Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

Grand Canyon Education, Inc.
Next earnings Aug 4, 2026 · consensus $1.71 EPS, $267M rev
Last earnings -0.1% on 2026-04-30
Quiet compounder: 7% revenue growth, 29% ROE, aggressive buybacks at a reasonable 18.8x P/E — quality at a fair price.
Revenue $1.11B · FY2025
The fundamentals carry the rating, but the price is rich (~39% above our fair-value estimate) — a quality-at-a-price call. The case rests on the business, not the entry; patient buyers may wait for a pullback.
LOPE is a high-quality, capital-light services business hiding behind a complex GCU relationship. FY2025 delivered $1.11B revenue (+7.1%) on the back of 7.1% partner enrollment growth to 136,239 students, with GCU online enrollments — the core engine — up 8.7% to 107,148. Operating margins held at 24.0% and ROE printed 28.9% on a near-debt-free balance sheet (liabilities/equity 0.33x). Net income dipped 4.4% to $216M, but the MD&A reveals a benign explanation: contract modifications reduced revenue share in exchange for shedding faculty cost reimbursements (margin-neutral to slightly accretive long-term), plus the 2024 leap-day comp ($1.5M) and a slight mix shift to lower-tuition online students. Underlying unit economics remain intact.
Capital allocation is the standout. The company bought back $265M of stock in FY2025 (+52.9% YoY) — roughly 6.7% of the current $3.93B market cap in a single year — shrinking the share count 5.5% to 27.1M. Diluted EPS held essentially flat (-0.3%) despite the net income decline, evidence the buyback is doing real work. Operating cash flow of $273M against just $34.8M capex yields ~$238M of free cash flow, comfortably funding the repurchase program. Cash fell 65.6% to $112M precisely because management is choosing aggressive repurchases over a hoarded balance sheet — a shareholder-friendly choice at 18.8x earnings.
Is LOPE a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →
High-conviction BUY: a wider spread keeps more of the upside while the short call still cuts cost and decay.
Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $897M | $911M | $961M | $1.03B | $1.11B |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | $282M | $238M | $249M | $275M | $266M |
| Net income | $260M | $185M | $205M | $226M | $216M |
| Diluted EPS | $5.92 | $5.73 | $6.80 | $7.73 | $7.71 |
| Net margin | 29.0% | 20.3% | 21.3% | 21.9% | 19.5% |
10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Annual meeting results: directors elected and auditor ratified
Reg FD disclosure, likely investor conference or presentation update
Q1 2026 10-Q showing continued GCU partner-enrollment growth
Q1 2026 10-Q showing continued GCU partner-enrollment growth
2026 proxy: routine board, comp and auditor votes for annual meeting
FY25 10-K: enrollments +7.1% to 136,239; NI dipped 4.4% on cost growth
FY25 10-K: enrollments +7.1% to 136,239; NI dipped 4.4% on cost growth
Disclosed officer or director change (Item 5.02 governance event)
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001434588, latest 10-Q filed 2026-04-30) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/25/2026, 1:15:37 PM.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 25, 2026, 9:15 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.
| 2026-06-10 | Warren Kevin F. Director | Award | 498.00 | |
| 2026-06-10 | Humphrey Chevy Director | Award | 498.00 | |
| 2026-06-10 | Keegan Lisa Graham Director | Award | 498.00 | |
| 2026-06-10 | HENRY JACK A Director | Award | 498.00 | |
| 2026-06-10 | Ward Sara Director | Award | 498.00 | |
| 2026-05-05 | BACHUS DANIEL E CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Gift | 770.00 | |
| 2026-05-05 | Meyer William Stan CHIEF OPERATING OFFICER | Gift | 500.00 | |
| 2026-05-05 | MUELLER BRIAN E CEO | Gift | 300.00 |
| Renaissance Technologies | 215K sh | $36.6M |
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Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
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