TTENK/calls
The BriefMarketsAll StocksNewsScreenerFeedback

Get the Brief in your inbox

A daily, SEC-grounded read on the market — movers, earnings, and our boldest calls. Free.

TTENK/calls

SEC-grounded equity research — opinionated calls reasoned over real filings.

Research

  • The Brief
  • Markets
  • All Stocks
  • Screener
  • Discover
  • Research
  • The Flip Side
  • Track record

Tools

  • Compare
  • Congress trades
  • Events
  • Filing search
  • Options calculator
  • Leaderboards
  • Insider trades
  • Groups
  • Trending
  • News

More

  • Pricing
  • Feedback
  • Newsletter
  • Developers / API
  • Account
DisclosuresTermsPrivacy

Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

EDGAR® is a registered trademark of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. TENK/calls is an independent service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

TTENK/calls
The BriefMarketsAll StocksNewsScreenerFeedback

Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

TTENK/calls
The BriefMarketsAll StocksNewsScreenerFeedback
← New search
Home›Stocks›REPX
REPX logo

REPX

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.

Next earnings Aug 4, 2026 (after close) · consensus $1.51 EPS, $154M rev

Last earnings -9.3% on 2026-05-06

Buy
$32.51
▼ -2.23%
$32.51▲ +28.36%
over 1Y
L $23.65H $41.21
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today-2.2%
1W-0.9%
1M-9.8%
3M-10.1%
YTD+25.4%
1Y+28.4%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Buy
Quality
B+
Valuation
Undervalued
Filings
Clean
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 11 analysts
Buy

Permian pure-play trading at 4.3x earnings with 25% ROE, fresh Silverback acreage, and $290M of undrawn credit — too cheap.

Diluted EPS $7.59 · FY2025

The read

Quality fundamentals and an attractive price line up (~787% below fair value) — the rarer case where both the business and the entry look good.

Riley Permian screens as a deeply undervalued Permian operator. FY2025 produced $161M of net income (+80.9% YoY) and $7.59 diluted EPS on $392M of revenue, despite revenue actually declining 4.4% YoY — the earnings jump was meaningfully aided by the $71.7M pre-tax gain on the Dovetail Midstream Sale to Targa disclosed in the MD&A, so headline P/E of 4.3x flatters the underlying earnings power. Even normalizing that out, operating income of $133M on $392M of revenue (34% operating margin) and 25.4% ROE point to a high-quality, capital-efficient horizontal driller in Yoakum County, TX and Eddy County, NM. P/S of 1.8x and a modest 0.84x liabilities/equity make the setup attractive.

The filing narrative materially improves the picture. The Silverback Acquisition (closed July 1, 2025 for ~$123M) added ~40,000 net acres directly adjacent to existing core Eddy County acreage — a clear growth lever that the trailing financials don't yet fully reflect. Management explicitly states the strategy is 'generating sustainable free cash flow, maintaining a strong and flexible balance sheet and maximizing our returns to shareholders,' and the actions match: $33.3M in dividends paid, $20M of senior notes repaid, $5M net repaid on the Credit Facility, and an additional contingent $60M earn-out from Targa over five years that is pure optionality not on the balance sheet.

Is REPX a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bull call spread (wide)~60d expiry
  • Long call 33 @ ~2.99 est
  • Short call 37 @ ~1.61 est
debit $138max +$262max −$138BE 34.38

High-conviction BUY: a wider spread keeps more of the upside while the short call still cuts cost and decay.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$151M$322M$375M$410M$392M
Gross profit—————
Operating income$59.9M$204M$172M$154M$133M
Net income-$65.7M$118M$112M$88.9M$161M
Diluted EPS-$4.19$5.99$5.58$4.26$7.59
Net margin-43.5%36.7%29.8%21.7%41.0%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$935M
EV / EBITDA4.1
EV / Sales2.4
EV / FCF4.4
P / FCF3.3
PEG (trailing)0.05
Earnings yield22.8%
FCF yield30.1%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)11.9%
Free cash flow$212M
Total debt$248M
Net cash-$230M
Altman Z-Score1.83 grey
Piotroski F-Score6/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield—
Dividend yield (est.)4.7%
Shareholder yield4.7%
Shares Δ YoY+0.3%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has been improving.
  1. 8-K Officer / director change2026-05-13

    Annual meeting vote results and director/officer changes; routine governance items.

  2. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-06

    Q1 2026 results filed; first full quarter post-Silverback and Midstream Sale.

