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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›ALSN
ALSN logo

ALSN

Allison Transmission Holdings Inc

Next earnings Aug 3, 2026 · consensus $2.58 EPS, $1.54B rev

Last earnings -1.7% on 2026-05-04

Buy
$116.37
▲ +0.88%
$116.37▲ +24.34%
over 1Y
L $78.62H $135.66
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+0.9%
1W-6.5%
1M+0.2%
3M-0.3%
YTD+18.2%
1Y+24.3%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Buy
Quality
B-
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Watch
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
Street · 17 analysts
Buy

Highly profitable transmission maker at 16x earnings with 48.6% gross margins and aggressive buybacks — quality at a fair price.

Diluted EPS $7.33 · FY2025

The read

The fundamentals carry the rating, but the price is rich (~38% above our fair-value estimate) — a quality-at-a-price call. The case rests on the business, not the entry; patient buyers may wait for a pullback.

Allison Transmission is a high-quality industrial franchise trading at an undemanding valuation. FY2025 revenue dipped 6.7% to $3.01B and net income fell 14.8% to $623M, a cyclical pullback from the FY2024 peak ($3.23B revenue, $731M net income), but the underlying profitability is exceptional: 48.6% gross margin, 29.2% operating margin, 20.7% net margin and a 33.4% return on equity. At $119.10 the stock trades at just 16.2x diluted EPS of $7.33 and 3.3x sales — a modest multiple for a business that consistently converts revenue into profit and generated $836M of operating cash flow (up 4.4%) against only $175M of capex.

Management is returning capital aggressively while the balance sheet strengthens. The company repurchased $328M of stock (up 29.1%) and paid $91M of dividends in FY2025, shrinking the share count 3.2% to 82.8M. Cash nearly doubled to $1.50B (+91.4%), and although long-term debt rose 20.5% to $2.88B and liabilities/equity sits at 2.26x, the cash build and $836M of operating cash flow comfortably support the leverage. Equity grew 13.1% to $1.87B. The recent step-up in current assets (+45.2% to $2.23B) and debt likely reflects the Acquired Off-Highway Business, which broadens the end-market footprint.

Is ALSN a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bull call spread (wide)~60d expiry
  • Long call 116 @ ~7.90 est
  • Short call 134 @ ~2.17 est
debit $573max +$1,227max −$573BE 121.73

High-conviction BUY: a wider spread keeps more of the upside while the short call still cuts cost and decay.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$2.40B$2.77B$3.04B$3.23B$3.01B
Gross profit$1.15B$1.30B$1.47B$1.53B$1.46B
Operating income$669M$784M$919M$992M$880M
Net income$442M$531M$673M$731M$623M
Diluted EPS$4.13$5.53$7.40$8.31$7.33
Net margin18.4%19.2%22.2%22.7%20.7%

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$11.0B
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales3.7
EV / FCF16.7
P / FCF14.6
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield6.5%
FCF yield6.8%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)14.6%
Free cash flow$661M
Total debt$2.89B
Net cash-$1.40B
Altman Z-Score2.69 grey
Piotroski F-Score6/9

Capital returns

Buyback yield3.4%
Dividend yield (est.)0.9%
Shareholder yield4.3%
Shares Δ YoY-3.2%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Some governance/structural items recently, but no outright red flags.
  1. 8-K Material agreement2026-06-16
  2. 8-K Officer / director change2026-05-08
  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-07
  4. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-04
  5. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-03-25
  6. 8-K/A Amended 8-K2026-03-16
  7. 10-K Annual report2026-02-24
  8. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-23
  9. 8-K Officer / director change2026-01-02

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-112026-06-16open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-042026-06-08open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-292026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-292026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-292026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-292026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-292026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-292026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-292026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-292026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-292026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-292026-06-02open ↗

Quality score

B-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueB
GrowthF
ProfitabilityA+
Financial healthB
MomentumB-
  • ✗Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✗Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$71.96

Overvalued -38% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $7.33 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 0.0% growth) × 1.16 quality = 9.8× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

78.6152-week135.66
Revenue
$3.01B
-6.7% YoY
Net margin
20.7%
ROE
33.4%
P/E
15.9

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$3.01B-6.7%
Net income$623M-14.8%
Gross profit$1.46B-4.3%
Operating income$880M-11.3%
Diluted EPS$7.33-11.8%
Cash & equivalents$1.50B+91.4%
Total assets$6.08B+14.0%
Total liabilities$4.21B+14.4%
Stockholders' equity$1.87B+13.1%
Gross: 48.6%Op.: 29.2%L/E: 2.26x

Frequently asked

Is Allison Transmission Holdings Inc (ALSN) a buy?
ALSN currently carries a Buy rating with 4/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Highly profitable transmission maker at 16x earnings with 48.6% gross margins and aggressive buybacks — quality at a fair price.
What is ALSN's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on ALSN's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $71.96. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is ALSN overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, ALSN currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is Allison Transmission Holdings Inc's quality score?
ALSN scores 67.7970113008954/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001411207, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-07) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:45:57 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:45 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-06-04
Bohley G Frederick
See Remarks
Exercise533.00
2026-06-04
Bohley G Frederick
See Remarks
Exercise10.00
2026-06-04
Bohley G Frederick
See Remarks
Tax242.00 @ $118.38$28.6K

Held by tracked funds

Form 13F · SEC · quarterly
Renaissance Technologies2.26M sh$265M
Bridgewater AssociatesRay Dalio (founder)103K sh$12.0M

As of each fund’s latest quarterly 13F — a delayed snapshot, not a live position. All tracked funds →

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-04Beat +22.3% est▼ -3.48%8-K ↗
2026-02-23Beat +2.6% est▲ +5.43%8-K ↗
2025-10-29Miss -10.3% est▼ -0.29%8-K ↗
2025-08-04Beat +8.5% est▼ -2.95%8-K ↗
2025-05-01—▲ +6.92%8-K ↗
2025-02-11—▼ -12.00%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1194 tracked peers · median

TENK Score68 vs 67
Revenue growth-6.7% vs 7.5%
Net margin20.7% vs 10.0%
Return on equity33.4% vs 12.0%
P/E15.9 vs 26.2