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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›MCRB
MCRB logo

MCRB

Seres Therapeutics, Inc.

Next earnings Aug 4, 2026 · consensus $-2.35 EPS, $365K rev

Last earnings -2.5% on 2026-05-05

Avoid
$7.74
▼ -0.64%
$7.74▼ -14.95%
over 1Y
L $5.62H $28.63
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today-0.6%
1W+13.1%
1M+5.6%
3M-16.5%
YTD-48.9%
1Y-14.9%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Avoid
Quality
C+
Valuation
Undervalued
Filings
Flagged
Avoid
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
Street · 7 analysts
Buy

Going-concern biotech burning ~$94M/yr operationally with cash gone after Q3 2026 and its lead program paused — uninvestable.

Operating income -$94.0M · FY2025

The read

It screens cheap (~214% below fair value), but the weak fundamentals are why — more potential value trap than bargain.

MCRB is a clinical-stage live-biotherapeutics company whose headline 'profit' is an accounting mirage. FY2025 revenue was just $789K while operating income was -$94.0M (an operating margin of -11,910%); the $5.70M net income and the resulting 12.2x P/E exist only because of one-time items tied to the September 2024 sale of VOWST to Nestlé Health Science, not from a viable business. The 721.9% net margin and 12.9% ROE are artifacts of that distortion — backing them out, this is a company with essentially no product revenue and a -$972M accumulated deficit. The 94.5% drop in share count (9.59M shares) signals a large reverse split, another hallmark of a distressed equity.

The filing is unambiguous about the core problem: management states there is 'substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern' and that, based on current cash, it will 'require additional funding following the third quarter of 2026.' With only $45.8M of cash against a ~$94M operating loss, the runway is short and the company concedes that raising capital or securing a partnership 'cannot be considered probable.' It explicitly names 'seeking relief under the U.S. Bankruptcy Code or winding down our operations' as alternatives — the worst-case is on the table, not hypothetical.

Is MCRB a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bear put spread (caution)~90d expiry
  • Long put 7.5 @ ~0.89 est
  • Short put 7 @ ~0.65 est
debit $24max +$26max −$24BE 7.26

AVOID means we wouldn't engage at all — if expressing the short side anyway, only with capped risk.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$145M$7.13M$0.00$0.00$789K
Gross profit—————
Operating income-$64.5M-$180M-$195M-$121M-$94.0M
Net income-$65.6M-$250M-$114M$136K$5.70M
Diluted EPS-$0.72-$2.31-$17.77$0.00$0.64
Net margin-45.2%-3509.5%——721.9%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$139M
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales176.4
EV / FCF160.9
P / FCF86.7
PEG (trailing)0.00
Earnings yield7.6%
FCF yield1.2%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)-48.1%
Free cash flow$865K
Total debt$110M
Net cash-$64.2M
Altman Z-Score-11.35 distress
Piotroski F-Score6/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.0%
Dividend yield (est.)—
Shareholder yield0.0%
Shares Δ YoY-94.5%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has skewed negative — read the flagged items.
  1. 8-K Material agreement2026-06-05

    Signed a material agreement (item 1.01)—likely SER-155 partnership/financing it had sought

  2. 8-K Officer / director change2026-06-01

    Officer/director change (item 5.02); leadership transition amid funding search

  3. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-05

    Q1'26: going-concern doubt persists, SER-155 Phase 2 paused, cash into Q3'26

  4. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-05

    Q1'26: going-concern doubt persists, SER-155 Phase 2 paused, cash into Q3'26

  5. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-27

    Annual proxy: director slate and say-on-pay for 2026 meeting

  6. 8-K Other event2026-03-16

    Other-events disclosure (item 8.01); strategic/clinical update post-10-K

  7. 8-K Earnings results2026-03-12

    FY25: substantial going-concern doubt; SER-155 Phase 2 paused, seeking partner

  8. 10-K Annual report2026-03-12

    FY25: substantial going-concern doubt; SER-155 Phase 2 paused, seeking partner

  9. 8-K Officer / director change2026-03-02

    Officer/director change (item 5.02) ahead of annual results

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-02open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-022026-06-05open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-302026-06-01open ↗144Filing2026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-152026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-152026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-152026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-152026-05-19open ↗10-QPeriod ending 2026-03-312026-05-05open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-052026-05-05open ↗

Quality score

C+
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueC-
GrowthA+
ProfitabilityC+
Financial healthB
MomentumF
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✗Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$24.32

Undervalued +214% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $0.64 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 22.0% growth) × 1.05 quality = 38.0× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

5.6252-week28.63
Revenue
$789K
Net margin
721.9%
ROE
12.9%
P/E
12.1

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$789K
Net income$5.70M+4088.2%
Operating income-$94.0M+22.5%
Diluted EPS$0.64
Cash & equivalents$45.8M+48.6%
Total assets$138M-1.2%
Total liabilities$94.0M-25.4%
Stockholders' equity$44.2M+220.8%
Op.: -11910.1%L/E: 2.13x

Frequently asked

Is Seres Therapeutics, Inc. (MCRB) a buy?
MCRB currently carries a Avoid rating with 5/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Going-concern biotech burning ~$94M/yr operationally with cash gone after Q3 2026 and its lead program paused — uninvestable.
What is MCRB's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on MCRB's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $24.32. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is MCRB overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, MCRB currently appears undervalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is Seres Therapeutics, Inc.'s quality score?
MCRB scores 63.85446153065113/100 (grade C+) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001609809, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-05) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/30/2026, 12:55:08 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 4 sales

2026-05-18
Shaff Eric D.
Director
Sell259.00 @ $7.53$1.95K
2026-05-18
DesRosier Thomas
See Remarks
Sell79.00 @ $7.53$594.87
2026-05-18
Brady Kelly
See Remarks
Sell59.00 @ $7.53$444.27
2026-05-18
Henn Matthew R
See Remarks
Sell77.00 @ $7.53$579.81
2026-05-15
Shaff Eric D.
Director
Exercise722.00
2026-05-15
DesRosier Thomas
See Remarks
Exercise244.00
2026-05-15
Brady Kelly
See Remarks
Exercise180.00
2026-05-15
Henn Matthew R
See Remarks
Exercise238.00

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-05Miss -8.5% est▲ +1.95%8-K ↗
2026-03-12Beat +17.3% est▼ -5.48%8-K ↗
2025-11-05Miss -28.0% est▼ -12.92%8-K ↗
2025-08-06Beat +10.7% est▲ +7.22%8-K ↗
2025-05-07—▼ -14.63%8-K ↗
2025-03-13—▼ -9.92%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score64 vs 67
Revenue growth— vs 7.5%
Net margin721.9% vs 10.0%
Return on equity12.9% vs 12.0%
P/E12.1 vs 26.2