | — |
10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Management/board change (Item 5.02) plus a Reg FD disclosure; no financial impact stated
Routine other-event disclosure (8.01), likely volume/dividend update; no shareholder impact
Other-event disclosure (8.01) with exhibits; no material change to financials
Reported annual shareholder meeting voting results (Item 5.07)
Other-event disclosure (8.01) with exhibits; routine, no financial impact
Sold unregistered equity (3.02), likely perpetual preferred—adds regulatory capital
Q1'26: continued NII/spread growth on >$30B volume; credit provisions a watch item
Annual proxy: director slate, exec pay, auditor ratification; routine governance
FY25 net income flat ~$207M; NII +$37M offset by +$21M credit provision, +$14M opex
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000845877, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-05) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/30/2026, 4:33:18 AM.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 30, 2026, 12:33 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.
| 2026-06-30 | Ware Todd P Director | Award | 21.00 @ $199.27 | $4.18K |
| 2026-06-30 | McKissack Eric T Director | Award | 21.00 @ $199.27 | $4.18K |
| 2026-06-30 | Sexton Robert G Director | Award | 42.00 @ $199.27 | $8.37K |
| 2026-06-30 | JUNKINS LOWELL Director | Award | 7.00 @ $199.27 | $1.39K |
| 2026-06-30 | Engebretsen James R Director | Award | 86.00 @ $199.27 | $17.1K |
| 2026-06-30 | Gales Amy H Director | Award | 101.00 @ $199.27 | $20.1K |
| 2026-06-30 | Logan Lyle Director | Award | 46.00 @ $199.27 | $9.17K |
| 2026-05-14 | Crawford Dale E Director | Award | 386.00 |
Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.
Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
1195 tracked peers · median
Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.