Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

Velocity Financial, Inc.
Next earnings Aug 5, 2026 · consensus $0.65 EPS
Last earnings +1.2% on 2026-05-06
Cheap specialty lender compounding earnings >40%/yr at 6.4x P/E; leverage is high but structural to the securitization model.
Diluted EPS $2.75 · FY2025
Quality fundamentals and an attractive price line up (~463% below fair value) — the rarer case where both the business and the entry look good.
Velocity Financial is a vertically integrated investor-real-estate lender that has compounded net income from $29.2M (FY2021) to $105M (FY2025) — a >3.5x lift in four years — with FY2025 alone delivering +53.5% net income growth and +44% diluted EPS growth to $2.75. At $17.64, the stock trades at just 6.4x trailing earnings on a business the MD&A says earned a 17.5% return on average equity and a 24.4% pre-tax ROAE in 2025, with a 3.61% portfolio net interest margin on a $6.5B UPB book yielding 9.45%. That is a deep mismatch between price and demonstrated profitability, and the 15.6% derived ROE confirms equity is being deployed productively rather than diluted away.
The filing language explains the structural shape of the balance sheet that scares casual screeners: liabilities/equity of 9.97x is not bank-style recklessness — the MD&A discloses 46 completed securitizations issuing $10.6B in non-recourse securities since 2011, meaning most of the $6.71B liability stack is match-funded portfolio debt against a 65.2% weighted-average LTV first-lien collateral pool spread across 48 states. The January 2026 issuance of $500M of 9.375% Senior Notes maturing 2031 termed-out near-term corporate funding needs, and retained earnings grew 53.2% to $302M, so equity is being built organically alongside the book.
Is VEL a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →
High-conviction BUY: a wider spread keeps more of the upside while the short call still cuts cost and decay.
Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net income | $29.2M | $32.2M | $52.3M | $68.4M | $105M |
| Diluted EPS | $0.86 | $0.94 | $1.52 | $1.91 | $2.75 |
| Net margin | — | — | — | — | — |
10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001692376, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-07) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/25/2026, 3:20:03 PM.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 25, 2026, 11:20 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.
Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 1 sale
| 2026-06-30 | Kelly Roland Thomas Chief Legal Officer and GC | Acquired (J) | 858.00 @ $18.46 | $15.8K |
| 2026-06-30 | Farrar Christopher D. Chief Executive Officer | Acquired (J) | 1.27K @ $18.46 | $23.5K |
| 2026-06-26 | Szczepaniak Mark R Chief Financial Officer | Sell | 1.57K @ $18.07 | $28.4K |
| 2026-05-26 | Pitstick John Director | Disposed (D) | 3.60K @ $17.17 | $61.9K |
| 2026-05-26 | Schaefer Joy L. Director | Disposed (D) | 3.60K @ $17.17 | $61.9K |
| 2026-05-21 | Beckett Dorika M Director | Award | 5.41K @ $17.55 | $95.0K |
| 2026-05-21 | Schaefer Joy L. Director | Award | 5.41K @ $17.55 | $95.0K |
| 2026-05-21 | Pitstick John Director | Award | 5.41K @ $17.55 | $95.0K |
Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
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