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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›SOBO
SOBO logo

SOBO

South Bow Corp

Next earnings Aug 5, 2026 · consensus $0.43 EPS, $491M rev

Hold
$34.37
▼ -4.21%
$34.37▲ +35.95%
over 1Y
L $24.42H $38.18
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today-4.2%
1W-6.0%
1M-6.7%
3M+3.6%
YTD+25.1%
1Y+36.0%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
B
Valuation
Undervalued
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 25 analysts
Hold

Crude-pipeline spinoff throwing off fat fee-based cash and a big dividend, but high leverage and a near-full payout cap upside.

Net income $433M · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals offset by an attractive price (~79% below fair value) — worth a look on the value angle.

South Bow operates crude-oil pipeline infrastructure (the Keystone system) under largely fee-based, take-or-pay contracts, producing utility-like economics: a 54.9% operating margin and 21.8% net margin. FY2025 net income rose 37.0% to $433M and diluted EPS 36.2% to $2.07, while operating cash flow grew 35.5% to $717M and cash built 38.3% to $549M. ROE is a respectable 16.0%, and the company funds a large dividend ($416M).

The profile has two clear tensions. First, leverage is high at 3.13x liabilities/equity with $8.48B of total liabilities against $2.71B equity — typical for pipeline assets but a real constraint, and retained earnings sit slightly negative (-$32.0M) as distributions roughly match earnings. Second, the dividend ($416M) absorbs nearly all of net income ($433M), leaving thin coverage if cash flow dips; with only a short post-spin history (FY2023-FY2025), the durability and growth of the payout are less proven than for established midstream names.

Is SOBO a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Covered call~90d expiry
  • Long 100 shares @ ~34.37
  • Short call 36 @ ~2.50 est
debit $3,187max +$413max −$3,186BE 31.87

HOLD means own it, don't chase it — harvesting premium against the position matches the verdict.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY23FY24FY25
Revenue$2.00B$2.12B$1.99B
Gross profit———
Operating income$1.07B$1.09B—
Net income$442M$316M$433M
Diluted EPS$2.13$1.52$2.07
Net margin22.0%14.9%21.8%

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$6.62B
EV / EBITDA4.9
EV / Sales3.3
EV / FCF11.5
P / FCF12.4
PEG (trailing)0.45
Earnings yield6.0%
FCF yield8.0%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)31.8%
Free cash flow$576M
Total debt—
Net cash$549M
Altman Z-Score1.07 distress
Piotroski F-Score5/7

Capital returns

Buyback yield—
Dividend yield (est.)5.8%
Shareholder yield5.8%
Shares Δ YoY+0.1%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
11-KPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-06-29open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-05-292026-05-29open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-05-14open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-03-312026-05-08open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-03-312026-05-07open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-05-072026-05-07open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-05-072026-05-07open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-04-092026-04-09open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-04-022026-04-02open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-03-16open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-03-132026-03-16open ↗40-FPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-03-16open ↗

Quality score

B
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueB
GrowthB-
ProfitabilityA
Financial healthB-
MomentumB-
  • ✗Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✗Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$61.67

Undervalued +79% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $2.07 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 15.4% growth) × 0.95 quality = 29.8× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

24.1152-week37.65
Revenue
$1.99B
-6.3% YoY
Net margin
21.8%
ROE
16.0%
P/E
16.6

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$1.99B-6.3%
Net income$433M+37.0%
Operating income$1.09B+1.6%
Diluted EPS$2.07+36.2%
Cash & equivalents$549M+38.3%
Total assets$11.2B-1.2%
Total liabilities$8.48B-2.7%
Stockholders' equity$2.71B+3.8%
Op.: 54.9%L/E: 3.13x

Frequently asked

Is South Bow Corp (SOBO) a buy?
SOBO currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Crude-pipeline spinoff throwing off fat fee-based cash and a big dividend, but high leverage and a near-full payout cap upside.
What is SOBO's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on SOBO's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $61.67. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is SOBO overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, SOBO currently appears undervalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is South Bow Corp's quality score?
SOBO scores 73.0926209409616/100 (grade B) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002019061, latest 11-K filed 2026-06-29) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:52:46 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:52 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
5.8%
Annual / share
$2.00
Last ex-date
2026-06-30
Last amount
$0.50
ex 2026-06-30paid 2026-07-15$0.50
ex 2026-03-31paid 2026-04-15$0.50
ex 2025-12-31paid 2026-01-15$0.50
ex 2025-09-29paid 2025-10-15$0.50
ex 2025-06-30paid 2025-07-15$0.50
ex 2025-03-31paid 2025-04-15$0.50

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Recent news

market news →
How the Oil Sands Became the Lowest-Cost North American ProducerBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-17
Raymond James Initiates Coverage of South Bow (SOBO) with Outperform RatingBullish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-12
South Bow Initiated at Outperform, $60 Price Target at Raymond James
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-10
Ceasefire Uncertainty Remains the Biggest Driver for Oil MarketsBearish
finance.yahoo.com· 2026-06-02
South Bow CEO cites need for 'durable' permit before Keystone XL pipeline restartBullish
seekingalpha.com· 2026-05-29
Canada, Alberta reach carbon compromise that may pave way for new 1M bbl/day oil pipelineBullish
seekingalpha.com· 2026-05-17

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score73 vs 67
Revenue growth-6.3% vs 7.5%
Net margin21.8% vs 10.0%
Return on equity16.0% vs 12.0%
P/E16.6 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 8d
Bearish
-0.22
vs typical · 8 articles
↓ cooling

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.