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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›VSEC
VSEC logo

VSEC

VSE CORP

Next earnings Jul 28, 2026 · consensus $0.95 EPS, $436M rev

Last earnings +5.5% on 2026-05-05

Hold
$232.33
▲ +3.61%
$232.33▲ +78.78%
over 1Y
L $125.08H $232.33
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+3.6%
1W+3.9%
1M+28.9%
3M+25.6%
YTD+28.3%
1Y+78.8%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
C+
Valuation
Overvalued
Filings
Clean
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 15 analysts
Strong Buy

Pure-play aviation aftermarket roll-up with 41% revenue growth, but GAAP earnings are tiny and the stock trades at ~400x.

Revenue $1.11B · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~96% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.

VSE Corporation has reinvented itself as a focused aviation aftermarket distribution and MRO company, having sold its Fleet segment in April 2025 to operate as a 'single reportable segment aligned with the Company's operating segment: Aviation.' The pivot is showing strong top-line momentum: FY2025 revenue grew 41.5% to $1.11B and operating income jumped 52.5% to $89.6M, driven by acquisitions (Turbine Weld, Aero 3, a Pratt & Whitney PT6 fuel-pump program) and 'strong program execution... with original equipment manufacturer distribution and repair partners.' The aviation aftermarket is a high-quality, recurring end-market tied to flight hours and fleet maintenance.

The catch is that the strategic transformation has crushed near-term GAAP earnings and diluted shareholders. Net income fell 23.6% to just $11.7M and diluted EPS dropped 35.3% to $0.55, leaving net margin at 1.1% and ROE at 0.8% — the wide gap from the $89.6M operating income reflects interest, rising amortization (+38.8%) and deal/integration costs. Funding the M&A required massive equity issuance: shares outstanding rose 35.9%, including a $441.6M October 2025 offering at $170 and ~$1.3 billion of February 2026 offerings to finance the pending Precision Aviation Group (PAG) acquisition. The balance sheet itself is now conservative (liabilities/equity 0.41x, long-term debt down 28.7%), but the PAG deal will add new term loans.

Is VSEC a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$481M$669M$544M$786M$1.11B
Gross profit—————
Operating income-$2.71M$53.6M$50.1M$58.8M$89.6M
Net income$7.97M$28.1M$39.1M$15.3M$11.7M
Diluted EPS$0.63$2.19$2.76$0.85$0.55
Net margin1.7%4.2%7.2%1.9%1.1%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$6.74B
EV / EBITDA52.1
EV / Sales6.1
EV / FCF1180.9
P / FCF1141.8
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield0.2%
FCF yield0.1%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)4.1%
Free cash flow$5.71M
Total debt$293M
Net cash-$223M
Altman Z-Score7.99 safe
Piotroski F-Score6/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield—
Dividend yield (est.)0.1%
Shareholder yield0.1%
Shares Δ YoY+35.9%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Routine disclosure cadence — no material red flags in recent filings.
  1. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-05-08
  2. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-08
  3. 8-K Material agreement2026-05-07
  4. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-05
  5. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-03-24
  6. 8-K Other event2026-02-27
  7. 10-K Annual report2026-02-27
  8. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-26
  9. 8-K Material agreement2026-02-05

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-302026-07-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-152026-06-17open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-152026-06-17open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-122026-06-12open ↗144Filing2026-06-12open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-202026-05-21open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-05-15open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-05-14open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-05-12open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-072026-05-08open ↗10-QPeriod ending 2026-03-312026-05-08open ↗S-3ASRFiling2026-05-07open ↗

Quality score

C+
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueF
GrowthC
ProfitabilityC-
Financial healthA-
MomentumA+
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✗P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$10.29

Overvalued -96% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $0.55 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 8.9% growth) × 0.85 quality = 18.7× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

125.0852-week232.33
Revenue
$1.11B
+41.5% YoY
Net margin
1.1%
ROE
0.8%
P/E
422.4

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$1.11B+41.5%
Net income$11.7M-23.6%
Operating income$89.6M+52.5%
Diluted EPS$0.55-35.3%
Cash & equivalents$69.4M+135.1%
Total assets$2.03B+16.4%
Total liabilities$590M-21.8%
Stockholders' equity$1.44B+45.6%
Op.: 8.1%L/E: 0.41x

Frequently asked

Is VSE CORP (VSEC) a buy?
VSEC currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Pure-play aviation aftermarket roll-up with 41% revenue growth, but GAAP earnings are tiny and the stock trades at ~400x.
What is VSEC's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on VSEC's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $10.29. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is VSEC overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, VSEC currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is VSE CORP's quality score?
VSEC scores 62.59185434598403/100 (grade C+) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000102752, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-08) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 9:00:43 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 5:00 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC

Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 1 sale

2026-06-30
Thomas Benjamin E.
Chief Operating Officer
Award69.00 @ $159.56$11.0K
2026-06-15
EBERHART RALPH E
Director
Award60.00 @ $198.55$11.9K
2026-06-15
FERGUSON III MARK E
Director
Award133.00 @ $198.55$26.4K
2026-06-12
Thomas Benjamin E.
Chief Operating Officer
Sell6.50K @ $196.82$1.28M
2026-05-20
FERGUSON III MARK E
Director
Gift136.00
2026-05-20
FERGUSON III MARK E
Director
Gift136.00
2026-03-16
EBERHART RALPH E
Director
Award62.00 @ $194.08$12.0K
2026-03-16
FERGUSON III MARK E
Director
Award136.00 @ $194.08$26.4K
2026-03-10
Thomas Benjamin E.
Chief Operating Officer
Exercise1.31K
2026-03-10
Thomas Benjamin E.
Chief Operating Officer
Award3.64K
2026-03-10
Thomas Benjamin E.
Chief Operating Officer
Tax1.95K @ $216.47$422K

Dividends

Quarterly
Yield (TTM)
0.2%
Annual / share
$0.50
Last ex-date
2026-07-15
Last amount
$0.10
ex 2026-07-15paid 2026-07-29$0.10
ex 2026-04-15paid 2026-04-29$0.10
ex 2026-01-15paid 2026-01-29$0.10
ex 2025-10-15paid 2025-10-29$0.10
ex 2025-07-16paid 2025-07-30$0.10
ex 2025-05-01paid 2025-05-15$0.10

Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-05Beat +27.8% est▲ +5.54%8-K ↗
2026-02-26Beat +27.4% est▲ +3.17%8-K ↗
2026-01-29Beat +27.4% est▲ +5.64%8-K ↗
2025-10-27Beat +15.5% est▼ -1.90%8-K ↗
2025-07-30Beat +33.9% est▼ -0.23%8-K ↗
2025-05-06—▲ +0.82%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1194 tracked peers · median

TENK Score63 vs 67
Revenue growth41.5% vs 7.5%
Net margin1.1% vs 10.0%
Return on equity0.8% vs 12.0%
P/E422.4 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 23d
Bullish
+0.17
vs typical · 32 articles
↑ improving

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.