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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›RDN
RDN logo

RDN

RADIAN GROUP INC

Next earnings Jul 28, 2026 (after close) · consensus $1.35 EPS, $519M rev

Last earnings +5.3% on 2026-05-07

Buy
$37.94
▲ +0.34%
$37.94▲ +8.72%
over 1Y
L $31.19H $37.94
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+0.3%
1W+2.5%
1M+12.3%
3M+13.6%
YTD+7.2%
1Y+8.7%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Buy
Quality
B-
Valuation
Fair value
Filings
Watch
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 11 analysts
Buy

Cheap, well-capitalized mortgage insurer at 8.4x earnings, buying back stock aggressively with a 12.2% ROE and 48.7% net margin.

Diluted EPS $4.14 · FY2025

The read

Solid fundamentals at a roughly fair price — reasonable risk/reward at today's level.

Radian Group is a private mortgage insurer generating consistent, high-margin profits. FY2025 net income was $583M (down a modest 3.6%) on $1.20B of revenue, producing a striking 48.7% net margin and a 12.2% return on equity — strong, stable economics typical of a well-run mortgage-insurance franchise. Diluted EPS actually rose 5.6% to $4.14 despite slightly lower net income, because the company retired 6.1% of its shares. The five-year earnings record is remarkably steady ($583-743M), reflecting a benign credit environment and disciplined underwriting.

The capital-return story is the centerpiece. Radian repurchased $432M of stock (up 91.9%) and paid $146M in dividends, while operating cash flow more than doubled (+118.1% to $120M). The balance sheet strengthened — liabilities fell 17.8% and now sit at a conservative 0.70x equity, with equity up 3.4% to $4.78B and retained earnings up 9.3% to $5.13B. This is a company returning substantial capital while building book value.

Is RDN a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bull call spread~60d expiry
  • Long call 38 @ ~1.49 est
  • Short call 42 @ ~0.29 est
debit $120max +$280max −$120BE 39.20

BUY verdict with defined risk: the short call finances part of the long one; max loss is the net debit.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$1.33B$1.19B$1.18B$1.21B$1.20B
Gross profit—————
Operating income—————
Net income$601M$743M$603M$604M$583M
Diluted EPS$3.16$4.35$3.77$3.92$4.14
Net margin45.2%62.4%51.2%50.1%48.7%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value—
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales—
EV / FCF—
P / FCF43.6
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield11.5%
FCF yield2.3%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)-2.8%
Free cash flow$116M
Total debt$1.03B
Net cash-$1.00B
Piotroski F-Score5/7

Capital returns

Buyback yield8.6%
Dividend yield (est.)2.9%
Shareholder yield11.4%
Shares Δ YoY-6.1%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Some governance/structural items recently, but no outright red flags.
  1. 8-K Officer / director change2026-05-27
  2. 8-K Officer / director change2026-05-21
  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-08
  4. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-07
  5. 8-K Officer / director change2026-04-21
  6. 8-K/A Amended 8-K2026-04-17
  7. 8-K/A Amended 8-K2026-04-03
  8. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-02
  9. 8-K Material agreement2026-03-26

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
144Filing2026-06-23open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-172026-06-22open ↗144Filing2026-06-09open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-032026-06-05open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-012026-06-03open ↗144Filing2026-06-03open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-012026-06-02open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-292026-06-01open ↗3Period ending 2026-06-012026-06-01open ↗S-8Filing2026-06-01open ↗144Filing2026-05-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-272026-05-28open ↗

Quality score

B-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueB+
GrowthF
ProfitabilityC+
Financial healthA-
MomentumA+
  • ✗Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$36.95

Fairly valued -3% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $4.14 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 0.0% growth) × 1.05 quality = 8.9× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

31.1952-week37.94
Revenue
$1.20B
-0.8% YoY
Net margin
48.7%
ROE
12.2%
P/E
9.2

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$1.20B-0.8%
Net income$583M-3.6%
Operating income-$207M+53.4%
Diluted EPS$4.14+5.6%
Cash & equivalents$24.8M+29.2%
Total assets$8.12B-6.5%
Total liabilities$3.34B-17.8%
Stockholders' equity$4.78B+3.4%
Op.: -17.3%L/E: 0.70x

Frequently asked

Is RADIAN GROUP INC (RDN) a buy?
RDN currently carries a Buy rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Cheap, well-capitalized mortgage insurer at 8.4x earnings, buying back stock aggressively with a 12.2% ROE and 48.7% net margin.
What is RDN's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on RDN's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $36.95. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is RDN overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, RDN currently appears fairly valued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is RADIAN GROUP INC's quality score?
RDN scores 67.30157365776249/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000890926, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-08) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 9:00:28 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 5:00 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 2 open-market buys · 3 sales

2026-06-03
Conner Brad L.
Director
Sell1.20K @ $33.93$40.7K
2026-06-02
Weinbach Michael S
Chief Executive Officer- Elect
Buy49.5K @ $34.04$1.69M
2026-06-01
Weinbach Michael S
Chief Executive Officer- Elect
Buy120K @ $33.89$4.08M
2026-05-29
Leyden Margaret Anne
Director
Sell2.07K @ $34.59$71.6K
2026-05-27
CULANG HOWARD BERNARD
Director
Sell3.61K @ $36.00$130K

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
2.7%
Annual / share
$1.02
Last ex-date
2026-06-02
Last amount
$0.26
ex 2026-06-02paid 2026-06-17$0.26
ex 2026-02-23paid 2026-03-10$0.26
ex 2025-11-24paid 2025-12-09$0.26
ex 2025-08-25paid 2025-09-09$0.26
ex 2025-06-02paid 2025-06-17$0.26
ex 2025-02-24paid 2025-03-11$0.26

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-07Beat +2.9% est▲ +5.92%8-K ↗
2026-02-19Beat +4.9% est▼ -2.91%8-K ↗
2025-11-05Beat +8.1% est▲ +2.74%8-K ↗
2025-07-31Beat +2.2% est▼ -3.43%8-K ↗
2025-05-01—▲ +7.52%8-K ↗
2025-02-06—▼ -2.81%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1194 tracked peers · median

TENK Score67 vs 67
Revenue growth-0.8% vs 7.5%
Net margin48.7% vs 10.0%
Return on equity12.2% vs 12.0%
P/E9.2 vs 26.2