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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›MDU
MDU logo

MDU

MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC

Next earnings Aug 5, 2026 · consensus $0.08 EPS, $388M rev

Last earnings +0.7% on 2026-05-07

Hold
$20.71
▼ -3.45%
$20.71▲ +28.75%
over 1Y
L $15.53H $22.65
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today-3.4%
1W-4.6%
1M+0.1%
3M-2.2%
YTD+5.6%
1Y+28.7%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
B-
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Flagged
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 12 analysts
Buy

Post-spin pure-play regulated utility: stable rate-base growth, but heavy capex and a 23x P/E on $0.93 EPS leave little margin for error.

Diluted EPS (continuing ops) $0.93 · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~66% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

MDU is now a clean pure-play regulated energy delivery company after spinning off Knife River (May 2023) and Everus (October 2024). The MD&A's 'CORE' framing confirms the strategic reset: continuing operations are electric utility ($64.9M), natural gas distribution ($56.1M) and pipeline ($68.2M), with continuing-ops EPS of $0.93 essentially flat YoY ($0.94 basic in 2025 vs. $0.89 in 2024). The headline 32% net-income decline is a comparability artifact — 2024 included $100M of Everus discontinued-ops earnings — not an operational collapse. Revenue grew 6.3% to $1.86B and operating income rose 9.3% to $290M, both consistent with a regulated utility benefiting from rate relief (explicitly cited as boosting the gas-distribution reporting unit's goodwill cushion to 41% above carrying value).

The balance sheet is where caution enters. Long-term debt jumped 18.8% to $2.53B while cash collapsed 57.8% to $28.2M, and capex surged 47.4% to $770M — well above $473M of operating cash flow. This is the classic regulated-utility funding gap: rate-base investment is being financed by debt, and with current liabilities ($685M) exceeding current assets ($572M), liquidity is thin. ROE of 6.9% is mediocre even for a utility, and net margin compressed to 10.2% from the mid-teens historically. The MD&A's flags on inflation, tariffs and commodity volatility, plus the One Big Beautiful Bill Act's scaling-back of clean-energy incentives, add modest headwinds without being thesis-breakers.

Is MDU a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Covered call~90d expiry
  • Long 100 shares @ ~20.71
  • Short call 21.5 @ ~0.64 est
debit $2,007max +$143max −$2,006BE 20.07

HOLD means own it, don't chase it — harvesting premium against the position matches the verdict.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$3.40B$1.75B$1.81B$1.75B$1.86B
Gross profit—————
Operating income$331M$201M$225M$266M$290M
Net income$378M$367M$415M$281M$190M
Diluted EPS$1.87$1.81$2.03$1.37$0.93
Net margin11.1%20.9%23.0%16.0%10.2%

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$6.98B
EV / EBITDA14.0
EV / Sales3.7
EV / FCF—
P / FCF—
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield4.4%
FCF yield-6.9%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)4.2%
Free cash flow-$297M
Total debt$2.68B
Net cash-$2.65B
Piotroski F-Score3/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.0%
Dividend yield (est.)2.5%
Shareholder yield2.5%
Shares Δ YoY+0.0%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has skewed negative — read the flagged items.
  1. 8-K Officer / director change2026-05-13

    Annual meeting vote results, ethics code update and board/officer change disclosed

  2. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-07

    Q1 2026 results from pure-play regulated utility post-Everus/Knife River spins

  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-07

    Q1 2026 results from pure-play regulated utility post-Everus/Knife River spins

  4. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-01
  5. 10-K Annual report2026-02-20

    FY25: rev +6% to $1.86B but net income -32% to $190M; capex +47%, LT debt +19%

  6. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-05

    FY2025 earnings release: net income fell 32% on lower other/discontinued ops

  7. 8-K Material agreement2026-01-16

    Entered new credit/debt agreement creating direct financial obligation

  8. 8-K Material agreement2025-12-29

    Material agreement signed with related other-event disclosure

  9. 8-K Material agreement2025-12-12

    Closed an acquisition/disposition tied to a newly executed material agreement

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-302026-07-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-302026-07-01open ↗11-KPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-06-18open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-112026-05-13open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-05-13open ↗10-QPeriod ending 2026-03-312026-05-07open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-072026-05-07open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-04-30open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-04-29open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-04-09open ↗4Period ending 2026-03-312026-04-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-03-312026-04-01open ↗

Quality score

B-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueB-
GrowthD
ProfitabilityB-
Financial healthA-
MomentumB-
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$7.11

Overvalued -66% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $0.93 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 0.0% growth) × 0.90 quality = 7.7× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

15.5352-week22.65
Revenue
$1.86B
+6.3% YoY
Net margin
10.2%
ROE
6.9%
P/E
22.3

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$1.86B+6.3%
Net income$190M-32.3%
Operating income$290M+9.3%
Diluted EPS$0.93-32.1%
Cash & equivalents$28.2M-57.8%
Total assets$7.62B+8.3%
Stockholders' equity$2.77B+3.1%
Op.: 15.6%

Frequently asked

Is MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC (MDU) a buy?
MDU currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Post-spin pure-play regulated utility: stable rate-base growth, but heavy capex and a 23x P/E on $0.93 EPS leave little margin for error.
What is MDU's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on MDU's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $7.11. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is MDU overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, MDU currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC's quality score?
MDU scores 65.47303714543884/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000067716, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-07) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/25/2026, 12:49:12 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 25, 2026, 8:49 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-06-30
DURKIN MARIAN M
Director
Award152.00
2026-06-30
Dosch Vernon A.
Director
Award1.29K
2026-03-31
DURKIN MARIAN M
Director
Award157.00
2026-03-31
Dosch Vernon A.
Director
Award1.33K
2026-02-18
Vollmer Jason L
CFO
Tax36.8K @ $20.36$749K
2026-02-18
Sievert Stephanie A
ChiefAccntg&RegAffairsOfficer
Tax10.4K @ $20.36$213K
2026-02-17
Vollmer Jason L
CFO
Award15.2K
2026-02-17
Foti Anthony Donald
CLO & Corporate Secretary
Award8.16K
2026-02-17
Sievert Stephanie A
ChiefAccntg&RegAffairsOfficer
Award4.54K
2026-02-17
Boese Dyke A.
CIO
Award3.70K

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
2.7%
Annual / share
$0.56
Last ex-date
2026-06-11
Last amount
$0.14
ex 2026-06-11paid 2026-07-01$0.14
ex 2026-03-12paid 2026-04-01$0.14
ex 2025-12-11paid 2026-01-01$0.14
ex 2025-09-11paid 2025-10-01$0.14
ex 2025-06-12paid 2025-07-01$0.13
ex 2025-03-13paid 2025-04-01$0.13

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-07Miss -7.2% est▲ +1.20%8-K ↗
2026-02-05Beat +1.8% est▼ -1.80%8-K ↗
2025-11-06Miss -18.0% est▲ +8.97%8-K ↗
2025-08-07Miss -43.0% est▼ -5.39%8-K ↗
2025-05-08—▼ -4.02%8-K ↗
2025-02-06—▼ -5.47%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score65 vs 67
Revenue growth6.3% vs 7.5%
Net margin10.2% vs 10.0%
Return on equity6.9% vs 12.0%
P/E22.3 vs 26.2