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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›MSEX
MSEX logo

MSEX

MIDDLESEX WATER CO

Next earnings Jul 29, 2026 · consensus $0.68 EPS, $56.3M rev

Last earnings -2.1% on 2026-04-30

Hold
$57.55
▲ +2.71%
$57.55▲ +8.44%
over 1Y
L $47.94H $60.71
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+2.7%
1W+5.4%
1M+9.2%
3M+7.7%
YTD+16.0%
1Y+8.4%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
B-
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Clean
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 8 analysts
Buy

Steady regulated water utility with fresh NJ/DE rate relief, but 23x P/E and 8.7% ROE leave little margin for upside surprise.

P/E 23.2 · on FY2025 diluted EPS $2.36

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~63% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

MSEX is a classic small-cap regulated water utility — 61,000 NJ retail customers in the Middlesex System plus ~65,000 Delaware customers via Tidewater, with a 129-year operating history. The numbers show what you'd expect from this business model: low-single-digit revenue growth (FY2025 revenue $195M, +1.5% YoY), high operating margins (27.9%), and a capital-intensive balance sheet (total assets $1.37B against just $494M equity and $387M total debt). FY2025 net income of $42.8M actually declined 3.4% YoY and diluted EPS fell 4.5% to $2.36, driven by D&A rising 15.9% (heavy capex catching up) and share count up 3.5% — both classic regulated-utility headwinds between rate cases.

The filing language meaningfully changes the forward picture. In February 2026 the NJBPU approved $14.5M of base rate increases for Middlesex/Pinelands plus two foundational mechanisms — a RESIC (Resiliency/Environmental System Improvement Charge) for PFAS and compliance capex recovery, and a DSIC (Distribution System Improvement Charge) for ongoing infrastructure investment. The DEPSC also approved a $5.5M Tidewater rate hike effective July 2025. These mechanisms convert capex into near-real-time revenue rather than waiting years for general rate cases — a structural positive. Layer on tuck-in acquisitions (Ocean View, Pinewood Acres) and the Pinelands-into-Middlesex merger, and FY2026 earnings should re-accelerate.

Is MSEX a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Covered call~90d expiry
  • Long 100 shares @ ~57.55
  • Short call 60 @ ~1.60 est
debit $5,595max +$405max −$5,594BE 55.95

HOLD means own it, don't chase it — harvesting premium against the position matches the verdict.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue——$166M$192M$195M
Gross profit—————
Operating income$33.2M$47.3M$39.2M$53.2M$54.4M
Net income$36.5M$42.4M$31.5M$44.4M$42.8M
Diluted EPS$2.07$2.39$1.76$2.47$2.36
Net margin——19.0%23.1%22.0%

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$1.46B
EV / EBITDA16.8
EV / Sales7.5
EV / FCF—
P / FCF—
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield4.0%
FCF yield-1.1%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)4.9%
Free cash flow-$12.0M
Total debt$387M
Net cash-$384M
Piotroski F-Score4/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.1%
Dividend yield (est.)2.3%
Shareholder yield2.5%
Shares Δ YoY+3.5%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has been improving.
  1. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-20

    Annual meeting: directors elected, say-on-pay and auditor ratified

  2. 8-K Earnings results2026-04-30

    Q1 2026: first quarter reflecting new NJ base-rate increase effective Feb 2026

  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-04-30

    Q1 2026: first quarter reflecting new NJ base-rate increase effective Feb 2026

  4. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-06

    2026 proxy statement filed for annual meeting

  5. 8-K Officer / director change2026-03-26

    Reported officer/director change

  6. 8-K Material agreement2026-02-24

    Entered into a material definitive agreement

  7. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-19

    NJBPU OK'd $14.5M rate hike, RESIC/DSIC filings, Pinelands merger; PFAS settlements

  8. 10-K Annual report2026-02-19

    NJBPU OK'd $14.5M rate hike, RESIC/DSIC filings, Pinelands merger; PFAS settlements

