Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

Jefferson Capital, Inc. / DE
Next earnings Aug 12, 2026 · consensus $0.71 EPS, $174M rev
Last earnings +0.2% on 2026-05-14
Distressed-debt buyer compounding earnings >40% at 3.2x P/E and 39.5% ROE — market is mispricing a high-quality specialty finance name.
P/E (trailing) 3.2x · FY2025
Quality fundamentals and an attractive price line up (~1039% below fair value) — the rarer case where both the business and the entry look good.
JCAP is a debt-recovery specialist that purchases charged-off consumer receivables at deep discounts (FY2025 deployments of $832M acquired $13.03B of face value — an average 6.4% of face) and collects them at scale across four geographic segments. The fundamentals are exceptional: FY2025 revenue grew 41.5% to $613M, net income jumped 45.8% to $188M, and operating margin expanded to 51.6% with 39.5% ROE. This is the third straight year of accelerating growth (revenue $323M → $433M → $613M; net income $112M → $129M → $188M), and operating cash flow surged 59.8% to $269M, validating that GAAP earnings are converting to cash.
The MD&A reveals the engine: Estimated Remaining Collections — the undiscounted future cash claim — grew 23.1% to $3.38B, with the U.S. segment up 19.7% to $2.53B (boosted by the Conn's and Bluestem portfolio purchases of $139.9M and $295.6M of ERC respectively) and Canada up a striking 47.4%. ERC is roughly 3.4x annual revenue and ~7.1x net income, so the cash-collection runway is already locked in. Deployments grew 15% YoY, meaning the company is restocking the inventory that fuels future revenue.
Is JCAP a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →
High-conviction BUY: a wider spread keeps more of the upside while the short call still cuts cost and decay.
Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.
| Line item | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $323M | $433M | $613M |
| Gross profit | — | — | — |
| Operating income | $164M | $220M | $316M |
| Net income | $112M | $129M | $188M |
| Diluted EPS | — | — | $5.64 |
| Net margin | 34.5% | 29.7% | 30.6% |
10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Annual meeting vote results disclosed; routine governance outcome
Q1 2026 10-Q filed; continues strong post-IPO growth trajectory
Q1 2026 10-Q filed; continues strong post-IPO growth trajectory
New material agreement and debt obligation; expands financing capacity for deployments
Routine proxy for annual meeting; standard director/governance items
Officer/director change disclosed; leadership transition
Officer/director change disclosed; leadership transition
FY2025 10-K: $613M rev, 51.6% op margin, ERC up 23% to $3.38B
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002046042, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-14) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/25/2026, 2:24:47 PM.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 25, 2026, 10:24 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.
| 2026-01-09 | Burton David M. SEE REMARKS | Sell | 385K @ $20.50 | $7.89M |
| 2026-01-09 | JCF IV JCAP Holding L.P. 10% owner | Sell | 11.0M @ $19.63 | $216M |
| 2025-08-22 | J.C. Flowers IV L.P. 10% owner | Disposed (J) | 13.5M | |
| 2025-08-22 | J.C. Flowers IV L.P. 10% owner | Disposed (J) | 30.2M | |
| 2025-06-27 | J.C. Flowers IV L.P. 10% owner | Sell | 2.69M @ $15.00 | $40.3M |
| 2025-06-27 | J.C. Flowers IV L.P. 10% owner | Sell | 6.02M @ $15.00 | $90.3M |
| 2025-06-27 | Burton David M. SEE REMARKS | Sell | 424K @ $15.00 | $6.36M |
| 2025-06-25 | Burton David M. SEE REMARKS | Award | 4.20M |
Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.
Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
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