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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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TTENK/calls
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Home›Stocks›ESTC
ESTC logo

ESTC

Elastic N.V.

Next earnings Aug 17, 2026 · consensus $0.60 EPS, $479M rev

Last earnings +6.9% on 2026-05-28

Buy
$58.04
▲ +1.91%
$58.04▼ -29.81%
over 1Y
L $43.30H $94.47
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+1.9%
1W+8.3%
1M-14.1%
3M+14.5%
YTD-20.0%
1Y-29.8%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Buy
Quality
B
Valuation
Undervalued
Filings
Watch
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 36 analysts
Buy

17% growth, 76% gross margins and $327M of cash flow at just 3.5x sales — a quality search/AI software name on sale.

Revenue $1.74B · FY2026

The read

Quality fundamentals and an attractive price line up (~125% below fair value) — the rarer case where both the business and the entry look good.

Elastic runs the search, observability and security platform built on the Elasticsearch engine, and FY2026 shows a SaaS business hitting an inflection. Revenue grew 17.3% to $1.74B at a 76.1% gross margin, and the company generated $327M of operating cash flow (+22.8%) on negligible capex ($5.09M) — the hallmark of a capital-light software model throwing off real free cash. It is well positioned in two of the hottest software themes, observability and the search/retrieval layer underpinning enterprise generative-AI applications, and it reinvested $452M (+23.6%) into R&D to defend that position.

A note on earnings quality: the $368M net income (EPS $3.43) is not clean operating profit — GAAP operating income was still slightly negative at -$33.5M (operating margin -1.9%), so the bottom-line surge reflects below-the-line items (likely a large tax benefit) rather than operating breakeven. That makes the 17.2x P/E flattering; the better lenses are the strong cash flow, the 76% gross margin, and the improving operating trajectory (operating loss narrowed 39%). Stock-based compensation is the main reason GAAP operating profitability lags, typical for the sector.

Is ESTC a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bull call spread~90d expiry
  • Long call 58 @ ~7.55 est
  • Short call 64 @ ~5.23 est
debit $232max +$368max −$232BE 60.32

BUY verdict with defined risk: the short call finances part of the long one; max loss is the net debit.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Revenue$862M$1.07B$1.27B$1.48B$1.74B
Gross profit$630M$772M$937M$1.10B$1.32B
Operating income-$174M-$219M-$130M-$54.9M-$33.5M
Net income-$204M-$236M$61.7M-$108M$368M
Diluted EPS-$2.20-$2.47$0.59-$1.04$3.43
Net margin-23.6%-22.1%4.9%-7.3%21.1%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$5.84B
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales3.4
EV / FCF18.1
P / FCF18.7
PEG (trailing)0.04
Earnings yield6.1%
FCF yield5.3%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)-1.4%
Free cash flow$322M
Total debt$571M
Net cash$198M
Altman Z-Score2.43 grey
Piotroski F-Score6/9

Capital returns

Buyback yield5.6%
Dividend yield (est.)—
Shareholder yield5.6%
Shares Δ YoY-1.5%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Some governance/structural items recently, but no outright red flags.
  1. 8-K Exit / restructuring costs2026-06-24
  2. 10-K Annual report2026-06-08
  3. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-28
  4. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-02-27
  5. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-26
  6. 10-Q Quarterly report2025-11-24
  7. 8-K Earnings results2025-11-20
  8. 8-K Officer / director change2025-10-15
  9. 8-K Other event2025-10-09

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-182026-06-24open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗144Filing2026-06-09open ↗144Filing2026-06-09open ↗144Filing2026-06-09open ↗144Filing2026-06-09open ↗

Quality score

B
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueB
GrowthA
ProfitabilityB-
Financial healthB+
MomentumD
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$130.34

Undervalued +125% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $3.43 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 22.0% growth) × 1.16 quality = 38.0× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

43.3052-week94.47
Revenue
$1.74B
+17.3% YoY
Net margin
21.1%
ROE
28.8%
P/E
16.9

SEC fundamentals · FY 2026

'22'23'24'25'26

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$1.74B+17.3%
Net income$368M+440.2%
Gross profit$1.32B+19.9%
Operating income-$33.5M+39.0%
Diluted EPS$3.43+429.8%
Cash & equivalents$769M+5.7%
Total assets$3.15B+21.6%
Total liabilities$1.88B+12.6%
Stockholders' equity$1.28B+37.7%
Gross: 76.1%Op.: -1.9%L/E: 1.47x

Frequently asked

Is Elastic N.V. (ESTC) a buy?
ESTC currently carries a Buy rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. 17% growth, 76% gross margins and $327M of cash flow at just 3.5x sales — a quality search/AI software name on sale.
What is ESTC's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on ESTC's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $130.34. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is ESTC overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, ESTC currently appears undervalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is Elastic N.V.'s quality score?
ESTC scores 70.61171774506403/100 (grade B) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001707753, latest 10-K filed 2026-06-08) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:57:10 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:57 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 7 sales

2026-06-09
Kulkarni Ashutosh
Chief Executive Officer
Sell40.4K @ $60.61$2.45M
2026-06-09
Welihinda Navam
Chief Financial Officer
Sell13.0K @ $60.61$786K
2026-06-09
Exner Ken
Chief Product Officer
Sell18.4K @ $60.61$1.12M
2026-06-09
Herzog Carolyn
Chief Legal Officer
Sell9.48K @ $60.61$575K
2026-06-09
Dodds Mark Eugene
Chief Revenue Officer
Sell18.4K @ $60.61$1.12M
2026-06-09
Bone Jane E
GVP & CAO
Sell1.10K @ $60.61$66.9K
2026-06-09
Banon Shay
Chief Technology Officer
Sell9.29K @ $60.61$563K
2026-06-08
Kulkarni Ashutosh
Chief Executive Officer
Award111K
2026-06-08
Kulkarni Ashutosh
Chief Executive Officer
Award149K
2026-06-08
Welihinda Navam
Chief Financial Officer
Award45.1K
2026-06-08
Welihinda Navam
Chief Financial Officer
Award56.3K
2026-06-08
Exner Ken
Chief Product Officer
Award48.6K

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-28Beat +10.7% est▲ +6.88%8-K ↗
2026-02-26Beat +8.9% est▲ +6.17%8-K ↗
2025-11-20Beat +40.5% est▼ -7.02%8-K ↗
2025-08-28—▲ +5.39%8-K ↗
2025-05-29—▼ -0.37%8-K ↗
2025-02-27—▼ -2.16%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

Disclosed under the STOCK Act

2025-06-23Rob BresnahanSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2021-04-21Josh GottheimerSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2021-04-02Anthony E. GonzalezSell$50.0K–$100KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1194 tracked peers · median

TENK Score71 vs 67
Revenue growth17.3% vs 7.5%
Net margin21.1% vs 10.0%
Return on equity28.8% vs 12.0%
P/E16.9 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 33d
Bullish
+0.15
vs typical · 61 articles
↓ cooling

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.