MOMO
Hello Group Inc.
Next earnings Sep 7, 2026 · consensus $1.65 EPS, $2.52B rev
$5.87
▲ +0.86%$5.87▼ -28.00%
over 1Y
L $5.40H $8.71
Today+0.9%
1W+8.7%
1M+1.9%
3M+3.7%
YTD-9.4%
1Y-28.0%
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
Street · 13 analysts
Buy
Conservative balance sheet (liabilities/equity 0.24x).
Revenue (FY2025) $1.48B · FY2025
The read
Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~56% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.
Hello Group Inc. shows $1.48B in FY2025 revenue (+2.4% YoY), a 7.8% net margin, and 7.3% ROE.
Supporting the case: conservative balance sheet (liabilities/equity 0.24x).
Is MOMO a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →
The options angle
model · matches our verdictCovered call~60d expiry
- Long 100 shares @ ~5.87
- Short call 6 @ ~0.28 est
debit $559max +$41max −$558BE 5.59
HOLD means own it, don't chase it — harvesting premium against the position matches the verdict.
Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.
Financials · annual, by fiscal year
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.29B | $1.84B | $1.69B | $1.45B | $1.48B |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | -$375M | $236M | $325M | $210M | $194M |
| Net income | -$459M | $215M | $275M | $142M | $115M |
| Diluted EPS | -$1.13 | $0.53 | $0.69 | $0.38 | $0.34 |
| Net margin | -20.1% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% |
10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Key statistics
Valuation
Enterprise value$107M
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales0.1
EV / FCF1.1
P / FCF8.8
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield13.3%
FCF yield11.4%
Quality & risk
ROIC (est.)9.7%
Free cash flow$98.8M
Total debt$448K
Net cash$760M
Altman Z-Score3.82 safe
Piotroski F-Score7/8
Capital returns
Buyback yield12.4%
Dividend yield (est.)—
Shareholder yield12.4%
Shares Δ YoY-10.0%
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Recent filings
all on EDGAR ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-06-022026-06-02open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-05-13open ↗20-FPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-04-28open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-152026-04-16open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-152026-04-16open ↗4Period ending 2026-03-312026-04-09open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-062026-04-09open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-062026-04-09open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-072026-04-09open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-172026-03-17open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-172026-03-17open ↗
Frequently asked
- Is Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) a buy?
- MOMO currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Conservative balance sheet (liabilities/equity 0.24x).
- What is MOMO's fair value?
- A Modified-Graham model based on MOMO's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $2.60. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
- Is MOMO overvalued or undervalued?
- Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, MOMO currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
- What is Hello Group Inc.'s quality score?
- MOMO scores 62.33827311791744/100 (grade C+) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001610601, latest 6-K filed 2026-06-02) · EODHD · as of 7/4/2026, 11:25:43 PM.
About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice
Rule-based analysis, generated automatically from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jul 4, 2026, 7:25 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.