Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

Valion Bio, Inc.
Next earnings ≈ Aug 13, 2026 · est. from filing cadence
Last earnings -3.8% on 2026-05-14
Going-concern clinical-stage shell with near-zero revenue, $8.9M loss and 364% dilution — a pre-BLA lottery ticket, not an investment.
Net income -$8.88M · FY2025
VBIO (which files as Tivic Health Systems) is a $1.44M-market-cap clinical-stage biopharma mid-pivot, and the numbers describe a company being rebuilt from scratch, not a going business. Management explicitly flags 'our ability to continue as a going concern' and 'our ability to secure additional financing on favorable terms, if at all' in its forward-looking statements — the polite language of a company that must raise capital to survive. It has wound down its only commercial product (the ClearUP bioelectronic device, ~$347K in exit charges), so the trailing revenue base of $780K (FY2024, already -33.7% YoY) effectively goes away: management concedes it 'will generate minimal revenue during this transition.' What remains is an in-licensed late-stage asset, Entolimod, that has not yet reached a Biologics License Application — the stated 'immediate operational priority' is merely validating the manufacturing process needed to submit the BLA. There is no approved product and no product revenue engine.
The financials confirm the speculative profile. FY2025 net loss was -$8.88M (worse by 57%), operating income -$7.90M, and operating cash flow -$7.00M. Margins are not meaningful in any conventional sense — operating margin of -1012% and net margin of -1138% simply reflect spend against a revenue base near zero. R&D more than doubled (+138% to $3.13M) as the company funds the TLR5 pipeline, and the accumulated deficit sits at -$52.6M. The one genuine positive is liquidity: cash rose to $12.6M and current assets ($13.0M) dwarf current liabilities ($646K), giving perhaps two years of runway at the current burn. But that cash was bought with extraordinary dilution — shares outstanding jumped 364% in a year — and total assets ballooned 1026% (to $31.6M) largely on acquired/licensed intangibles from the Statera license and Scorpius/Velocity CDMO deal, while liabilities rose 2635%. This is a balance sheet assembled through financing and M&A, not earned.
Is VBIO a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →
AVOID means we wouldn't engage at all — if expressing the short side anyway, only with capped risk.
Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.26M | $1.84M | $1.18M | $780K | — |
| Gross profit | -$38.0K | $299K | $287K | $2.00K | — |
| Operating income | -$5.63M | -$10.1M | -$8.24M | -$4.48M | -$7.90M |
| Net income | -$8.49M | -$10.1M | -$8.24M | -$5.66M | -$8.88M |
| Diluted EPS | -$2.43 | -$104.32 | -$176.80 | -$19.68 | — |
| Net margin | -675.7% | -548.7% | -701.0% | -725.0% | — |
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Unregistered equity sale (Item 3.02) — fresh dilution to fund the biologics pivot
Annual-meeting vote results and a board/officer change; no financial impact disclosed
Q1'26: still deep losses, but $12.6M cash cushions post-raise runway
Q1'26: still deep losses, but $12.6M cash cushions post-raise runway
Executive/director change (Item 5.02) plus Reg FD disclosure
Charter/bylaw amendment (Item 5.03) — structural, likely share-related change
Pivot to clinical-stage biopharma (Entolimod/CDMO) but going-concern flagged
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001787740, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-14) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 7/4/2026, 10:37:06 AM.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jul 4, 2026, 6:37 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.
Last 90 days: 1 open-market buy · 0 sales
| 2026-06-18 | Wolf Lisa G Chief Financial Officer | Exercise | 92.00 | |
| 2026-05-18 | Handley Michael K Chief Executive Officer | Exercise | 2.21K | |
| 2026-04-15 | Bolton Sheryle Director | Buy | 10.0K @ $1.04 | $10.4K |
| 2026-04-01 | Valauri Christina Rizopoulos Director | Buy | 19.0K @ $0.95 | $18.0K |
| 2026-03-18 | Wolf Lisa G Chief Financial Officer | Exercise | 92.00 | |
| 2026-02-18 | Handley Michael K Chief Operating Officer | Exercise | 8.82K | |
| 2025-12-18 | Wolf Lisa G Chief Financial Officer | Exercise | 736.00 | |
| 2025-12-18 | Wolf Lisa G Chief Financial Officer | Tax | 302.00 @ $1.87 | $564.74 |
Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
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