Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

Toll Brothers, Inc.
Next earnings Aug 17, 2026 (after close) · consensus $2.94 EPS, $2.63B rev
Last earnings -2.2% on 2026-05-19
A profitable luxury homebuilder at 11.5x earnings, buying back 5% of its stock a year — cheap, with cyclical risk priced in.
Diluted EPS $13.49 · FY2025
The fundamentals carry the rating, but the price is rich (~27% above our fair-value estimate) — a quality-at-a-price call. The case rests on the business, not the entry; patient buyers may wait for a pullback.
Toll Brothers is a high-quality luxury homebuilder trading at a clearly modest valuation. FY2025 revenue held roughly flat at $11.0B (+1.1%) while net income slipped 14.3% to $1.35B and diluted EPS came in at $13.49 — a normal mid-cycle moderation after the post-pandemic peak, not a collapse. Even after the decline, the company earned a 16.3% ROE on a 12.3% net margin and 15.7% operating margin. At $155.67 the stock trades at just an 11.5 P/E and a 1.3 P/S, which embeds meaningful caution about the housing cycle.
Capital allocation is a standout. Toll bought back $651M of stock (shares outstanding fell 5.0% YoY) and paid $97.1M in dividends, while still growing book value — equity rose 7.8% to $8.27B and retained earnings reached $8.57B. The balance sheet is sound for a builder, with $6.23B of liabilities against $8.27B of equity (0.75x) and $1.26B of cash. Operating cash flow of $1.11B (up 10.1%) funded those returns comfortably. Toll's vertical integration — its Toll Integrated Systems subsidiary manufactures wall panels, trusses and millwork — supports cost control and quality, as the filing describes.
Is TOL a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →
BUY verdict with defined risk: the short call finances part of the long one; max loss is the net debit.
Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.79B | $10.3B | $9.99B | $10.8B | $11.0B |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | $1.02B | $1.51B | $1.72B | $2.04B | $1.72B |
| Net income | $834M | $1.29B | $1.37B | $1.57B | $1.35B |
| Diluted EPS | $6.63 | $10.90 | $12.36 | $15.01 | $13.49 |
| Net margin | 9.5% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 12.3% |
10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000794170, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-29) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:45:49 PM.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:45 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.
Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 3 sales
| 2026-06-18 | Parahus Robert President & COO | Sell | 7.50K @ $149.66 | $1.12M |
| 2026-06-18 | Yearley Douglas C. Jr. Executive Chairman | Exercise | 78.0K @ $31.61 | $2.46M |
| 2026-06-18 | Yearley Douglas C. Jr. Executive Chairman | Sell | 78.0K @ $156.58 | $12.2M |
| 2026-04-15 | East Stephen F. Director | Sell | 1.00K @ $139.70 | $140K |
| 2026-03-04 | McLean John A Director | Exercise | 2.31K @ $31.61 | $73.1K |
| 2026-03-04 | McLean John A Director | Sell | 2.31K @ $153.43 | $355K |
| 2026-02-27 | Yearley Douglas C. Jr. Chief Executive Officer | Exercise | 27.0K @ $31.61 | $854K |
| 2026-02-27 | Yearley Douglas C. Jr. Chief Executive Officer | Sell | 27.0K @ $159.15 | $4.30M |
| 2026-02-24 | Yearley Douglas C. Jr. Chief Executive Officer | Exercise | 45.1K @ $31.61 | $1.43M |
| 2026-02-24 | Yearley Douglas C. Jr. Chief Executive Officer | Sell | 43.0K @ $160.39 | $6.90M |
| 2026-02-24 | Yearley Douglas C. Jr. Chief Executive Officer | Sell | 2.10K @ $161.04 | $339K |
| 2026-01-31 | Ziegler Gregg L. Chief Financial Officer | Exercise | 4.90K |
| Millennium Management | 814K sh | $111M |
| Two Sigma Investments | 450K sh | $61.4M |
| Point72 Asset Management | 280K sh | $38.2M |
| Bridgewater Associates | 217K sh | $29.7M |
As of each fund’s latest quarterly 13F — a delayed snapshot, not a live position. All tracked funds →
Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.
Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
Disclosed under the STOCK Act
Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.
1194 tracked peers · median
Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.