GGG
GRACO INC
Next earnings Jul 21, 2026 · consensus $0.81 EPS, $614M rev
$75.24
▼ -0.70%$75.24▼ -11.50%
over 1Y
L $73.47H $94.50
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today-0.7%
1W-0.9%
1M+1.6%
3M-10.8%
YTD-8.3%
1Y-11.5%
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 16 analysts
Buy
Best-in-class, debt-free fluid-handling compounder — 52.5% gross margin, 27.9% operating margin, fair 24.7x P/E.
Gross margin 52.5% · FY2025
The read
Solid fundamentals at a roughly fair price — reasonable risk/reward at today's level.
Graco is a textbook high-quality industrial: a leader in fluid-handling pumps and spray equipment with exceptional, durable profitability. FY2025 gross margin was 52.5%, operating margin 27.9%, and net margin 23.3% — figures that have held remarkably steady across cycles. Revenue grew 5.8% to $2.24B, net income 7.4% to $522M, and diluted EPS 9.2% to $3.08, extending a consistent multi-year compounding record (net income up every year from $440M in FY2021).
The balance sheet is pristine: effectively no long-term debt (just $1.62M current portion), $624M cash, and $2.65B equity supporting a 19.7% return on equity. Capital allocation is shareholder-friendly and accelerating — buybacks surged to $423M (+1,249.6% off a low base), shrinking the share count 2.5%, while dividends rose 6.5% to $183M, both comfortably funded by $684M of operating cash flow (+10.0%). Capex fell 57.2% to $45.7M, reflecting a capital-light model that converts earnings to cash efficiently.
Is GGG a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →
The options angle
model · matches our verdictBull call spread~90d expiry
- Long call 75 @ ~3.24 est
- Short call 83 @ ~0.63 est
debit $261max +$539max −$261BE 77.61
BUY verdict with defined risk: the short call finances part of the long one; max loss is the net debit.
Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.
Financials · annual, by fiscal year
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.99B | $2.14B | $2.20B | $2.11B | $2.24B |
| Gross profit | $1.03B | $1.06B | $1.16B | $1.12B | $1.17B |
| Operating income | $531M | $573M | $647M | $570M | $625M |
| Net income | $440M | $461M | $507M | $486M | $522M |
| Diluted EPS | $2.52 | $2.66 | $2.94 | $2.82 | $3.08 |
| Net margin | 22.1% | 21.5% | 23.1% | 23.0% | 23.3% |
10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Key statistics
Valuation
Enterprise value$11.9B
EV / EBITDA16.2
EV / Sales5.3
EV / FCF18.6
P / FCF19.6
PEG (trailing)3.32
Earnings yield4.2%
FCF yield5.1%
Quality & risk
ROIC (est.)18.6%
Free cash flow$638M
Total debt$1.62M
Net cash$622M
Piotroski F-Score7/9
Capital returns
Buyback yield3.4%
Dividend yield (est.)1.5%
Shareholder yield4.9%
Shares Δ YoY-2.5%
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Disclosure timeline
SEC · 8-Ks + reportsSome governance/structural items recently, but no outright red flags.
- 8-K Officer / director change2026-06-15
- 8-K Reg FD disclosure2026-05-21
- 8-K Reg FD disclosure2026-05-05
- 8-K Shareholder vote2026-04-27
- 10-Q Quarterly report2026-04-22
- DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-03-11
- 8-K Officer / director change2026-03-02
- 10-K Annual report2026-02-17
- 8-K Officer / director change2026-02-13
Recent filings
all on EDGAR ↗4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-01open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-122026-06-15open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-212026-05-21open ↗SDFiling2026-05-19open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-052026-05-05open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-04-30open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-272026-04-27open ↗
Frequently asked
- Is GRACO INC (GGG) a buy?
- GGG currently carries a Buy rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Best-in-class, debt-free fluid-handling compounder — 52.5% gross margin, 27.9% operating margin, fair 24.7x P/E.
- What is GGG's fair value?
- A Modified-Graham model based on GGG's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $65.43. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
- Is GGG overvalued or undervalued?
- Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, GGG currently appears fairly valued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
- What is GRACO INC's quality score?
- GGG scores 67.49543937112796/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000042888, latest 10-Q filed 2026-04-22) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:46:40 PM.
About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:46 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.