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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›PDD
PDD logo

PDD

PDD Holdings Inc.

Next earnings Aug 24, 2026 (before open) · consensus $18.40 EPS, $118B rev

Hold
$82.39
▲ +7.64%
$82.39▼ -21.64%
over 1Y
L $73.30H $138.13
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+7.6%
1W+12.4%
1M-6.6%
3M-18.3%
YTD-28.8%
1Y-21.6%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
B-
Valuation
Overvalued
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
Street · 40 analysts
Buy

Fortress balance sheet and 24% ROE, but the first-ever earnings decline and sharp growth deceleration make a 34x P/E a full price.

Revenue (FY2025) $61.8B · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~59% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

PDD is a high-quality, asset-light marketplace operator with a fortress balance sheet, but FY2025 marks a clear inflection. Revenue still grew to $61.8B (+14.5%), yet that is a dramatic step-down from the +55% pace of FY2024 (revenue went $34.9B→$54.0B→$61.8B). More tellingly, the bottom line turned negative for the first time in the visible history: net income fell to $14.0B (-9.2%), operating income to $13.3B (-10.4%), diluted EPS to $2.36 (-9.2%), and operating cash flow to $15.3B (-8.5%). After years of explosive compounding (net income $1.22B→$4.57B→$8.45B→$15.4B→$14.0B), the company is now spending its growth — R&D jumped +36% to $2.36B — to defend share and fund international expansion, and margins are absorbing the cost.

The balance sheet is the bull case and it is genuinely strong: stockholders' equity rose +37.7% to $59.1B, cash nearly doubled (+96.8%) to $15.6B, retained earnings climbed +58.3% to $40.6B, and leverage is conservative at 0.52x liabilities/equity. ROE of 23.7% and a ~22.7% net margin on a model that consumes almost no capex (capex and D&A are de minimis relative to a $61.8B top line) mean cash generation remains exceptional. This is not a balance-sheet-stress story — it is a quality business reinvesting heavily into a slowing core.

Is PDD a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$14.7B$18.9B$34.9B$54.0B$61.8B
Gross profit$9.77B$14.4B———
Operating income$1.08B$4.41B$8.27B$14.9B$13.3B
Net income$1.22B$4.57B$8.45B$15.4B$14.0B
Diluted EPS$0.21$0.79$1.45$2.60$2.36
Net margin8.3%24.2%24.2%28.5%22.7%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$102B
EV / EBITDA7.6
EV / Sales1.6
EV / FCF6.7
P / FCF7.7
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield11.9%
FCF yield13.0%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)17.8%
Free cash flow$15.3B
Total debt—
Net cash$15.6B
Altman Z-Score4.66 safe
Piotroski F-Score5/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield—
Dividend yield (est.)—
Shareholder yield—
Shares Δ YoY+2.2%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-07-012026-07-02open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-05-282026-05-28open ↗20-FPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-04-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-03-302026-04-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-03-302026-04-01open ↗144Filing2026-03-30open ↗144Filing2026-03-30open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-03-262026-03-26open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗

Quality score

B-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueC+
GrowthC
ProfitabilityA
Financial healthA-
MomentumF
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✗P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$33.97

Overvalued -59% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $2.36 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 2.6% growth) × 1.16 quality = 14.4× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

73.3052-week138.13
Revenue
$61.8B
+14.5% YoY
Net margin
22.7%
ROE
23.7%
P/E
34.9

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$61.8B+14.5%
Net income$14.0B-9.2%
Gross profit$14.4B+47.1%
Operating income$13.3B-10.4%
Diluted EPS$2.36-9.2%
Cash & equivalents$15.6B+96.8%
Total assets$90.1B+30.2%
Total liabilities$31.0B+18.0%
Stockholders' equity$59.1B+37.7%
Gross: 23.3%Op.: 21.6%L/E: 0.52x

Frequently asked

Is PDD Holdings Inc. (PDD) a buy?
PDD currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Fortress balance sheet and 24% ROE, but the first-ever earnings decline and sharp growth deceleration make a 34x P/E a full price.
What is PDD's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on PDD's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $33.97. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is PDD overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, PDD currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is PDD Holdings Inc.'s quality score?
PDD scores 68.30202777733778/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001737806, latest 4 filed 2026-07-02) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/19/2026, 6:25:09 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 19, 2026, 2:25 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-03-30
Rietjens Ivonne MCM
Director
Sell560.00 @ $99.59$55.8K
2026-03-30
Kam Anthony Ping Leung
Director
Sell1.53K @ $99.43$152K

Congressional trades

all activity →

Disclosed under the STOCK Act

2025-11-21Lisa McClainSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-11-21Lisa McClainBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-11-21Lisa McClainSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-08-13Lisa McClainBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-08-13Lisa McClainBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2025-08-13Lisa McClainSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score68 vs 67
Revenue growth14.5% vs 7.5%
Net margin22.7% vs 10.0%
Return on equity23.7% vs 12.0%
P/E34.9 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 40d
Bullish
+0.10
vs typical · 110 articles
↑ improving

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.