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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›FATE
FATE logo

FATE

FATE THERAPEUTICS INC

Next earnings Aug 10, 2026 · consensus $-0.27 EPS, $1.03M rev

Last earnings -5.1% on 2026-05-13

Avoid
$2.92
▲ +20.66%
$2.92▲ +180.77%
over 1Y
L $0.92H $2.92
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+20.7%
1W+56.1%
1M+13.6%
3M+139.3%
YTD+196.0%
1Y+180.8%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Avoid
Quality
D
Valuation
Fair value
Filings
Flagged
Avoid
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
Street · 18 analysts
Buy

Cash-burning clinical-stage cell-therapy story with no approved product, collapsing collaboration revenue, and no efficacy data to underwrite — uninvestable on the numbers alone.

Revenue $6.65M · FY2025

FATE is a pre-commercial, clinical-stage cell-therapy company whose entire value rests on an iPSC-derived CAR T/NK pipeline for which the provided data contains zero clinical readouts. Management states it plainly: the company has "never been profitable and have incurred net losses in each year since inception," and does "not expect to generate any meaningful revenues from product sales, royalties, or sales milestones unless and until we successfully" commercialize a candidate. The FY2025 P/S of 51x is meaningless because the $6.65M of "revenue" is collaboration/grant income (largely the Ono agreement), not product sales — and it is evaporating, down 51% YoY and down from $96.3M in FY2022 to $6.65M in FY2025. That collapse signals the collaboration engine winding down, not a business scaling.

The balance sheet is the one point of comfort but does not make this investable. Stockholders' equity is $207M and current assets are $209M against just $36.1M of current liabilities, with the stale FY2018 debt lines implying no material leverage today. But operating cash flow was -$106M in FY2025 and R&D was still $108M, so the liquid pile funds only roughly two years of burn before the company must return to the market — consistent with its stated history of funding "primarily through the public and private sale of common stock and warrants." Share count rose only 1.5% this year, but a -$1.53B accumulated deficit is the record of how much capital this model consumes.

Is FATE a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bear put spread (caution)~90d expiry
  • Long put 3 @ ~0.75 est
  • Short put 2.5 @ ~0.47 est
debit $28max +$22max −$28BE 2.72

AVOID means we wouldn't engage at all — if expressing the short side anyway, only with capped risk.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$55.8M$96.3M$63.5M$13.6M$6.65M
Gross profit—————
Operating income-$217M-$308M-$191M-$210M-$148M
Net income-$212M-$282M-$161M-$186M-$136M
Diluted EPS-$2.24-$2.91-$1.64-$1.64-$1.15
Net margin-379.9%-292.5%-253.3%-1366.5%-2051.1%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$309M
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales46.4
EV / FCF—
P / FCF—
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield-40.1%
FCF yield-32.9%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)-52.5%
Free cash flow-$112M
Total debt$14.9M
Net cash$31.7M
Piotroski F-Score1/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.0%
Dividend yield (est.)—
Shareholder yield0.0%
Shares Δ YoY+1.5%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has skewed negative — read the flagged items.
  1. 8-K Officer / director change2026-06-15

    Annual meeting vote results plus an officer/director change; routine governance

  2. 8-K Other event2026-06-04

    Item 8.01 other-events disclosure — corporate/pipeline update, no financials

  3. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-13

    Q1-2026: cash ~$47M, ongoing losses keep runway/dilution risk in focus

  4. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-13

    Q1-2026: cash ~$47M, ongoing losses keep runway/dilution risk in focus

  5. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-24

    Annual proxy: board slate, exec comp, auditor ratification — routine

  6. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-26

    FY2025: revenue -51% to $6.7M, loss narrowed, cash low, no products

  7. 10-K Annual report2026-02-26

    FY2025: revenue -51% to $6.7M, loss narrowed, cash low, no products

  8. 8-K Earnings results2025-11-13

    Q3-2025: continued net losses, no revenue inflection for clinical pipeline

  9. 10-Q Quarterly report2025-11-13

    Q3-2025: continued net losses, no revenue inflection for clinical pipeline

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-15open ↗3Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-15open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-122026-06-15open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-042026-06-04open ↗

Quality score

D
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueF
GrowthC-
ProfitabilityF
Financial healthC
MomentumA+
  • ✗Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✗Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
0.9252-week3.02
Revenue
$6.65M
-51.2% YoY
Net margin
-2051.1%
ROE
-65.8%
P/E
—

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$6.65M-51.2%
Net income-$136M+26.8%
Operating income-$148M+29.8%
Diluted EPS-$1.15+29.9%
Cash & equivalents$46.6M+29.3%
Total assets$319M-27.6%
Stockholders' equity$207M-35.0%
Op.: -2222.4%

Frequently asked

Is FATE THERAPEUTICS INC (FATE) a buy?
FATE currently carries a Avoid rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Cash-burning clinical-stage cell-therapy story with no approved product, collapsing collaboration revenue, and no efficacy data to underwrite — uninvestable on the numbers alone.
What is FATE THERAPEUTICS INC's quality score?
FATE scores 45.68333333333334/100 (grade D) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001434316, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-13) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 7/3/2026, 9:53:50 AM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jul 3, 2026, 5:53 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-13Beat +9.0% est▼ -20.64%8-K ↗
2026-02-26Beat +1.9% est▲ +1.37%8-K ↗
2025-11-13Beat +9.1% est▼ -9.91%8-K ↗
2025-08-12Beat +17.0% est▲ +9.17%8-K ↗
2025-05-13—▲ +14.02%8-K ↗
2025-03-05—▼ -9.82%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

Disclosed under the STOCK Act

2023-02-24Daniel GoldmanSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score46 vs 67
Revenue growth-51.2% vs 7.5%
Net margin-2051.1% vs 10.0%
Return on equity-65.8% vs 12.0%
P/E— vs 26.2