Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

Tempest Therapeutics, Inc.
Next earnings Aug 10, 2026 (after close) · consensus $-0.31 EPS
Cash-starved clinical-stage biotech burning $27M/yr on $7.7M cash — serial dilution and going-concern risk make it uninvestable.
Cash & equivalents $7.71M · FY2025
Tempest is a pre-revenue clinical-stage biotech with no approved product and no commercial engine — the 'revenue' line ($295K, tagged FY2017) is stale legacy collaboration income, so the P/S of 53x is meaningless. What matters is the burn: FY2025 operating cash flow was -$26.8M against just $7.71M of cash at year-end (down 74.5% YoY). That is well under four months of runway at the FY2025 rate, which is the defining fact of this equity — the company cannot fund itself and is entirely dependent on capital markets to survive.
The filing makes the dilution mechanics explicit and brutal. To acquire the Erigen/Factor CAR-T portfolio (ERI-2003/2206/3003/3206, plus TPST-2003) the company issued 8,268,495 shares — more than half the entire 14.3M share count — as pure stock consideration. On top of that came a Warrant Dividend of 6,784,989 warrants and a March 2026 private placement of shares plus pre-funded, Series A and Series B warrants at a combined $2.16/unit. The steep share-count and EPS optics (shares -68.5% YoY, diluted EPS -$6.33) point to a prior reverse split, and the fresh issuance/warrant overhang means today's 14.3M count understates true dilution substantially. Retained deficit of -$233M against $6.67M of equity (down 65.1%) shows two decades of cash incineration with nothing commercialized.
Is TPST a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →
AVOID means we wouldn't engage at all — if expressing the short side anyway, only with capped risk.
Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | -$27.0M | -$34.6M | -$29.2M | -$42.0M | -$26.6M |
| Net income | -$28.3M | -$35.7M | -$29.5M | -$41.8M | -$26.3M |
| Diluted EPS | -$7.47 | -$3.09 | -$1.91 | -$19.50 | -$6.33 |
| Net margin | — | — | — | — | — |
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
New shelf registration — capacity for future dilutive capital raises
Annual meeting vote results: directors elected, routine proposals ratified
Annual meeting proxy — routine governance items for shareholder vote
Board/officer change plus Reg FD corporate update on pipeline
New material agreement and unregistered equity sale — further dilution
Executive/director departure or appointment disclosed
Officer/director change amid post-acquisition reshuffle
Officer/director change amid post-acquisition reshuffle
Q1'26: ~$8M cash vs heavy burn; going-concern doubt persists
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001544227, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-14) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 7/4/2026, 9:28:29 AM.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jul 4, 2026, 5:28 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.
| 2026-03-24 | Angel Matthew CEO and President | Buy | 231K @ $2.16 | $500K |
| 2026-03-24 | Angel Matthew CEO and President | Buy | 231K @ $2.16 | $500K |
Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
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