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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

EDGAR® is a registered trademark of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. TENK/calls is an independent service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

TTENK/calls
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Home›Stocks›SEAT
SEAT logo

SEAT

Vivid Seats Inc.

Next earnings Aug 3, 2026 · consensus $-1.11 EPS, $125M rev

Last earnings +11.4% on 2026-05-05

Avoid
$7.02
▲ +8.67%
$7.02▼ -79.23%
over 1Y
L $5.30H $39.40
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+8.7%
1W+7.5%
1M-25.4%
3M+8.2%
YTD+0.3%
1Y-79.2%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Avoid
Quality
B-
Valuation
Undervalued
Filings
Flagged
Avoid
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
Street · 16 analysts
Buy

Negative equity, $91.6M operating cash burn, revenue down 30%, and AI gutting its SEO engine — the 5.8x P/E is a value trap.

Revenue (FY2025) $451M · FY2025

The read

It screens cheap (~506% below fair value), but the weak fundamentals are why — more potential value trap than bargain.

The headline 5.8x P/E and 0.2x P/S scream cheap, but they are built on broken inputs. The P/E uses a stale FY2024 EPS of $1.12 that itself fell -78.3%, and the XBRL 'net income $806M / +5,903%' figure is contradicted by the company's own MD&A, which states 2025 was a NET LOSS of $721.5 million driven by $735.8M of net non-cash charges (a large impairment). I will not credit a profit the filing explicitly denies — treat the reported 178.9% 'net margin' as a data artifact, not a fundamental. Stripping that away, the real picture is a business in steep decline.

The operating reality is deteriorating on every axis. FY2025 revenue fell -30.5% to $451M — a sharp reversal after three years of growth ($511M→$597M→$648M), driven in part by the MD&A-cited loss of a significant Private Label Offering distribution partner that cut Marketplace order volumes. Operating cash flow swung from +$53.9M to -$91.6M, a 270% reversal, as accounts payable to ticket sellers shrank on lower Marketplace GOV. Cash fell 57.8% to $103M against $383M of long-term debt, and stockholders' equity is now NEGATIVE -$85.1M with a -$1.36B accumulated deficit. Liabilities ($722M) exceed assets ($637M). This is balance-sheet stress, not a coiled spring.

Is SEAT a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bear put spread (caution)~60d expiry
  • Long put 7 @ ~0.99 est
  • Short put 6.5 @ ~0.73 est
debit $26max +$24max −$26BE 6.74

AVOID means we wouldn't engage at all — if expressing the short side anyway, only with capped risk.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$390M$511M$597M$648M$451M
Gross profit—————
Operating income—————
Net income-$5.02M$70.8M$69.4M$13.4M$806M
Diluted EPS——$5.15$1.12—
Net margin-1.3%13.9%11.6%2.1%178.9%

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$358M
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales0.8
EV / FCF—
P / FCF—
PEG (trailing)0.00
Earnings yield1045.0%
FCF yield-121.6%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)—
Free cash flow-$93.8M
Total debt$383M
Net cash-$281M
Piotroski F-Score3/7

Capital returns

Buyback yield23.7%
Dividend yield (est.)—
Shareholder yield23.7%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has skewed negative — read the flagged items.
  1. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-06-15

    Annual meeting voting results filed (Item 5.07); routine governance outcomes.

  2. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-05

    Q1 FY26: marketplace volume & revenue down after distribution-partner loss.

  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-05

    Q1 FY26: marketplace volume & revenue down after distribution-partner loss.

  4. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-27

    2026 annual proxy: board slate, exec comp, auditor ratification.

  5. 8-K Earnings results2026-03-12

    FY2025 10-K: revenue -30% to $451M; ~$735M non-cash charges; equity now negative.

  6. 10-K Annual report2026-03-12

    FY2025 10-K: revenue -30% to $451M; ~$735M non-cash charges; equity now negative.

  7. 8-K Officer / director change2026-01-20

    Executive/director change announced (Item 5.02).

  8. 8-K Delisting notice2025-12-30

    Listing-deficiency notice received (Item 3.01) plus officer change.

