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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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TTENK/calls
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Home›Stocks›PCYO
PCYO logo

PCYO

PURE CYCLE CORP

Next earnings Jul 15, 2026

Last earnings +0.9% on 2026-04-09

Hold
$10.81
▼ -1.10%
$10.81▲ +1.12%
over 1Y
L $9.75H $11.94
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today-1.1%
1W-1.6%
1M+3.4%
3M+3.7%
YTD+0.0%
1Y+1.1%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
B-
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Clean
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 7 analysts
Buy

Fortress balance sheet and rising EPS, but core operating income fell 37% and P/S of 10 already prices in the water/land optionality.

Operating income $7.67M · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~41% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

Pure Cycle is a rare debt-light asset play: liabilities/equity of just 0.14x, $21.9M cash, $143M equity, and operating cash flow that jumped to $13.2M (+469%). Headline EPS rose 13% to $0.54 and net income grew 13% to $13.1M — a genuinely improving bottom line on paper. The problem is the composition. Management concedes the EPS gain 'was driven by our oil and gas royalty income,' a non-operating line: net income ($13.1M) now dwarfs operating income ($7.67M), and operating income itself fell 37% while gross profit fell 19% and revenue fell 9%. The core land-and-water engine is weakening even as reported profit climbs on royalties and asset values.

The revenue mix underscores the lumpiness. Commercial (oil & gas) water sales collapsed from $6.1M to $1.6M, lot sales slipped from $16.0M to $13.7M with Phase 2D deliveries pushed into fiscal 2026, and only tap-fee revenue offset the decline (+115% to $7.3M). The five-year revenue line — $17.1M, $23.0M, $14.6M, $28.7M, $26.1M — confirms this is an inherently choppy, project-timed business tied entirely to the Colorado Front Range housing cycle. MD&A itself flags 'moderate to lower demand' persisting and Sky Ranch phases only partly complete (2C ~82%, 2D ~43%).

Is PCYO a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Covered call~90d expiry
  • Long 100 shares @ ~10.81
  • Short call 11.5 @ ~0.47 est
debit $1,034max +$116max −$1,033BE 10.34

HOLD means own it, don't chase it — harvesting premium against the position matches the verdict.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$17.1M$23.0M$14.6M$28.7M$26.1M
Gross profit$10.7M$16.4M$8.04M$19.8M$16.0M
Operating income$5.27M$10.1M$2.07M$12.2M$7.67M
Net income$20.1M$9.62M$4.70M$11.6M$13.1M
Diluted EPS$0.83$0.40$0.19$0.48$0.54
Net margin117.4%41.8%32.2%40.4%50.3%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$245M
EV / EBITDA24.6
EV / Sales9.4
EV / FCF19.3
P / FCF20.5
PEG (trailing)1.55
Earnings yield5.0%
FCF yield4.9%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)4.1%
Free cash flow$12.7M
Total debt$6.79M
Net cash$15.1M
Altman Z-Score8.18 safe
Piotroski F-Score4/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.2%
Dividend yield (est.)—
Shareholder yield0.2%
Shares Δ YoY+0.0%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has been improving.
  1. 8-K Officer / director change2026-05-26

    Officer/director change (Item 5.02); leadership transition disclosed

  2. 8-K Earnings results2026-04-09

    Q2 FY26 results released via earnings 8-K plus Reg FD update

  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-04-08

    Q2 FY26 (period Feb 2026) quarterly financials filed

  4. 8-K Officer / director change2026-01-16

    Annual-meeting vote results, new material agreement, and officer change

  5. 8-K Earnings results2026-01-08

    Q1 FY26 earnings released via 8-K

  6. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-01-07

    Q1 FY26 quarterly report filed

  7. DEF 14A Proxy statement2025-12-04

    DEF 14A annual proxy: board election and routine governance items

  8. 8-K Earnings results2025-11-13

    FY25 results out: EPS +13% to $0.54, net income up though revenue -9%

  9. 10-K Annual report2025-11-12

    FY25 10-K: net income +13%, equity $143M; revenue -9% on fewer lot deliveries

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-212026-05-26open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-04-082026-04-09open ↗10-QPeriod ending 2026-02-282026-04-08open ↗SCHEDULE 13D/AFiling2026-01-16open ↗4Period ending 2026-01-142026-01-16open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-01-142026-01-16open ↗4Period ending 2026-01-142026-01-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-01-142026-01-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-01-142026-01-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-01-142026-01-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-01-142026-01-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-01-142026-01-15open ↗

Quality score

B-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueC-
GrowthC
ProfitabilityA
Financial healthA
MomentumC-
  • ✗Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$6.37

Overvalued -41% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $0.54 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 1.8% growth) × 1.05 quality = 11.8× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

9.7552-week11.94
Revenue
$26.1M
-9.3% YoY
Net margin
50.3%
ROE
9.2%
P/E
20.0

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$26.1M-9.3%
Net income$13.1M+12.9%
Gross profit$16.0M-18.9%
Operating income$7.67M-37.3%
Diluted EPS$0.54+12.5%
Cash & equivalents$21.9M-0.8%
Total assets$162M+10.1%
Total liabilities$19.5M+10.7%
Stockholders' equity$143M+10.1%
Gross: 61.4%Op.: 29.4%L/E: 0.14x

Frequently asked

Is PURE CYCLE CORP (PCYO) a buy?
PCYO currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Fortress balance sheet and rising EPS, but core operating income fell 37% and P/S of 10 already prices in the water/land optionality.
What is PCYO's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on PCYO's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $6.37. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is PCYO overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, PCYO currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is PURE CYCLE CORP's quality score?
PCYO scores 68.26750742583565/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000276720, latest 10-Q filed 2026-04-08) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 7/3/2026, 10:44:48 AM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jul 3, 2026, 6:44 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-01-14
Kozlowski Daniel R
Director
Award2.65K
2026-01-14
Abel Wanda J
Director
Award2.65K
2026-01-14
Roller Daniel J
Director
Award2.65K
2026-01-14
Heitmann Susan Diane
Director
Award2.65K
2026-01-14
BEIRNE PATRICK
Director
Award2.65K
2026-01-14
Sheets Jeffrey G
Director
Award2.65K
2026-01-14
FENDEL FREDERICK A. III
Director
Award2.65K
2026-01-12
HARDING MARK W
CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
Gift210K

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-04-09—▲ +8.70%8-K ↗
2026-01-08—▲ +6.10%8-K ↗
2025-11-13—▲ +1.65%8-K ↗
2025-07-10—▼ -5.37%8-K ↗
2025-04-10—▼ -3.16%8-K ↗
2025-01-10—▼ -3.15%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score68 vs 67
Revenue growth-9.3% vs 7.5%
Net margin50.3% vs 10.0%
Return on equity9.2% vs 12.0%
P/E20.0 vs 26.2