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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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TTENK/calls
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Home›Stocks›KRMN
KRMN logo

KRMN

Karman Holdings Inc.

Next earnings Aug 3, 2026 · consensus $0.13 EPS, $183M rev

Last earnings -0.5% on 2026-05-12

Hold
$56.37
▲ +12.40%
$56.37▲ +11.69%
over 1Y
L $44.84H $115.29
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+12.4%
1W+21.8%
1M+3.1%
3M-34.3%
YTD-26.6%
1Y+11.7%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
C
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Flagged
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
Street · 17 analysts
Buy

Fast-growing defense/space components maker, but 14x sales and 388x earnings price in perfection while cash flow turned negative.

Revenue $472M · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~92% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

Karman Holdings is a US-based maker of components and systems for missiles, defense, and space (recently IPO'd in February 2025), and the growth is genuinely impressive: revenue rose 36.6% to $472M with a strong 40.3% gross margin and a 15.5% operating margin, extending a multi-year ramp from $226M in FY2022. The defense/space niche is attractive — long program lifecycles, rising defense budgets, and high barriers to entry — and operating income of $72.9M shows the underlying business is solidly profitable at the operating line.

The complication is that very little of that operating profit reaches the bottom line, and the cash flow has weakened. Net income was only $17.4M (a 3.7% net margin, 4.5% ROE), as $42.7M of depreciation/amortization (much of it acquisition-related intangibles) and interest on $721M of liabilities (1.89x leverage) consume operating profit. More notably, operating cash flow swung negative to -$22.1M (from positive a year earlier), driven by working-capital growth as the company scales — defensible for a fast-growing manufacturer, but it means the growth is currently cash-consumptive rather than self-funding, against just $34M of cash.

Is KRMN a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Covered call~90d expiry
  • Long 100 shares @ ~56.37
  • Short call 59 @ ~10.80 est
debit $4,557max +$1,343max −$4,556BE 45.57

HOLD means own it, don't chase it — harvesting premium against the position matches the verdict.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$226M$281M$345M$472M
Gross profit$80.9M$106M$132M$190M
Operating income$20.4M$48.5M$63.6M$72.9M
Net income-$14.1M$4.36M$12.7M$17.4M
Diluted EPS-$0.09$0.03$0.08$0.13
Net margin-6.2%1.6%3.7%3.7%

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$7.44B
EV / EBITDA64.3
EV / Sales15.8
EV / FCF—
P / FCF—
PEG (trailing)11.81
Earnings yield0.2%
FCF yield-0.6%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)14.9%
Free cash flow-$42.5M
Total debt$3.84M
Net cash$30.1M
Altman Z-Score7.09 safe
Piotroski F-Score3/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield—
Dividend yield (est.)—
Shareholder yield—
Shares Δ YoY+0.3%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Red flag in recent filings — late filing notice (2026-04-01). Worth a closer look.
  1. 8-K Auditor change2026-06-11
  2. 8-K Material agreement2026-06-01
  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-14
  4. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-12
  5. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-04
  6. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-08
  7. 10-K Annual report2026-04-03
  8. NT 10-K Late filing notice2026-04-01
  9. 8-K Earnings results2026-03-25

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-102026-06-11open ↗4/APeriod ending 2026-05-212026-06-08open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-282026-06-01open ↗424B7Filing2026-05-29open ↗FWPFiling2026-05-28open ↗424B7Filing2026-05-28open ↗S-3ASRFiling2026-05-28open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-212026-05-26open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-212026-05-26open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-212026-05-26open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-212026-05-26open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-212026-05-26open ↗

Quality score

C
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueF
GrowthA+
ProfitabilityC+
Financial healthB
MomentumD
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✗P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$4.61

Overvalued -92% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $0.13 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 22.0% growth) × 0.85 quality = 35.5× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

44.8452-week115.29
Revenue
$472M
+36.6% YoY
Net margin
3.7%
ROE
4.5%
P/E
433.6

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$472M+36.6%
Net income$17.4M+36.7%
Gross profit$190M+43.8%
Operating income$72.9M+14.8%
Diluted EPS$0.13+62.5%
Cash & equivalents$34.0M+194.5%
Total assets$1.10B+42.7%
Total liabilities$721M+24.8%
Stockholders' equity$383M+95.3%
Gross: 40.3%Op.: 15.5%L/E: 1.89x

Frequently asked

Is Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) a buy?
KRMN currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Fast-growing defense/space components maker, but 14x sales and 388x earnings price in perfection while cash flow turned negative.
What is KRMN's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on KRMN's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $4.61. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is KRMN overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, KRMN currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is Karman Holdings Inc.'s quality score?
KRMN scores 58.99553770084191/100 (grade C) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002040127, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-14) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:55:04 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:55 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-05-21
Sawhill Stephanie
Former Chief Growth Officer
Award689.00
2026-05-21
Petryszyn Mary D
Director
Award2.29K
2026-05-21
Willis Michael
Chief Financial Officer
Award689.00
2026-05-21
Twitty Stephen
Director
Award2.36K
2026-05-21
Stinnett David
Director
Award1.96K
2026-05-21
RAMBEAU JON
Chief Executive Officer
Award99.9K
2026-05-21
Hamilton John
Director
Award1.96K
2026-05-21
Beaudoin Jonathan
Chief Operating Officer
Award689.00

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-12Miss -10.1% est▲ +2.12%8-K ↗
2026-03-25Miss -4.8% est▲ +2.09%8-K ↗
2026-01-21Miss -4.8% est▼ -4.08%8-K ↗
2025-11-06Miss -12.2% est▼ -14.76%8-K ↗
2025-08-07Beat +0.5% est▲ +10.53%8-K ↗
2025-07-21Beat +0.5% est▼ -9.49%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1194 tracked peers · median

TENK Score59 vs 67
Revenue growth36.6% vs 7.5%
Net margin3.7% vs 10.0%
Return on equity4.5% vs 12.0%
P/E433.6 vs 26.2