Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

Passage BIO, Inc.
Next earnings Aug 10, 2026 · consensus $-2.85 EPS
Pre-revenue gene-therapy shell burning cash into a Q1-2027 funding cliff — a dilution-or-die bet, not an investment.
Cash & equivalents $46.3M · FY2025
Passage BIO is a clinical-stage genetic-medicines company with zero product revenue in any year on record (FY2021–FY2025) and an accumulated deficit of $704.8M. The 'improving' loss trend — net loss narrowing from -$185M (FY2021) to -$45.5M (FY2025), with R&D cut 42.1% to $23.3M — is not a sign of a maturing business; it is a company shrinking itself. The 10-K confirms this: it terminated all discovery and exploratory research with Penn, gave up eight future CNS options, and outlicensed GM1/Krabbe/MLD to Gemma, which now carries the Penn payments. What's left is a residual pipeline (FTD and licensed assets) inside a corporate structure that is contracting, not scaling.
The balance sheet frames a hard near-term catch. Cash is $46.3M, but MD&A explicitly states this only funds operations 'through the end of the first quarter of 2027' — roughly three quarters from today — against operating cash burn of -$31.5M. Management concedes it 'will need to raise substantial additional capital' via equity, debt, or 'other strategic transactions,' with 'no assurances' of success. Stockholders' equity collapsed 69.4% to $18.8M, liabilities/equity sits at 2.32x, and ROE is -242.7%. The 94.8% drop in shares outstanding to 3.21M is a reverse split — the classic listing-preservation move of a broken micro-cap, not a buyback.
Is PASG a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →
AVOID means we wouldn't engage at all — if expressing the short side anyway, only with capped risk.
Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | -$186M | -$138M | -$108M | -$70.4M | -$49.3M |
| Net income | -$185M | -$136M | -$102M | -$64.8M | -$45.5M |
| Diluted EPS | -$3.48 | -$2.50 | -$1.86 | -$21.04 | -$14.35 |
| Net margin | — | — | — | — | — |
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Change-in-control deal: new agreement, equity issuance, exec/board turnover — transformative
Terminated another material contract as the company keeps shrinking operations
Disclosed annual-meeting vote results; routine governance items decided
Q1'26: continued operating losses; cash funds ops only into Q1 2027
Announced exit/disposal costs — signals restructuring, layoffs or program wind-down
Reg FD press release/presentation filed as exhibit
Annual proxy: board slate, say-on-pay and auditor ratification
Terminated a material agreement, further trimming commitments
FY25: net loss narrowed to $45.5M but cash runway only into Q1'27; programs outlicensed
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001787297, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-12) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 7/4/2026, 5:12:57 AM.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jul 4, 2026, 1:12 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
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Last 90 days: 1 open-market buy · 0 sales
| 2026-06-25 | Lynx1 Capital Management LP 10% owner | Buy | 50.1K @ $4.12 | $206K |
Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
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