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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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TTENK/calls
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Home›Stocks›TSCO
TSCO logo

TSCO

TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/

Next earnings Jul 22, 2026 · consensus $0.87 EPS, $4.74B rev

Last earnings -11.7% on 2026-04-21

Buy
$31.76
▲ +1.79%
$31.76▼ -37.30%
over 1Y
L $29.14H $61.60
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+1.8%
1W+3.3%
1M+5.8%
3M-26.9%
YTD-36.7%
1Y-37.3%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Buy
Quality
C+
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Watch
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 37 analysts
Buy

The largest US rural-lifestyle retailer compounds steadily at 42.5% ROE and trades at a reasonable 14.7x — a quality buy.

Revenue $15.5B · FY2025

The read

The fundamentals carry the rating, but the price is rich (~27% above our fair-value estimate) — a quality-at-a-price call. The case rests on the business, not the entry; patient buyers may wait for a pullback.

Tractor Supply is the dominant rural-lifestyle retailer in the US, operating 2,602 stores across 49 states, and the financials read like a high-quality compounder. FY2025 revenue grew 4.3% to $15.5B with a 36.4% gross margin, 9.5% operating margin and a 42.5% return on equity — exceptional capital efficiency for a big-box retailer. Net income was essentially flat at $1.10B (EPS $2.06, +1.0%), continuing a remarkably consistent five-year arc ($997M to $1.10B) on revenue that has compounded ~7.9% annually per the MD&A. Operating cash flow rose 15.1% to $1.64B, and the company is reinvesting aggressively — $895M of capex (+14.1%) into new stores and a new Nampa, Idaho distribution center opening in Q4 2026.

Capital return is disciplined: $361M of buybacks (which shrank the share count 1.0% to 526M) plus $488M of dividends (+3.2%, with the quarterly payout raised to $0.24 for 2026). The balance sheet carries $1.76B of long-term debt (down 3.7%) against $2.58B of equity; the 3.24x liabilities/equity ratio looks heavy but is largely operating-lease driven (the company leases ~97% of its stores), which is normal for the format and consistent with the sky-high ROE. Cash is thin at $194M (down 22.8%), but current assets ($3.51B) comfortably cover current liabilities ($2.61B).

Is TSCO a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bull call spread (wide)~90d expiry
  • Long call 32 @ ~2.35 est
  • Short call 37 @ ~0.77 est
debit $158max +$342max −$158BE 33.58

High-conviction BUY: a wider spread keeps more of the upside while the short call still cuts cost and decay.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$12.7B$14.2B$14.6B$14.9B$15.5B
Gross profit$4.48B$4.97B$5.23B$5.40B$5.65B
Operating income$1.31B$1.43B$1.48B$1.47B$1.47B
Net income$997M$1.09B$1.11B$1.10B$1.10B
Diluted EPS$8.61$1.94$2.02$2.04$2.06
Net margin7.8%7.7%7.6%7.4%7.1%

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$18.2B
EV / EBITDA9.3
EV / Sales1.2
EV / FCF24.6
P / FCF22.5
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield6.6%
FCF yield4.4%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)26.7%
Free cash flow$740M
Total debt$1.76B
Net cash-$1.57B
Altman Z-Score4.12 safe
Piotroski F-Score6/9

Capital returns

Buyback yield2.2%
Dividend yield (est.)2.9%
Shareholder yield5.1%
Shares Δ YoY-1.0%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Some governance/structural items recently, but no outright red flags.
  1. 8-K Other event2026-05-28
  2. 8-K Material agreement2026-05-21
  3. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-15
  4. 8-K/A Amended 8-K2026-05-15
  5. 8-K Other event2026-05-14
  6. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-07
  7. 8-K Earnings results2026-04-21
  8. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-03-26
  9. 10-K Annual report2026-02-19

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
SDFiling2026-05-28open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-282026-05-28open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-192026-05-21open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-142026-05-18open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-142026-05-18open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-142026-05-18open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-142026-05-18open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-142026-05-18open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-142026-05-18open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-142026-05-18open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-142026-05-18open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-142026-05-18open ↗

