ALV
AUTOLIV INC
Next earnings Jul 17, 2026 · consensus $2.40 EPS, $2.79B rev
Last earnings +6.8% on 2026-04-17
$116.24
▼ -0.23%$116.24▲ +7.02%
over 1Y
L $99.58H $131.69
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today-0.2%
1W-3.8%
1M-11.7%
3M+11.2%
YTD-3.3%
1Y+7.0%
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
Street · 24 analysts
Buy
Dominant auto-safety supplier compounding earnings at a 12x P/E with a 29% ROE — cheap quality with capital returns.
Diluted EPS $9.55 · FY2025
The read
Quality fundamentals and an attractive price line up (~98% below fair value) — the rarer case where both the business and the entry look good.
Autoliv is the global leader in automotive safety systems (airbags and seatbelts), and FY2025 was a strong year. Revenue grew 4.1% to $10.8B, but profitability grew faster: gross profit rose 7.6%, operating income 11.1% to $1.09B, and net income 13.8% to $735M, as the company expanded margins through pricing recoveries and cost discipline. Diluted EPS jumped 18.8% to $9.55 — outpacing net income thanks to a 3.9% reduction in shares outstanding. The result is a standout 28.6% ROE, and net income has compounded steadily from $435M (FY2021) to $735M (FY2025).
Capital allocation reinforces the case. Autoliv paid $238M of dividends (up 8.7%) and is buying back stock, while still strengthening the balance sheet — cash rose 83% to $604M and equity grew 13% to $2.57B. Operating cash flow of $1.16B (up 9.3%) comfortably funded a reduced $441M capex (down 23.8%), pointing to rising free cash flow. Long-term debt of $1.73B against $2.57B of equity and growing cash leaves leverage manageable.
Is ALV a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →
The options angle
model · matches our verdictBull call spread~60d expiry
- Long call 116 @ ~6.73 est
- Short call 128 @ ~2.47 est
debit $426max +$774max −$426BE 120.26
BUY verdict with defined risk: the short call finances part of the long one; max loss is the net debit.
Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.
Financials · annual, by fiscal year
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.23B | $8.84B | $10.5B | $10.4B | $10.8B |
| Gross profit | $1.51B | $1.40B | $1.82B | $1.93B | $2.07B |
| Operating income | $675M | $659M | $690M | $979M | $1.09B |
| Net income | $435M | $423M | $488M | $646M | $735M |
| Diluted EPS | $4.96 | $4.85 | $5.72 | $8.04 | $9.55 |
| Net margin | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% |
10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Key statistics
Valuation
Enterprise value$10.3B
EV / EBITDA6.9
EV / Sales0.9
EV / FCF14.3
P / FCF12.2
PEG (trailing)0.88
Earnings yield8.4%
FCF yield8.2%
Quality & risk
ROIC (est.)18.2%
Free cash flow$716M
Total debt$2.15B
Net cash-$1.55B
Piotroski F-Score7/9
Capital returns
Buyback yield1.8%
Dividend yield (est.)2.7%
Shareholder yield4.5%
Shares Δ YoY-3.9%
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Disclosure timeline
SEC · 8-Ks + reportsRed flag in recent filings — material impairment (2026-05-11). Worth a closer look.
- 8-K Officer / director change2026-06-30
- 8-K Material impairment2026-05-11
- 8-K Earnings results2026-04-17
- 10-Q Quarterly report2026-04-17
- DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-03-25
- 8-K Officer / director change2026-03-11
- 8-K Officer / director change2026-02-20
- 10-K Annual report2026-02-19
- 8-K Earnings results2026-01-30
Recent filings
all on EDGAR ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-242026-06-30open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗
Frequently asked
- Is AUTOLIV INC (ALV) a buy?
- ALV currently carries a Buy rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Dominant auto-safety supplier compounding earnings at a 12x P/E with a 29% ROE — cheap quality with capital returns.
- What is ALV's fair value?
- A Modified-Graham model based on ALV's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $230.07. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
- Is ALV overvalued or undervalued?
- Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, ALV currently appears undervalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
- What is AUTOLIV INC's quality score?
- ALV scores 74.72911183163798/100 (grade B) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001034670, latest 10-Q filed 2026-04-17) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:52:29 PM.
About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:52 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.