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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›MFA
MFA logo

MFA

MFA FINANCIAL, INC.

Next earnings Aug 4, 2026 (before open) · consensus $0.31 EPS, $60.6M rev

Last earnings -6.0% on 2026-05-05

Hold
$9.48
▼ -3.95%
$9.48▲ +14.56%
over 1Y
L $8.11H $10.39
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today-4.0%
1W-1.6%
1M+0.1%
3M-2.3%
YTD+3.3%
1Y+14.6%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
A-
Valuation
Undervalued
Filings
Clean
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 10 analysts
Buy

Cheap mortgage REIT with improving earnings and a fat dividend, but 6.1x leverage and rate sensitivity cap the upside.

Diluted EPS $1.30 · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals offset by an attractive price (~421% below fair value) — worth a look on the value angle.

MFA is a levered mortgage REIT whose FY2025 results show genuine operating improvement: net income rose 48% to $177M, diluted EPS jumped to $1.30 (from $0.82), and net interest income grew 14% to $231.1M as the company shifted more capital into Agency MBS (Securities interest income up $60.1M YoY). The MD&A attributes the gain to higher Agency MBS balances plus $15.4M of operating cost cuts, and Other Income benefited from a $87.7M swing in net gains on whole loans measured at fair value. At $9.64 the stock trades at a 7.4x P/E and roughly book value (equity $1.83B / 102M shares ≈ $17.93/share — though that includes preferred), and the $148M dividend on a ~$985M market cap implies a high-single to low-double-digit yield, which is the core attraction.

The filing language tempers the enthusiasm. The asset table shows total debt/net-equity of roughly 6.0–7.8x on the loan books and 8.0x on Agency MBS, with the Legacy RPL/NPL bucket at 10.9x — this is a highly leveraged balance sheet (liabilities/equity 6.14x) where small spread or credit moves matter a lot. MD&A explicitly notes the net interest spread compressed from 2.10% to 1.84% and margin from 2.91% to 2.55% YoY, meaning the earnings growth came from volume and one-off gains, not better unit economics. Derivative results swung by $114M against the company ($78.5M gain in 2024 to $35.5M loss in 2025), and operating cash flow collapsed 62% to $76.2M while cash on hand fell 37% to $213M — a thin liquidity cushion against $11.2B of liabilities. Retained earnings remain deeply negative at -$1.90B, reflecting years of paying out more than earned.

Is MFA a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Covered call~60d expiry
  • Long 100 shares @ ~9.48
  • Short call 10 @ ~0.21 est
debit $927max +$73max −$926BE 9.27

HOLD means own it, don't chase it — harvesting premium against the position matches the verdict.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue—————
Gross profit—————
Operating income—————
Net income$329M-$232M$80.2M$119M$177M
Diluted EPS$2.63-$2.57$0.46$0.82$1.30
Net margin—————

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value—
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales—
EV / FCF—
P / FCF12.7
PEG (trailing)0.15
Earnings yield18.3%
FCF yield7.8%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)—
Free cash flow$75.9M
Total debt—
Net cash$213M

Capital returns

Buyback yield1.6%
Dividend yield (est.)15.3%
Shareholder yield16.9%
Shares Δ YoY-0.4%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has been improving.
  1. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-06-04

    Annual meeting vote results disclosed; routine director/auditor ratifications.

  2. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-05

    Q1 2026 10-Q filed; ongoing Agency MBS build-up and Non-QM loan portfolio detail.

  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-05

    Q1 2026 10-Q filed; ongoing Agency MBS build-up and Non-QM loan portfolio detail.

  4. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-17

    2026 proxy: director slate, say-on-pay, auditor ratification — routine governance.

  5. 10-K Annual report2026-02-20

    FY2025 10-K: NII +14% to $231M, EPS $1.30; leverage 6.1x, equity flat at $1.83B.

  6. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-18

    Q4/FY2025 results: NI +48% to $177M, diluted EPS $1.30 vs $0.82 prior year.

  7. 8-K Earnings results2025-11-06

    Q3 2025 10-Q: continued portfolio growth in Agency MBS and Non-QM whole loans.

  8. 10-Q Quarterly report2025-11-06

    Q3 2025 10-Q: continued portfolio growth in Agency MBS and Non-QM whole loans.

  9. 8-K Material event2025-10-30

    Item 5.04 blackout notice to directors/officers under benefit-plan trading rules.

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-082026-06-10open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-032026-06-04open ↗10-QPeriod ending 2026-03-312026-05-05open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-052026-05-05open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-04-30open ↗ARSPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-04-17open ↗DEFA14AFiling2026-04-17open ↗

Quality score

A-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueA+
GrowthA+
ProfitabilityB-
Financial healthA-
MomentumB-
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$49.40

Undervalued +421% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $1.30 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 22.0% growth) × 1.00 quality = 38.0× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

7.8152-week10.01
Revenue
—
Net margin
—
ROE
9.7%
P/E
7.3

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Net income$177M+48.2%
Diluted EPS$1.30+58.5%
Cash & equivalents$213M-37.1%
Total assets$13.0B+14.3%
Total liabilities$11.2B+17.3%
Stockholders' equity$1.83B-0.8%
L/E: 6.14x

Frequently asked

Is MFA FINANCIAL, INC. (MFA) a buy?
MFA currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Cheap mortgage REIT with improving earnings and a fat dividend, but 6.1x leverage and rate sensitivity cap the upside.
What is MFA's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on MFA's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $49.40. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is MFA overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, MFA currently appears undervalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is MFA FINANCIAL, INC.'s quality score?
MFA scores 80.62412809043693/100 (grade A-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001055160, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-05) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/25/2026, 2:27:16 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 25, 2026, 10:27 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-01-15
JOSEPHS ROBIN
Director
Exercise3.47K
2026-01-15
Goodman Laurie
Director
Exercise3.47K

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-05Miss -1.6% est▼ -5.22%8-K ↗
2026-02-18Miss -0.4% est▲ +2.55%8-K ↗
2025-11-06Miss -28.0% est▲ +2.45%8-K ↗
2025-08-06Miss -21.7% est▲ +2.75%8-K ↗
2025-05-06—▼ -3.03%8-K ↗
2025-02-19—▼ -3.56%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Recent news

market news →
How Investors Are Reacting To MFA Financial (MFA) Joining Multiple Russell Growth and Small-Cap IndexesBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-30
BTIG Upgrades MFA Financial (MFA), Expects Dividend Coverage to ImproveBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-29
TPG Mortgage, MFA Financial raised to Buy at BTIG; Ellington Financial cut to NeutralBullish
seekingalpha.com· 2026-06-17
Lyft upgraded, Leidos downgraded: Wall Street's top analyst callsBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-17
MFA Financial, Inc. Announces Second Quarter Dividends on Series B Preferred Stock and Series C Preferred StockBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-05-20
This REIT Yielding 16% Just Landed a New $5 Million Bet From EMG HoldingsBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-05-19

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score81 vs 67
Revenue growth— vs 7.5%
Net margin— vs 10.0%
Return on equity9.7% vs 12.0%
P/E7.3 vs 26.2