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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›SHOO
SHOO logo

SHOO

STEVEN MADDEN, LTD.

Next earnings Jul 28, 2026 (before open) · consensus $0.32 EPS, $646M rev

Last earnings +6.2% on 2026-05-06

Hold
$39.92
▼ -6.23%
$39.92▲ +66.21%
over 1Y
L $23.00H $46.15
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today-6.2%
1W-3.8%
1M-9.4%
3M+18.0%
YTD-4.4%
1Y+66.2%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
C
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Flagged
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
Street · 15 analysts
Buy

Kurt Geiger deal lifted sales but gutted earnings; healthy cash flow and undemanding P/S keep it a hold, not a buy.

Revenue (FY2025) $2.52B · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~89% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

Steven Madden's FY2025 looks like a tale of two income statements. Revenue grew a solid 11.0% to $2.52B — the fifth straight year of expansion off the 2021 base of $1.85B — yet net income collapsed 72.1% to $49.0M and diluted EPS fell 73.2% to $0.63. The headline 67.6x P/E is therefore an artifact of trough earnings, not a real valuation signal. The driver is plain in the MD&A: the May 2025 acquisition of Kurt Geiger for ~$403M, plus new Australia/Malaysia JV consolidations. That deal swung the balance sheet hard — total assets +35.6%, total liabilities +88.6%, cash down 40.8% to $112M — and was funded by an Amended Credit Agreement with a $300M term loan and $250M revolver. Operating margin compressed to 3.2% from a historical high-single-digit/low-double-digit norm, the clearest sign the profit hit is acquisition- and integration-driven rather than a demand collapse.

Crucially, the franchise still generates cash: operating cash flow was $162M, comfortably covering the $61.0M dividend and $13.5M of (sharply reduced) buybacks. The balance sheet is leveraged but not stressed — liabilities/equity 1.17x, long-term debt $234M against $866M equity, and management states all covenants (Total Net Leverage max 3.00x, Fixed Charge Coverage min 1.25x) were within thresholds at 12/31/2025. So this is a quality brand that levered up to buy growth, swallowing a brutal earnings year in the process.

Is SHOO a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Covered call~60d expiry
  • Long 100 shares @ ~39.92
  • Short call 42 @ ~1.91 est
debit $3,801max +$399max −$3,800BE 38.01

HOLD means own it, don't chase it — harvesting premium against the position matches the verdict.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$1.85B$2.11B$1.97B$2.27B$2.52B
Gross profit$767M$874M$832M$937M$1.05B
Operating income$244M$282M$213M$225M$80.8M
Net income$192M$217M$174M$176M$49.0M
Diluted EPS$2.34$2.77$2.30$2.35$0.63
Net margin10.4%10.3%8.8%7.7%1.9%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$3.04B
EV / EBITDA26.6
EV / Sales1.2
EV / FCF25.4
P / FCF24.4
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield1.7%
FCF yield4.1%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)5.8%
Free cash flow$120M
Total debt$234M
Net cash-$122M
Altman Z-Score4.78 safe
Piotroski F-Score4/9

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.5%
Dividend yield (est.)2.1%
Shareholder yield2.6%
Shares Δ YoY+0.7%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has skewed negative — read the flagged items.
  1. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-21

    Annual meeting vote results (Item 5.07); directors elected, routine items passed

  2. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-08

    Q1 FY2026: Kurt Geiger consolidated, higher debt and leverage vs prior year

  3. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-06

    Q1 FY2026 earnings released; first quarter fully consolidating Kurt Geiger

  4. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-06

    2026 proxy: board nominees, exec comp and say-on-pay for annual meeting

  5. 10-K Annual report2026-03-02

    FY2025: revenue +11% but net income -72%; $403M Kurt Geiger buy, new $550M facility

  6. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-25

    Q4/FY2025 results released; net income fell ~72% on margin and integration pressure

  7. 8-K Officer / director change2026-01-09

    Officer/director change announced (Item 5.02 management transition)

  8. 10-Q Quarterly report2025-11-10

    Q3 FY2025: Kurt Geiger integration weighing on margins and cash

  9. 8-K Earnings results2025-11-05

    Q3 FY2025 earnings released amid integration costs and margin compression

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-152026-06-16open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-152026-06-16open ↗144Filing2026-06-15open ↗144Filing2026-06-15open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-092026-06-10open ↗3/APeriod ending 2026-03-132026-06-10open ↗144Filing2026-06-09open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-042026-06-04open ↗144Filing2026-06-04open ↗144Filing2026-06-03open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-032026-06-03open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-222026-05-26open ↗

Quality score

C
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueC-
GrowthD
ProfitabilityC-
Financial healthB+
MomentumC+
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✗P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$4.58

Overvalued -89% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $0.63 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 0.0% growth) × 0.85 quality = 7.3× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

23.0052-week46.15
Revenue
$2.52B
+11.0% YoY
Net margin
1.9%
ROE
5.7%
P/E
63.4

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$2.52B+11.0%
Net income$49.0M-72.1%
Gross profit$1.05B+12.0%
Operating income$80.8M-64.1%
Diluted EPS$0.63-73.2%
Cash & equivalents$112M-40.8%
Total assets$1.91B+35.6%
Total liabilities$1.01B+88.6%
Stockholders' equity$866M+2.2%
Gross: 41.6%Op.: 3.2%L/E: 1.17x

Frequently asked

Is STEVEN MADDEN, LTD. (SHOO) a buy?
SHOO currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Kurt Geiger deal lifted sales but gutted earnings; healthy cash flow and undemanding P/S keep it a hold, not a buy.
What is SHOO's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on SHOO's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $4.58. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is SHOO overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, SHOO currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is STEVEN MADDEN, LTD.'s quality score?
SHOO scores 56.45708649067592/100 (grade C) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000913241, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-08) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/29/2026, 10:39:33 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 29, 2026, 6:39 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 7 sales

2026-06-15
MIGLIORINI PETER
Director
Sell4.00K @ $45.30$181K
2026-06-15
Reed Arian Simone
Director
Sell1.10K @ $45.38$49.9K
2026-06-09
Ciglar Christina
Chief Product Officer
Sell5.15K @ $44.74$230K
2026-06-04
Reed Arian Simone
Director
Sell475.00 @ $43.82$20.8K
2026-06-03
VARELA AMELIA
President
Sell10.0K @ $43.45$434K
2026-05-22
Davis Peter Allan
Director
Sell3.03K @ $41.98$127K
2026-05-20
Reed Arian Simone
Director
Sell648.00 @ $39.97$25.9K
2026-05-20
Reed Arian Simone
Director
Award2.96K
2026-05-20
Sachdev Ravi
Director
Award2.96K

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-06Beat +14.3% est▲ +6.78%8-K ↗
2026-02-25Beat +0.4% est▼ -9.50%8-K ↗
2025-11-05Miss -3.7% est▲ +12.68%8-K ↗
2025-07-30Miss -3.2% est▼ -8.29%8-K ↗
2025-05-07—▲ +27.71%8-K ↗
2025-02-26—▼ -14.23%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score56 vs 67
Revenue growth11.0% vs 7.5%
Net margin1.9% vs 10.0%
Return on equity5.7% vs 12.0%
P/E63.4 vs 26.2