Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc.
Next earnings Aug 10, 2026 · consensus $-0.52 EPS, $262K rev
Last earnings -5.8% on 2026-05-15
Going-concern biotech with negative equity, a solvency-driven covenant leash and violent dilution — a lottery ticket, not an investment.
Cash & equivalents $28.4M · FY2025
BTAI is a pre-commercial neuroscience biopharma whose financials describe a company fighting for survival, not one to underwrite on fundamentals. Its own 10-K states there are 'conditions and events that raise substantial doubt regarding our ability to continue as a going concern,' with just $28.8M of cash/restricted cash and no current availability under its funding facilities — management explicitly does 'not believe we have sufficient cash on hand to support current operations and service our debt obligations for at least one year.' The balance sheet is already underwater: stockholders' equity is -$95.5M, liabilities are $140M against $44.9M of assets, and current liabilities exploded +142.5% to $53.9M against $44.7M current assets. Operating cash burn was -$57.6M in FY2025 versus that ~$28M cash pile — the arithmetic alone forces a near-term raise or restructuring.
The 'business' is not carrying it. Revenue is a rounding error — $642K, down 71.7% YoY, actually below FY2023's $1.38M and FY2024's $2.27M — so IGALMI has failed to commercialize meaningfully, and the company admits it now supports it 'with minimal commercial support.' Every year is a large net loss (-$69.9M FY2025), retained deficit is -$720M, and R&D ($30.3M) is being funded out of a shrinking, debt-encumbered treasury. Shareholders are the exit valve: shares outstanding rose 393.5% YoY to 27.1M, and the Ninth Amendment layers on more — a mandatory 50% sweep of capital-raise proceeds to Lenders plus penny warrants for up to 1.35M shares at $0.01. Any equity you buy today is standing in front of both the debt and a structurally guaranteed dilution machine.
Is BTAI a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →
AVOID means we wouldn't engage at all — if expressing the short side anyway, only with capped risk.
Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | $375K | $1.38M | $2.27M | $642K |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | -$107M | -$160M | -$172M | -$67.2M | -$50.5M |
| Net income | -$107M | -$166M | -$179M | -$59.6M | -$69.9M |
| Diluted EPS | -$4.05 | -$5.92 | -$98.33 | -$23.51 | -$5.73 |
| Net margin | — | -44201.9% | -12974.9% | -2630.1% | -10887.4% |
10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Q1 2026: going-concern doubt persists, thin cash vs heavy debt
Q1 2026: going-concern doubt persists, thin cash vs heavy debt
Unregistered share/warrant issuance — dilutive equity sale
Corporate/financing update following Ninth Amendment to Credit Agreement
FY2025: going-concern doubt, negative equity; SERENITY win + sNDA filed
FY2025: going-concern doubt, negative equity; SERENITY win + sNDA filed
Entered material definitive agreement (financing/credit terms)
Pipeline/regulatory update on BXCL501 sNDA (filed Jan 2026)
Q3 2025: post-SERENITY Phase 3 win but ongoing cash burn, debt strain
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001720893, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-15) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 7/4/2026, 3:47:46 AM.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jul 3, 2026, 11:47 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.
Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 4 sales
| 2026-06-15 | Rodriguez Javier See Remarks | Exercise | 35.00 | |
| 2026-06-15 | Steinhart Richard I Chief Financial Officer | Exercise | 35.00 | |
| 2026-06-15 | Yocca Frank Chief Scientific Officer | Exercise | 35.00 | |
| 2026-06-15 | Mehta Vimal CEO and President | Exercise | 219.00 | |
| 2026-05-20 | Yocca Frank Chief Scientific Officer | Sell | 6.84K @ $1.09 | $7.43K |
| 2026-05-20 | Rodriguez Javier See Remarks | Sell | 6.56K @ $1.08 | $7.11K |
| 2026-05-20 | Steinhart Richard I Chief Financial Officer | Sell | 6.84K @ $1.09 | $7.43K |
| 2026-05-20 | Mehta Vimal CEO and President | Sell | 19.4K @ $1.09 | $21.1K |
| 2026-05-04 | Yocca Frank Chief Scientific Officer | Exercise | 17.5K | |
| 2026-05-04 | Rodriguez Javier See Remarks | Exercise | 17.5K | |
| 2026-05-04 | Steinhart Richard I Chief Financial Officer | Exercise | 17.5K | |
| 2026-05-04 | Mehta Vimal CEO and President | Exercise | 49.8K |
Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
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