  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-06

    Q1 2026 results filed; first full quarter post-Silverback and Midstream Sale.

  4. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-10

    2026 proxy: director slate, exec comp and auditor ratification for annual meeting.

  5. 8-K Earnings results2026-03-04

    FY25 10-K: rev -4% to $392M but NI +81% on Midstream gain; $290M facility headroom.

  6. 10-K Annual report2026-03-04

    FY25 10-K: rev -4% to $392M but NI +81% on Midstream gain; $290M facility headroom.

  7. 8-K Officer / director change2026-02-06

    Officer transition disclosed alongside a Reg FD update; no financial impact stated.

  8. 8-K Acquisition / disposition2025-12-30

    Closed Midstream Sale to Targa for ~$111M cash, booking $71.7M pre-tax gain.

  9. 8-K Reg FD disclosure2025-12-16

    Announced Dovetail Midstream divestiture to Targa; non-core asset monetization.

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-102026-06-12open ↗144Filing2026-06-12open ↗SCHEDULE 13D/AFiling2026-05-28open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-152026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-152026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-152026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-152026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-152026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-152026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-082026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-152026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-152026-05-19open ↗

Quality score

B+
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueA
GrowthB-
ProfitabilityA+
Financial healthA-
MomentumC-
  • ✗Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$288.42

Undervalued +787% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $7.59 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 22.0% growth) × 1.16 quality = 38.0× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

23.6552-week41.21
Revenue
$392M
-4.4% YoY
Net margin
41.0%
ROE
25.4%
P/E
4.3

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$392M-4.4%
Net income$161M+80.9%
Operating income$133M-13.3%
Diluted EPS$7.59+78.2%
Cash & equivalents$17.9M+36.3%
Total assets$1.17B+17.7%
Total liabilities$535M+10.9%
Stockholders' equity$634M+24.2%
Op.: 34.0%L/E: 0.84x

Frequently asked

Is Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) a buy?
REPX currently carries a Buy rating with 4/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Permian pure-play trading at 4.3x earnings with 25% ROE, fresh Silverback acreage, and $290M of undrawn credit — too cheap.
What is REPX's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on REPX's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $288.42. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is REPX overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, REPX currently appears undervalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.'s quality score?
REPX scores 78.4137051367527/100 (grade B+) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001001614, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-06) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/25/2026, 3:14:48 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 25, 2026, 11:14 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 2 sales

2026-06-10
Riley Bobby
CEO
Sell30.0K @ $36.22$1.09M
2026-05-15
NORDBERG E WAYNE
Director
Award7.14K
2026-05-15
SUTER JOHN PATRICK
Chief Operating Officer
Award31.6K
2026-05-15
SUTER JOHN PATRICK
Chief Operating Officer
Award34.0K
2026-05-15
Bayless Rebecca L
Director
Award7.14K
2026-05-15
Gutman Jeffrey
CAO & EVP Commercial Risk
Award27.9K
2026-05-15
Gutman Jeffrey
CAO & EVP Commercial Risk
Award30.0K
2026-05-15
Riley Philip A
CFO & EVP STRATEGY
Award34.9K
2026-05-15
Riley Philip A
CFO & EVP STRATEGY
Award37.6K
2026-05-15
Saadati Bobby
Director
Award7.14K
2026-05-15
Arriaga Brent Alexander
Director
Award7.14K
2026-04-08
Arriaga Brent Alexander
Director
Sell2.50K @ $38.94$97.3K

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
4.9%
Annual / share
$1.58
Last ex-date
2026-04-29
Last amount
$0.40
ex 2026-04-29paid 2026-05-13$0.40
ex 2026-01-22paid 2026-02-05$0.40
ex 2025-10-21paid 2025-11-06$0.40
ex 2025-07-24paid 2025-08-07$0.38
ex 2025-04-24paid 2025-05-08$0.38
ex 2025-01-23paid 2025-02-06$0.38

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-06Miss -369.8% est▼ -9.31%8-K ↗
2026-03-04Beat +31.0% est▲ +0.61%8-K ↗
2025-11-05Miss -23.9% est▲ +0.63%8-K ↗
2025-08-06Beat +75.1% est▼ -0.50%8-K ↗
2025-05-07—▼ -1.85%8-K ↗
2025-03-05—▼ -1.10%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score78 vs 67
Revenue growth-4.4% vs 7.5%
Net margin41.0% vs 10.0%
Return on equity25.4% vs 12.0%
P/E4.3 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 16d
Bullish
+0.17
vs typical · 19 articles

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.