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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›GXO
GXO logo

GXO

GXO Logistics, Inc.

Next earnings Aug 3, 2026 · consensus $0.60 EPS, $3.50B rev

Last earnings +7.7% on 2026-05-05

Buy
$51.95
▲ +2.91%
$51.95▲ +6.67%
over 1Y
L $45.52H $65.59
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+2.9%
1W+2.0%
1M+4.9%
3M-2.1%
YTD-4.3%
1Y+6.7%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Buy
Quality
C
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Watch
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 19 analysts
Buy

World's largest contract-logistics player growing 13% at 0.4x sales; net income masked by Wincanton integration and one-off costs.

Revenue $13.2B · FY2025

The read

The fundamentals carry the rating, but the price is rich (~96% above our fair-value estimate) — a quality-at-a-price call. The case rests on the business, not the entry; patient buyers may wait for a pullback.

GXO is the largest pure-play contract logistics provider in the world, running 1,043 facilities and ~221 million square feet of technology-enabled warehousing for blue-chip customers under mostly long-term contracts. The business model is asset-light with high revenue visibility, and it rides two durable tailwinds: e-commerce/omnichannel fulfillment and the secular outsourcing of logistics. FY2025 revenue grew 13% to $13.2B — including $655M from the Wincanton acquisition plus new contract wins and pricing — and operating income rose 12.4% to $245M, so the core operation is expanding healthily.

The collapse in net income to $32M (EPS $0.28, down 75%) is below-the-operating-line and largely transitory. The MD&A bridge shows the culprits: interest expense up 29% to $133M (acquisition financing), $54M of transaction/integration costs, $27M of restructuring, $65M of regulatory/litigation expense, a $34M loss on a divestiture, and an outsized $68M tax charge. These are integration and one-off items tied to absorbing Wincanton (CMA-approved in June 2025, with a grocery-contract divestment to complete in 2026), not a deterioration in the underlying contract economics.

Is GXO a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bull call spread~90d expiry
  • Long call 52 @ ~4.15 est
  • Short call 57 @ ~2.24 est
debit $191max +$309max −$191BE 53.91

BUY verdict with defined risk: the short call finances part of the long one; max loss is the net debit.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$7.94B$8.99B$9.78B$11.7B$13.2B
Gross profit—————
Operating income$151M$242M$318M$218M$245M
Net income$153M$197M$229M$134M$32.0M
Diluted EPS$1.32$1.67$1.92$1.12$0.28
Net margin1.9%2.2%2.3%1.1%0.2%

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$5.12B
EV / EBITDA7.3
EV / Sales0.4
EV / FCF46.6
P / FCF54.3
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield0.5%
FCF yield1.8%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)6.5%
Free cash flow$110M
Total debt—
Net cash$854M
Piotroski F-Score6/7

Capital returns

Buyback yield3.3%
Dividend yield (est.)—
Shareholder yield3.3%
Shares Δ YoY-4.0%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Some governance/structural items recently, but no outright red flags.
  1. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-22
  2. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-06
  3. 8-K Reg FD disclosure2026-05-05
  4. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-05
  5. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-22
  6. 8-K Officer / director change2026-03-06
  7. 10-K Annual report2026-02-25
  8. 8-K Reg FD disclosure2026-02-10
  9. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-10

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-202026-05-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-202026-05-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-202026-05-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-202026-05-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-202026-05-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-202026-05-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-202026-05-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-202026-05-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-202026-05-22open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-202026-05-22open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-132026-05-15open ↗

Quality score

C
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueC
GrowthD
ProfitabilityD
Financial healthA-
MomentumD
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✗P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$2.03

Overvalued -96% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $0.28 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 0.0% growth) × 0.85 quality = 7.3× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

45.5252-week65.59
Revenue
$13.2B
+12.5% YoY
Net margin
0.2%
ROE
1.1%
P/E
185.5

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$13.2B+12.5%
Net income$32.0M-76.1%
Operating income$245M+12.4%
Diluted EPS$0.28-75.0%
Cash & equivalents$854M+106.8%
Total assets$12.3B+8.8%
Stockholders' equity$2.98B-0.7%
Op.: 1.9%

Frequently asked

Is GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) a buy?
GXO currently carries a Buy rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. World's largest contract-logistics player growing 13% at 0.4x sales; net income masked by Wincanton integration and one-off costs.
What is GXO's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on GXO's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $2.03. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is GXO overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, GXO currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is GXO Logistics, Inc.'s quality score?
GXO scores 55.35078273980845/100 (grade C) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001852244, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-06) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:57:39 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:57 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-07-01
Bracken Laura L.
Interim CAO
Exercise3.06K
2026-07-01
Bracken Laura L.
Interim CAO
Tax746.00 @ $50.70$37.8K

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-05Beat +34.3% est▲ +7.74%8-K ↗
2026-02-10Beat +2.7% est▼ -1.02%8-K ↗
2025-11-04Miss -0.3% est▲ +0.02%8-K ↗
2025-08-05Beat +4.2% est▲ +1.05%8-K ↗
2025-05-07—▲ +0.74%8-K ↗
2025-02-12—▼ -0.56%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

Disclosed under the STOCK Act

2022-08-31Lois FrankelSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2022-06-16Lois FrankelSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2022-06-09Lois FrankelBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2021-08-18Lois FrankelBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Recent news

market news →
GXO Logistics secures five-year transport pact extension with Co-opBullish
seekingalpha.com· 2026-06-30
GXO and Co-op Extend Transport Partnership with New Five year AgreementBullish
globenewswire.com· 2026-06-30
Is GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) A Good Stock To Buy Now?Bullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-29
GXO Logistics extends historic 50-year frozen supply chain partnership with CarrefourBullish
seekingalpha.com· 2026-06-24
Is Symbotic Inc. (SYM) A Good Stock To Buy Now?Bullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-13
C.H. Robinson Worldwide vs. GXO: Which Logistics Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?Bullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-12

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1194 tracked peers · median

TENK Score55 vs 67
Revenue growth12.5% vs 7.5%
Net margin0.2% vs 10.0%
Return on equity1.1% vs 12.0%
P/E185.5 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 17d
Bullish
+0.15
vs typical · 29 articles
↑ improving

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.