  9. 8-K Officer / director change2025-12-22

    Officer/director appointment or departure announced

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-192026-05-20open ↗10-QPeriod ending 2026-03-312026-04-30open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-04-302026-04-30open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-04-30open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-04-24open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-262026-04-08open ↗ARSPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-04-06open ↗DEFA14AFiling2026-04-06open ↗DEF 14APeriod ending 2026-05-192026-04-06open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-012026-04-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-012026-04-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-012026-04-01open ↗

Quality score

B-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueC+
GrowthD
ProfitabilityA-
Financial healthA-
MomentumB+
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$21.06

Overvalued -63% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $2.36 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 0.0% growth) × 1.05 quality = 8.9× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

47.9452-week60.71
Revenue
$195M
+1.5% YoY
Net margin
22.0%
ROE
8.7%
P/E
24.4

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$195M+1.5%
Net income$42.8M-3.4%
Operating income$54.4M+2.2%
Diluted EPS$2.36-4.5%
Cash & equivalents$2.80M-33.7%
Total assets$1.37B+8.8%
Stockholders' equity$494M+11.0%
Op.: 27.9%

Frequently asked

Is MIDDLESEX WATER CO (MSEX) a buy?
MSEX currently carries a Hold rating with 4/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Steady regulated water utility with fresh NJ/DE rate relief, but 23x P/E and 8.7% ROE leave little margin for upside surprise.
What is MSEX's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on MSEX's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $21.06. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is MSEX overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, MSEX currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is MIDDLESEX WATER CO's quality score?
MSEX scores 68.8915657427753/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000066004, latest 10-Q filed 2026-04-30) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/25/2026, 2:22:31 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 25, 2026, 10:22 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-04-01
Simpson Georgia M
VP-IT
Award2.14K @ $52.05$111K
2026-04-01
Simpson Georgia M
VP-IT
Disposed (J)759.00 @ $52.05$39.5K
2026-04-01
Simpson Georgia M
VP-IT
Tax338.00 @ $52.05$17.6K
2026-04-01
Kooper Jay L
VP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary
Award2.60K @ $52.05$135K
2026-04-01
Kooper Jay L
VP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary
Disposed (J)759.00 @ $52.05$39.5K
2026-04-01
Kooper Jay L
VP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary
Tax350.00 @ $52.05$18.2K
2026-04-01
Ginegaw Lorrie Beth
VP, Human Resources
Award2.02K @ $52.05$105K
2026-04-01
Ginegaw Lorrie Beth
VP, Human Resources
Disposed (J)823.00 @ $52.05$42.8K
2026-04-01
Ginegaw Lorrie Beth
VP, Human Resources
Tax364.00 @ $52.05$18.9K
2026-04-01
Fullagar Robert K
President-NJ Operations
Award2.13K @ $52.05$111K
2026-04-01
Fullagar Robert K
President-NJ Operations
Disposed (J)886.00 @ $52.05$46.1K
2026-04-01
Fullagar Robert K
President-NJ Operations
Tax394.00 @ $52.05$20.5K

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
2.5%
Annual / share
$1.42
Last ex-date
2026-05-15
Last amount
$0.36
ex 2026-05-15paid 2026-06-01$0.36
ex 2026-02-17paid 2026-03-02$0.36
ex 2025-11-17paid 2025-12-01$0.36
ex 2025-08-15paid 2025-09-02$0.34
ex 2025-05-15paid 2025-06-02$0.34
ex 2025-02-18paid 2025-03-03$0.34

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-04-30Miss -2.0% est▼ -3.59%8-K ↗
2026-02-19Miss -2.0% est▲ +1.74%8-K ↗
2025-10-31Miss -10.8% est▼ -4.79%8-K ↗
2025-07-31Miss -12.2% est▼ -1.81%8-K ↗
2025-05-01—▼ -2.64%8-K ↗
2025-02-28—▼ -1.63%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score69 vs 67
Revenue growth1.5% vs 7.5%
Net margin22.0% vs 10.0%
Return on equity8.7% vs 12.0%
P/E24.4 vs 26.2