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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

EDGAR® is a registered trademark of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. TENK/calls is an independent service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

TTENK/calls
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Home›Stocks›HTHT
HTHT logo

HTHT

H World Group Ltd

Next earnings Aug 18, 2026 · consensus $0.54 EPS, $6.94B rev

Hold
$42.14
▼ -2.61%
$42.14▲ +29.07%
over 1Y
L $29.07H $54.63
Today-2.6%
1W+1.8%
1M-4.9%
3M-17.2%
YTD-9.9%
1Y+29.1%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
B-
Valuation
Overvalued
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
Street · 21 analysts
Buy

Fast-growing Chinese hotel operator with strong profit growth, but distorted ADS-vs-share valuation math makes a confident price call unsafe.

Revenue $3.62B · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~79% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

H World (formerly Huazhu) is China's leading economy-and-midscale hotel operator, and the underlying fundamentals are strong. FY2025 revenue grew 10.5% to $3.62B, operating income jumped 36.7% to $975M, and net income surged 73.7% to $726M. Operating cash flow rose 16.3% to $1.20B and cash climbed 45.0% to $1.49B, while long-term debt was cut 89.1% to $68.0M. Returns are robust given the asset-light franchising model, and the profit trajectory is clearly improving.

The caution is in the valuation lens, which the provided data renders unreliable. The headline P/E of 184.8 and P/S of 36.1 are computed off a share count (3.07B ordinary shares) that does not reconcile with the ADS the stock actually trades as, producing an implausible $131B market cap for a company with $3.62B of revenue and $726M of net income. Because the price-to-fundamentals relationship cannot be trusted from this data, I cannot responsibly assign a price target or make a valuation-driven buy/sell call.

Is HTHT a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Covered call~60d expiry
  • Long 100 shares @ ~42.14
  • Short call 44 @ ~1.35 est
debit $4,079max +$321max −$4,078BE 40.79

HOLD means own it, don't chase it — harvesting premium against the position matches the verdict.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$2.01B$2.01B$3.08B$3.27B$3.62B
Gross profit—————
Operating income$26.0M-$43.0M$662M$713M$975M
Net income-$73.0M-$264M$575M$418M$726M
Diluted EPS-$0.02-$0.08$0.18$0.13$0.23
Net margin-3.6%-13.1%18.7%12.8%20.1%

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$12.3B
EV / EBITDA10.7
EV / Sales3.4
EV / FCF11.9
P / FCF12.5
PEG (trailing)2.49
Earnings yield5.6%
FCF yield8.0%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)28.9%
Free cash flow$1.04B
Total debt$831M
Net cash$654M
Altman Z-Score1.83 grey
Piotroski F-Score7/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.9%
Dividend yield (est.)4.3%
Shareholder yield5.2%
Shares Δ YoY-0.4%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-282026-06-30open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-06-262026-06-26open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-312026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-312026-06-01open ↗144Filing2026-05-21open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-142026-05-18open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-05-152026-05-15open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-05-112026-05-11open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-05-052026-05-05open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-05-042026-05-04open ↗20-FPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-04-24open ↗4Period ending 2026-03-312026-04-01open ↗

Quality score

B-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueD
GrowthA-
ProfitabilityA+
Financial healthC+
MomentumC-
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✗Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✗P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$8.74

Overvalued -79% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $0.23 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 22.0% growth) × 1.04 quality = 38.0× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

29.0752-week54.63
Revenue
$3.62B
+10.5% YoY
Net margin
20.1%
ROE
39.7%
P/E
183.2

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$3.62B+10.5%
Net income$726M+73.7%
Operating income$975M+36.7%
Diluted EPS$0.23+76.9%
Cash & equivalents$1.49B+45.0%
Total assets$9.26B+8.1%
Total liabilities$7.41B+7.6%
Stockholders' equity$1.83B+9.8%
Op.: 26.9%L/E: 4.05x

Frequently asked

Is H World Group Ltd (HTHT) a buy?
HTHT currently carries a Hold rating with 2/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Fast-growing Chinese hotel operator with strong profit growth, but distorted ADS-vs-share valuation math makes a confident price call unsafe.
What is HTHT's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on HTHT's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $8.74. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is HTHT overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, HTHT currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is H World Group Ltd's quality score?
HTHT scores 68.69367953667526/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001483994, latest 4 filed 2026-06-30) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:46:01 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:46 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-06-30
Cao Lei
Director
Tax11.3K @ $43.27$490K
2026-06-30
Cao Lei
Director
Tax6.26K @ $43.27$271K
2026-06-28
Cao Lei
Director
Exercise30.0K
2026-06-28
Cao Lei
Director
Exercise30.8K
2026-06-02
Jin Hui
Chief Executive Officer
Tax390K @ $44.37$17.3M
2026-06-02
Jin Hui
Chief Executive Officer
Tax570K @ $44.37$25.3M
2026-05-31
Jin Hui
Chief Executive Officer
Exercise950K
2026-05-31
Jin Hui
Chief Executive Officer
Exercise1.56M
2026-05-31
JI QI
Director
Exercise1.01M
2026-05-15
Zheng Jie
Director
Exercise308K
2026-03-27
Jin Hui
Chief Executive Officer
Tax31.2K @ $50.36$1.57M
2026-03-26
Jin Hui
Chief Executive Officer
Exercise148K

Held by tracked funds

Form 13F · SEC · quarterly
Renaissance Technologies1.39M sh$70.0M

As of each fund’s latest quarterly 13F — a delayed snapshot, not a live position. All tracked funds →

Dividends

Semi-annual
Yield (TTM)
5.0%
Annual / share
$2.11
Last ex-date
2026-05-04
Last amount
$1.30
ex 2026-05-04paid 2026-05-20$1.30
ex 2025-09-09paid 2025-09-26$0.81
ex 2025-04-09paid 2025-04-30$0.97
ex 2024-08-14paid 2024-09-03$0.63
ex 2023-12-20paid 2024-01-17$0.93
ex 2022-03-23paid 2022-04-21$0.21

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score69 vs 67
Revenue growth10.5% vs 7.5%
Net margin20.1% vs 10.0%
Return on equity39.7% vs 12.0%
P/E183.2 vs 26.2