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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›BDTX
BDTX logo

BDTX

Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc.

Next earnings Aug 5, 2026 · consensus $-0.20 EPS

Last earnings -3.5% on 2026-05-07

Hold
$2.01
▲ +14.86%
$2.01▼ -18.95%
over 1Y
L $1.61H $4.87
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+14.9%
1W+18.2%
1M-7.8%
3M-15.9%
YTD-19.3%
1Y-19.0%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
A-
Valuation
Undervalued
Filings
Clean
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
Street · 15 analysts
Buy

Screens scream 'cheap biotech' at a 4.5x P/E, but the earnings are non-recurring and $21M cash makes this a binary catalyst bet, not a value stock.

Cash & equivalents $21.0M · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals offset by an attractive price (~637% below fair value) — worth a look on the value angle.

BDTX is a clinical-stage oncology company with no approved product — the MD&A opens by calling itself 'a clinical-stage oncology company developing MasterKey therapies,' and the entire business hinges on one asset, silevertinib (BDTX-1535). That single fact reframes every headline number. The sudden swing from years of deep losses (-$126M, -$91.2M, -$82.4M, -$69.7M from FY2021–FY2024 on roughly zero revenue) to FY2025 revenue of $70.0M and net income of $22.4M is almost certainly collaboration/licensing/milestone income, not durable product sales. A clinical-stage company with a -$465M accumulated deficit and no marketed drug does not organically earn a 32% net margin. So the P/E of 4.5 and P/S of 1.4 are mirages: you cannot capitalize a one-time payment as if it recurs. Treat the 'profitability' as a one-off cash infusion, not an earnings stream.

The real story is the balance sheet and the pipeline. Cash fell 42.4% to just $21.0M while R&D — the company's actual job — was cut 34.6% to $33.6M. That combination is a warning: $21M does not fund a randomized Phase 2 GBM trial (planned to start Q2 2026) plus an ongoing NSCLC program for long. Even with FY2025 operating cash flow of $29.6M (again, collaboration-driven), the forward burn against $21M of cash points to a near-term capital raise, and raising equity at $1.75 — near the low end of a beaten-down range — is dilutive to anyone buying today. The light liabilities/equity of 0.27x is reassuring on solvency but irrelevant to the funding-gap question.

Is BDTX a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Covered call~60d expiry
  • Long 100 shares @ ~2.01
  • Short call 2 @ ~0.54 est
debit $147max +$53max −$146BE 1.47

HOLD means own it, don't chase it — harvesting premium against the position matches the verdict.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue———$0.00$70.0M
Gross profit—————
Operating income-$127M-$92.8M-$86.5M-$78.8M$12.5M
Net income-$126M-$91.2M-$82.4M-$69.7M$22.4M
Diluted EPS-$3.47-$2.52-$1.88-$1.27$0.39
Net margin————32.0%

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$94.2M
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales1.3
EV / FCF3.2
P / FCF3.9
PEG (trailing)0.04
Earnings yield19.4%
FCF yield25.7%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)8.8%
Free cash flow$29.6M
Total debt—
Net cash$21.0M
Altman Z-Score-0.55 distress
Piotroski F-Score6/7

Capital returns

Buyback yield—
Dividend yield (est.)—
Shareholder yield—
Shares Δ YoY+1.1%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has been improving.
  1. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-06-29

    Annual meeting vote results (Item 5.07); routine director/auditor approvals

  2. 8-K Reg FD disclosure2026-05-21

    Reg FD/other: updated Phase 2 silevertinib NSCLC DOR/PFS data at medical meeting

  3. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-07

    Q1 2026 (Mar-31): cash $21M, EGFR program advancing; routine quarterly

  4. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-07

    Q1 2026 (Mar-31): cash $21M, EGFR program advancing; routine quarterly

  5. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-29

    Annual proxy: director slate, exec comp, auditor ratification

  6. 8-K Earnings results2026-03-16

    FY2025 profitable; silevertinib Phase 2 progressing, GBM trial in Q2'26

  7. 10-K Annual report2026-03-16

    FY2025 profitable; silevertinib Phase 2 progressing, GBM trial in Q2'26

  8. 8-K Earnings results2025-12-03

    Frontline NSCLC Phase 2: 60% ORR, 86% CNS ORR, no new safety signals

  9. S-3 Shelf registration (potential raise)2025-11-13

    Shelf registration filed enabling future stock sales; potential dilution

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-262026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-262026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-262026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-262026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-262026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-262026-06-29open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-262026-06-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-192026-06-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-192026-06-22open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-212026-05-21open ↗10-QPeriod ending 2026-03-312026-05-07open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-072026-05-07open ↗

Quality score

A-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueA
GrowthA+
ProfitabilityA
Financial healthA
MomentumD
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$14.82

Undervalued +637% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $0.39 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 22.0% growth) × 1.16 quality = 38.0× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

1.6152-week4.87
Revenue
$70.0M
Net margin
32.0%
ROE
19.9%
P/E
5.2

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$70.0M
Net income$22.4M+132.1%
Operating income$12.5M+115.9%
Diluted EPS$0.39+130.7%
Cash & equivalents$21.0M-42.4%
Total assets$143M+16.6%
Total liabilities$30.8M-21.7%
Stockholders' equity$112M+34.7%
Op.: 17.9%L/E: 0.27x

Frequently asked

Is Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc. (BDTX) a buy?
BDTX currently carries a Hold rating with 2/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Screens scream 'cheap biotech' at a 4.5x P/E, but the earnings are non-recurring and $21M cash makes this a binary catalyst bet, not a value stock.
What is BDTX's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on BDTX's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $14.82. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is BDTX overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, BDTX currently appears undervalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is Black Diamond Therapeutics, Inc.'s quality score?
BDTX scores 81.88358165352031/100 (grade A-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001701541, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-07) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/30/2026, 12:02:13 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 30, 2026, 8:02 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-06-19
Behbahani Ali
Director
Award8.96K @ $1.66$14.9K
2026-06-19
Raman Prakash
Director
Award7.91K @ $1.66$13.1K

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-07Beat +15.1% est▼ -3.55%8-K ↗
2026-03-16Miss -42.1% est▲ +3.30%8-K ↗
2025-12-03Beat +37.3% est▼ -22.03%8-K ↗
2025-11-06Beat +37.3% est▲ +2.84%8-K ↗
2025-08-07Beat +24.5% est▼ -15.24%8-K ↗
2025-05-12—▲ +6.71%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Recent news

market news →
BDTX Broadens EGFR Reach into Glioblastoma, Adding a Fresh CatalystBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-05-27
Black Diamond Stock Outlook After Q1 Beat and Cash RunwayBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-05-27
BDTX Silevertinib Data in EGFR NSCLC: What Investors Need to KnowBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-05-27
BDTX Stock Slumps on Mixed Phase II Frontline NSCLC Study DataBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-05-25
Black Diamond Therapeutics to Participate in Jefferies Global Healthcare ConferenceBearish
globenewswire.com· 2026-05-22
Black Diamond Plunges Despite Positive Phase 2 Results For Silevertinib In 1L NSCLCBullish
nasdaq.com· 2026-05-22

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score82 vs 67
Revenue growth— vs 7.5%
Net margin32.0% vs 10.0%
Return on equity19.9% vs 12.0%
P/E5.2 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 5d
Bearish
-0.05
vs typical · 9 articles
↑ improving

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.