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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›TMCI
TMCI logo

TMCI

TREACE MEDICAL CONCEPTS, INC.

Next earnings Aug 5, 2026 (after close) · consensus $-0.30 EPS, $44.9M rev

Last earnings +4.7% on 2026-05-08

Sell
$4.21
▼ -1.41%
$4.21▼ -26.78%
over 1Y
L $1.20H $7.70
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today-1.4%
1W-5.4%
1M+21.3%
3M+190.3%
YTD+68.4%
1Y-26.8%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Sell
Quality
D
Valuation
Fair value
Filings
Flagged
Sell
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 10 analysts
Sell

High-margin bunion play whose growth has evaporated to +1.6% while losses widen and cash runs thin — cheap for a reason.

Revenue growth (FY2025) +1.6% · FY2025

Treace's core problem is written in its own revenue line: growth has collapsed from +50% (FY22) and +32% (FY23) to +12% (FY24) and just +1.6% in FY2025, with revenue flat-lining at $213M. The MD&A/risk section explains why — 'extensive competition' in both the Lapidus and minimally invasive osteotomy markets, plus a shift of elective bunion surgery from hospitals to ambulatory surgery centers that pressures ASPs on the flagship Lapiplasty (management flags Lapiplasty carries 'higher average selling prices than our new osteotomy and great toe fusion systems'). So mix and setting-of-care are working against them at the same time volume growth stalls. This is a franchise losing its pricing and growth engine, not one pausing before re-acceleration.

Meanwhile the losses keep getting bigger, not smaller. Net loss has widened every single year — $20.6M → $42.8M → $49.5M → $55.7M → $59.0M — so the company is spending more to buy less growth. Operating margin is -25.5%, net margin -27.7%, ROE -67.6%, and stockholders' equity fell 22.6% to $87.3M against a $249M accumulated deficit. Gross margin of 79.8% is genuinely excellent and the only real asset in the story, but it has not been enough to carry the P&L toward breakeven after years of trying.

Is TMCI a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bear put spread~60d expiry
  • Long put 4 @ ~0.47 est
  • Short put 4 @ ~0.47 est
debit $0max +$0max $0

SELL verdict, defined risk: profits into weakness down to the short strike; max loss is the net debit.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$94.4M$142M$187M$209M$213M
Gross profit$77.5M$116M$152M$168M$170M
Operating income-$16.5M-$34.8M-$51.4M-$55.7M-$54.2M
Net income-$20.6M-$42.8M-$49.5M-$55.7M-$59.0M
Diluted EPS-$0.43-$0.77-$0.81-$0.90-$0.93
Net margin-21.8%-30.2%-26.5%-26.6%-27.7%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$320M
EV / EBITDA—
EV / Sales1.5
EV / FCF—
P / FCF—
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield-21.6%
FCF yield-10.8%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)-29.6%
Free cash flow-$29.5M
Total debt$57.3M
Net cash-$46.6M
Altman Z-Score0.57 distress
Piotroski F-Score2/9

Capital returns

Buyback yield—
Dividend yield (est.)—
Shareholder yield—
Shares Δ YoY+3.1%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has skewed negative — read the flagged items.
  1. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-20

    Annual meeting: directors elected, auditor and say-on-pay ratified — routine

  2. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-08

    Q1 FY2026: growth stalled with continued operating losses, thin cash

  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-08

    Q1 FY2026: growth stalled with continued operating losses, thin cash

  4. 8-K Officer / director change2026-04-09

    Pre-announced Q1 results alongside an executive leadership change

  5. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-06

    Annual proxy: board slate, exec pay, auditor ratification — routine

  6. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-27

    FY2025 revenue flat at $213M (+1.6%); net loss widened to -$59M

  7. 10-K Annual report2026-02-27

    FY2025 revenue flat at $213M (+1.6%); net loss widened to -$59M

  8. 8-K Earnings results2026-01-13

    Previewed FY2025 revenue and 2026 outlook (JPM conference)

  9. 8-K Agreement terminated2025-12-18

    Refinanced into new 5-year credit facilities, replacing prior debt

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4/APeriod ending 2026-06-102026-06-12open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-102026-06-11open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-012026-06-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-262026-05-28open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-192026-05-20open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-192026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-192026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-192026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-192026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-192026-05-19open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-192026-05-19open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-05-15open ↗

Quality score

D
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueA-
GrowthD
ProfitabilityF
Financial healthC+
MomentumC-
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✗Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
1.2052-week7.70
Revenue
$213M
+1.6% YoY
Net margin
-27.7%
ROE
-67.6%
P/E
—

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$213M+1.6%
Net income-$59.0M-5.8%
Gross profit$170M+0.9%
Operating income-$54.2M+2.8%
Diluted EPS-$0.93-3.3%
Cash & equivalents$10.7M-5.7%
Total assets$191M-12.2%
Total liabilities$103M-0.9%
Stockholders' equity$87.3M-22.6%
Gross: 79.8%Op.: -25.5%L/E: 1.18x

Frequently asked

Is TREACE MEDICAL CONCEPTS, INC. (TMCI) a buy?
TMCI currently carries a Sell rating with 4/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. High-margin bunion play whose growth has evaporated to +1.6% while losses widen and cash runs thin — cheap for a reason.
What is TREACE MEDICAL CONCEPTS, INC.'s quality score?
TMCI scores 49.83486819191738/100 (grade D) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001630627, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-08) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 7/3/2026, 10:36:27 AM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jul 3, 2026, 6:36 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 6 open-market buys · 0 sales

2026-06-11
Treace John T.
Chief Executive Officer
Buy22.9K @ $4.04$92.5K
2026-06-10
Treace John T.
Chief Executive Officer
Buy29.4K @ $4.02$118K
2026-06-01
Treace John T.
Chief Executive Officer
Buy50.0K @ $3.56$178K
2026-05-28
Treace John T.
Chief Executive Officer
Buy61.2K @ $3.02$185K
2026-05-27
Treace John T.
Chief Executive Officer
Buy49.8K @ $2.87$143K
2026-05-26
Treace John T.
Chief Executive Officer
Buy4.51K @ $2.79$12.6K
2026-05-19
BAKEWELL JOHN K
Director
Award30.0K
2026-05-19
Kiernan Jane E
Director
Award30.0K
2026-05-19
Berry Lance A
Director
Award30.0K
2026-05-19
Jain Deepti
Director
Award30.0K
2026-05-19
HAMILTON LAWRENCE W
Director
Award30.0K

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-08Beat +10.9% est▲ +6.01%8-K ↗
2026-04-09Beat +10.9% est▲ +39.58%8-K ↗
2026-02-27Beat +2.0% est▼ -1.59%8-K ↗
2026-01-13Beat +2.0% est▼ -5.59%8-K ↗
2025-11-06Beat +9.0% est▼ -30.13%8-K ↗
2025-08-07Beat +4.8% est▲ +5.77%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score50 vs 67
Revenue growth1.6% vs 7.5%
Net margin-27.7% vs 10.0%
Return on equity-67.6% vs 12.0%
P/E— vs 26.2