Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

FATE THERAPEUTICS INC
Next earnings Aug 10, 2026 · consensus $-0.27 EPS, $1.03M rev
Last earnings -5.1% on 2026-05-13
Cash-burning clinical-stage cell-therapy story with no approved product, collapsing collaboration revenue, and no efficacy data to underwrite — uninvestable on the numbers alone.
Revenue $6.65M · FY2025
FATE is a pre-commercial, clinical-stage cell-therapy company whose entire value rests on an iPSC-derived CAR T/NK pipeline for which the provided data contains zero clinical readouts. Management states it plainly: the company has "never been profitable and have incurred net losses in each year since inception," and does "not expect to generate any meaningful revenues from product sales, royalties, or sales milestones unless and until we successfully" commercialize a candidate. The FY2025 P/S of 51x is meaningless because the $6.65M of "revenue" is collaboration/grant income (largely the Ono agreement), not product sales — and it is evaporating, down 51% YoY and down from $96.3M in FY2022 to $6.65M in FY2025. That collapse signals the collaboration engine winding down, not a business scaling.
The balance sheet is the one point of comfort but does not make this investable. Stockholders' equity is $207M and current assets are $209M against just $36.1M of current liabilities, with the stale FY2018 debt lines implying no material leverage today. But operating cash flow was -$106M in FY2025 and R&D was still $108M, so the liquid pile funds only roughly two years of burn before the company must return to the market — consistent with its stated history of funding "primarily through the public and private sale of common stock and warrants." Share count rose only 1.5% this year, but a -$1.53B accumulated deficit is the record of how much capital this model consumes.
Is FATE a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →
AVOID means we wouldn't engage at all — if expressing the short side anyway, only with capped risk.
Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $55.8M | $96.3M | $63.5M | $13.6M | $6.65M |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | -$217M | -$308M | -$191M | -$210M | -$148M |
| Net income | -$212M | -$282M | -$161M | -$186M | -$136M |
| Diluted EPS | -$2.24 | -$2.91 | -$1.64 | -$1.64 | -$1.15 |
| Net margin | -379.9% | -292.5% | -253.3% | -1366.5% | -2051.1% |
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Annual meeting vote results plus an officer/director change; routine governance
Item 8.01 other-events disclosure — corporate/pipeline update, no financials
Q1-2026: cash ~$47M, ongoing losses keep runway/dilution risk in focus
Q1-2026: cash ~$47M, ongoing losses keep runway/dilution risk in focus
Annual proxy: board slate, exec comp, auditor ratification — routine
FY2025: revenue -51% to $6.7M, loss narrowed, cash low, no products
FY2025: revenue -51% to $6.7M, loss narrowed, cash low, no products
Q3-2025: continued net losses, no revenue inflection for clinical pipeline
Q3-2025: continued net losses, no revenue inflection for clinical pipeline
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001434316, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-13) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 7/3/2026, 9:53:50 AM.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jul 3, 2026, 5:53 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
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Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
Disclosed under the STOCK Act
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