  9. 8-K Agreement terminated2025-11-06

    Q3 FY25: order volume & revenue declining; margins under pressure.

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
8-KPeriod ending 2026-06-092026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-112026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-112026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-112026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-112026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-112026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-092026-06-11open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-092026-06-11open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-092026-06-11open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-092026-06-11open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-092026-06-11open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-092026-06-11open ↗

Quality score

B-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueA+
GrowthC
ProfitabilityA+
Financial healthF
MomentumF
  • ✗Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$42.56

Undervalued +506% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $1.12 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 22.0% growth) × 1.05 quality = 38.0× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

5.3052-week39.40
Revenue
$451M
-30.5% YoY
Net margin
178.9%
ROE
—
P/E
6.3

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$451M-30.5%
Net income$806M+5903.2%
Diluted EPS$1.12-78.3%
Cash & equivalents$103M-57.8%
Total assets$637M-61.1%
Total liabilities$722M-29.4%
Stockholders' equity-$85.1M-132.6%
L/E: -8.48x

Frequently asked

Is Vivid Seats Inc. (SEAT) a buy?
SEAT currently carries a Avoid rating with 5/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Negative equity, $91.6M operating cash burn, revenue down 30%, and AI gutting its SEO engine — the 5.8x P/E is a value trap.
What is SEAT's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on SEAT's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $42.56. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is SEAT overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, SEAT currently appears undervalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is Vivid Seats Inc.'s quality score?
SEAT scores 65.913261699185/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001856031, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-05) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/30/2026, 1:04:13 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 30, 2026, 9:04 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 1 sale

2026-06-12
Arnett Austin
General Counsel
Sell62.00 @ $8.36$518.32
2026-06-11
Langenbacher Stefano
Chief Technology Officer
Exercise44.5K
2026-06-11
Langenbacher Stefano
Chief Technology Officer
Tax19.7K @ $8.53$168K
2026-06-11
Arnett Austin
General Counsel
Exercise3.54K
2026-06-11
Arnett Austin
General Counsel
Tax1.31K @ $8.53$11.2K
2026-06-11
Fey Lawrence
Chief Executive Officer
Exercise87.9K
2026-06-11
Thomas Joseph D. Jr.
Chief Financial Officer
Exercise19.1K
2026-06-11
Thomas Joseph D. Jr.
Chief Financial Officer
Tax4.65K @ $8.53$39.7K
2026-06-11
Pickus Edward
Chief Accounting Officer
Exercise10.9K
2026-06-11
Pickus Edward
Chief Accounting Officer
Tax4.50K @ $8.53$38.4K

Dividends

Irregular
Yield (TTM)
—
Annual / share
—
Last ex-date
2021-10-28
Last amount
$4.60
ex 2021-10-28paid 2021-11-02$4.60

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-05Miss -21.9% est▲ +11.35%8-K ↗
2026-03-12Miss -2384.8% est▼ -7.38%8-K ↗
2025-11-06Miss -11.5% est▼ -11.34%8-K ↗
2025-08-05Beat +541.1% est▼ -22.43%8-K ↗
2025-05-06—▼ -37.81%8-K ↗
2025-03-12—▼ -23.08%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Recent news

market news →
World Cup ticket prices finally cool off, but deep runs by the host nations could boost demandBullish
seekingalpha.com· 2026-06-30
Housecall Pro Appoints Stan Chia As New CEO, Succeeding Michael BeaudoinBullish
nasdaq.com· 2026-06-15
Emeth Value Capital Opens Hefty $6 Million Shift4 Payments PositionBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-05-14
Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Advance Late Afternoon
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-05-13
Vivid Seats reaffirms 2026 outlook of $2.2B-$2.6B marketplace GOV and $30M-$40M adjusted EBITDA as app share exceeds 40%Bullish
seekingalpha.com· 2026-05-05
Live Nation Court Loss Leaves Breakup of Ticket Seller to JudgeBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-04-15

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score66 vs 67
Revenue growth-30.5% vs 7.5%
Net margin178.9% vs 10.0%
Return on equity— vs 12.0%
P/E6.3 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 4d
Bearish
-0.14
vs typical · 4 articles
↑ improving

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.