Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

Connect Biopharma Holdings Ltd
Next earnings Aug 17, 2026 · consensus $-1.90 EPS, $198K rev
Last earnings +14.5% on 2026-05-12
Single-asset clinical biopharma burning $51M/yr against $38M cash — sub-12-month runway makes dilution or a raise all but certain.
Cash & equivalents $38.3M · FY2025
Connect Biopharma is a clinical-stage, one-drug story: its entire value rests on rademikibart, an IL-4R antibody for asthma/COPD, and the 10-K states plainly that 'we currently only have rademikibart in clinical development.' There is no product revenue — the $64.0K reported for FY2025 is a rounding error versus the $26.0M collaboration/milestone revenue booked in FY2024, so the -99.8% 'decline' simply reflects that a one-time collaboration payment did not recur. Every headline ratio built on that revenue (P/S of 2,172x, -86,687% net margin) is therefore meaningless; the only numbers that matter here are burn and runway.
And the burn/runway math is alarming. FY2025 operating cash flow was -$51.2M against just $38.3M of cash and equivalents (itself down 51% YoY). That is well under twelve months of runway at the current pace, and management explicitly guides that losses 'will increase substantially' as R&D expands (R&D already +29.2% to $37.8M). With an accumulated deficit of $400.8M and net loss widening back to $55.5M (from $15.6M in the collaboration-boosted 2024), a dilutive equity raise or new partnership is not a risk — it is a near-certainty within the next few quarters, and it will hit a 56.5M-share base at a depressed $2.46 price.
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AVOID means we wouldn't engage at all — if expressing the short side anyway, only with capped risk.
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| Line item | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0.00 | $26.0M | $64.0K |
| Gross profit | — | — | — |
| Operating income | -$69.1M | -$22.5M | -$58.1M |
| Net income | -$62.1M | -$15.6M | -$55.5M |
| Diluted EPS | -$1.13 | -$0.28 | -$1.00 |
| Net margin | — | -60.0% | -86687.5% |
10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Q1 2026: operating losses persist, cash runway tightening on ~$50M/yr burn
Q1 2026: operating losses persist, cash runway tightening on ~$50M/yr burn
Reg FD/other-event: corporate & clinical update on rademikibart asthma-COPD program
FY2025: net loss $55.5M, cash fell 51% to $38.3M, revenue collapsed; ADRs to shares
FY2025: net loss $55.5M, cash fell 51% to $38.3M, revenue collapsed; ADRs to shares
New material agreement + private placement raise capital, extend runway (dilutive)
Officer/director change disclosed under Item 5.02
Q3 2025: sustained losses; pipeline narrowed to single asset rademikibart
Q3 2025: sustained losses; pipeline narrowed to single asset rademikibart
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001835268, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-12) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 7/3/2026, 4:01:49 PM.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jul 3, 2026, 12:01 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
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Last 90 days: 1 open-market buy · 0 sales
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| 2026-05-29 | Huang James Director | Buy | 150K @ $2.48 | $372K |
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Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
1195 tracked peers · median
Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.