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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›JCAP
JCAP logo

JCAP

Jefferson Capital, Inc. / DE

Next earnings Aug 12, 2026 · consensus $0.71 EPS, $174M rev

Last earnings +0.2% on 2026-05-14

Buy
$18.82
▼ -3.49%
$18.82▲ +4.18%
over 1Y
L $15.47H $22.76
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today-3.5%
1W+3.3%
1M+14.7%
3M-1.8%
YTD-12.6%
1Y+4.2%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Buy
Quality
A
Valuation
Undervalued
Filings
Clean
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 13 analysts
Buy

Distressed-debt buyer compounding earnings >40% at 3.2x P/E and 39.5% ROE — market is mispricing a high-quality specialty finance name.

P/E (trailing) 3.2x · FY2025

The read

Quality fundamentals and an attractive price line up (~1039% below fair value) — the rarer case where both the business and the entry look good.

JCAP is a debt-recovery specialist that purchases charged-off consumer receivables at deep discounts (FY2025 deployments of $832M acquired $13.03B of face value — an average 6.4% of face) and collects them at scale across four geographic segments. The fundamentals are exceptional: FY2025 revenue grew 41.5% to $613M, net income jumped 45.8% to $188M, and operating margin expanded to 51.6% with 39.5% ROE. This is the third straight year of accelerating growth (revenue $323M → $433M → $613M; net income $112M → $129M → $188M), and operating cash flow surged 59.8% to $269M, validating that GAAP earnings are converting to cash.

The MD&A reveals the engine: Estimated Remaining Collections — the undiscounted future cash claim — grew 23.1% to $3.38B, with the U.S. segment up 19.7% to $2.53B (boosted by the Conn's and Bluestem portfolio purchases of $139.9M and $295.6M of ERC respectively) and Canada up a striking 47.4%. ERC is roughly 3.4x annual revenue and ~7.1x net income, so the cash-collection runway is already locked in. Deployments grew 15% YoY, meaning the company is restocking the inventory that fuels future revenue.

Is JCAP a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bull call spread (wide)~60d expiry
  • Long call 19 @ ~1.16 est
  • Short call 21.5 @ ~0.38 est
debit $78max +$172max −$78BE 19.78

High-conviction BUY: a wider spread keeps more of the upside while the short call still cuts cost and decay.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY23FY24FY25
Revenue$323M$433M$613M
Gross profit———
Operating income$164M$220M$316M
Net income$112M$129M$188M
Diluted EPS——$5.64
Net margin34.5%29.7%30.6%

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value—
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales—
EV / FCF—
P / FCF—
PEG (trailing)0.07
Earnings yield18.0%
FCF yield—

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)11.2%
Free cash flow—
Total debt$1.75B
Net cash-$1.73B

Capital returns

Buyback yield—
Dividend yield (est.)6.1%
Shareholder yield6.1%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has been improving.
  1. S-3 Shelf registration (potential raise)2026-07-02
  2. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-06-08

    Annual meeting vote results disclosed; routine governance outcome

  3. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-14

    Q1 2026 10-Q filed; continues strong post-IPO growth trajectory

  4. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-14

    Q1 2026 10-Q filed; continues strong post-IPO growth trajectory

  5. 8-K Material agreement2026-04-23

    New material agreement and debt obligation; expands financing capacity for deployments

  6. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-21

    Routine proxy for annual meeting; standard director/governance items

  7. 8-K Officer / director change2026-03-18

    Officer/director change disclosed; leadership transition

  8. 8-K Officer / director change2026-03-17

    Officer/director change disclosed; leadership transition

  9. 10-K Annual report2026-03-13

    FY2025 10-K: $613M rev, 51.6% op margin, ERC up 23% to $3.38B

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
S-3Filing2026-07-02open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-052026-06-08open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-05-15open ↗10-QPeriod ending 2026-03-312026-05-14open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-142026-05-14open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-05-08open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-04-222026-04-23open ↗DEFA14AFiling2026-04-21open ↗DEF 14APeriod ending 2026-06-052026-04-21open ↗4Period ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗

Quality score

A
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueA
GrowthA+
ProfitabilityA+
Financial healthA-
MomentumD
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$214.32

Undervalued +1039% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $5.64 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 22.0% growth) × 1.16 quality = 38.0× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

15.4752-week22.76
Revenue
$613M
+41.5% YoY
Net margin
30.6%
ROE
39.5%
P/E
3.3

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$613M+41.5%
Net income$188M+45.8%
Operating income$316M+43.7%
Diluted EPS$5.64
Cash & equivalents$23.2M-34.6%
Total assets$2.09B+26.2%
Total liabilities$1.61B+26.7%
Stockholders' equity$476M+24.5%
Op.: 51.6%L/E: 3.38x

Frequently asked

Is Jefferson Capital, Inc. / DE (JCAP) a buy?
JCAP currently carries a Buy rating with 4/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Distressed-debt buyer compounding earnings >40% at 3.2x P/E and 39.5% ROE — market is mispricing a high-quality specialty finance name.
What is JCAP's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on JCAP's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $214.32. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is JCAP overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, JCAP currently appears undervalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is Jefferson Capital, Inc. / DE's quality score?
JCAP scores 83.75214249546394/100 (grade A) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002046042, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-14) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/25/2026, 2:24:47 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 25, 2026, 10:24 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-01-09
Burton David M.
SEE REMARKS
Sell385K @ $20.50$7.89M
2026-01-09
JCF IV JCAP Holding L.P.
10% owner
Sell11.0M @ $19.63$216M
2025-08-22
J.C. Flowers IV L.P.
10% owner
Disposed (J)13.5M
2025-08-22
J.C. Flowers IV L.P.
10% owner
Disposed (J)30.2M
2025-06-27
J.C. Flowers IV L.P.
10% owner
Sell2.69M @ $15.00$40.3M
2025-06-27
J.C. Flowers IV L.P.
10% owner
Sell6.02M @ $15.00$90.3M
2025-06-27
Burton David M.
SEE REMARKS
Sell424K @ $15.00$6.36M
2025-06-25
Burton David M.
SEE REMARKS
Award4.20M

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
5.1%
Annual / share
$0.96
Last ex-date
2026-05-26
Last amount
$0.24
ex 2026-05-26paid 2026-06-04$0.24
ex 2026-03-24paid 2026-04-02$0.24
ex 2025-11-25paid 2025-12-04$0.24
ex 2025-08-25paid 2025-09-04$0.24

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-14Beat +4.5% est▼ -3.25%8-K ↗
2026-03-12Beat +1.9% est▼ -2.17%8-K ↗
2025-11-13Beat +17.0% est▼ -5.15%8-K ↗
2025-08-14Beat +14.1% est▲ +1.18%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score84 vs 67
Revenue growth41.5% vs 7.5%
Net margin30.6% vs 10.0%
Return on equity39.5% vs 12.0%
P/E3.3 vs 26.2