Quality score

C+
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueA-
GrowthD
ProfitabilityB
Financial healthB-
MomentumF
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✗Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✓P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$23.20

Overvalued -27% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $2.06 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 1.9% growth) × 0.99 quality = 11.3× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

29.1452-week61.60
Revenue
$15.5B
+4.3% YoY
Net margin
7.1%
ROE
42.5%
P/E
15.4

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$15.5B+4.3%
Net income$1.10B-0.5%
Gross profit$5.65B+4.8%
Operating income$1.47B-0.0%
Diluted EPS$2.06+1.0%
Cash & equivalents$194M-22.8%
Total assets$10.9B+11.5%
Total liabilities$8.35B+10.8%
Stockholders' equity$2.58B+13.7%
Gross: 36.4%Op.: 9.5%L/E: 3.24x

Frequently asked

Is TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/ (TSCO) a buy?
TSCO currently carries a Buy rating with 4/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. The largest US rural-lifestyle retailer compounds steadily at 42.5% ROE and trades at a reasonable 14.7x — a quality buy.
What is TSCO's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on TSCO's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $23.20. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is TSCO overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, TSCO currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is TRACTOR SUPPLY CO /DE/'s quality score?
TSCO scores 61.5000687236362/100 (grade C+) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000916365, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-07) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:43:49 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:43 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-05-14
Jackson Denise L
Director
Award5.71K
2026-05-14
MORRIS EDNA
Director
Award9.17K
2026-05-14
Syngal Sonia
Director
Award5.71K
2026-05-14
Krishnan Ramkumar
Director
Award5.71K
2026-05-14
Hawaux Andre J
Director
Award5.71K
2026-05-14
Ham Margaret M
Director
Award5.71K
2026-05-14
Cardenas Ricardo
Director
Award5.71K
2026-05-14
Weikel Mark J
Director
Award5.71K

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
3.0%
Annual / share
$0.94
Last ex-date
2026-05-27
Last amount
$0.24
ex 2026-05-27paid 2026-06-09$0.24
ex 2026-02-24paid 2026-03-10$0.24
ex 2025-11-24paid 2025-12-09$0.23
ex 2025-08-25paid 2025-09-09$0.23
ex 2025-05-28paid 2025-06-10$0.23
ex 2025-02-26paid 2025-03-11$0.23

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-04-21Miss -11.2% est▼ -20.40%8-K ↗
2026-01-29Miss -8.9% est▼ -4.57%8-K ↗
2025-10-23Miss -0.4% est▲ +1.96%8-K ↗
2025-07-24Miss -1.0% est▲ +4.42%8-K ↗
2025-04-24—▼ -5.28%8-K ↗
2025-01-30—▼ -5.28%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Congressional trades

all activity →

6 buys · 9 sells · 3 members · last 180d

−$73.0K net soldlast trade 38d ago
$48.0K bought$121K sold
2026-06-05April McClain DelaneySell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-06-05April McClain DelaneySell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-06-05April McClain DelaneySell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-06-05April McClain DelaneySell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-06-05April McClain DelaneySell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-06-05April McClain DelaneySell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-05-19Josh GottheimerSell$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗
2026-04-30Jared MoskowitzSell$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-04-30Jared MoskowitzSell$15.0K–$50.0KPTR ↗
2026-04-06April McClain DelaneyBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-04-06April McClain DelaneyBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗
2026-04-06April McClain DelaneyBuy$1.00K–$15.0KPTR ↗

Self-reported periodic transaction reports (STOCK Act). Amounts are disclosed ranges; a trade may be a spouse's. Disclosures lag the trade by up to ~45 days. Source: House Clerk + Senate eFD.

Vs Consumer Discretionary peers

compare →

121 tracked peers · median

TENK Score62 vs 65
Revenue growth4.3% vs 5.1%
Net margin7.1% vs 7.1%
Return on equity42.5% vs 18.9%
P/E15.4 vs 23.4
Peers
BYDEATLEVILTHDECKDUOLRLFTDR