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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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Home›Stocks›WING
WING logo

WING

Wingstop Inc.

Next earnings Jul 28, 2026 (before open) · consensus $1.06 EPS, $196M rev

Last earnings -1.0% on 2026-04-29

Hold
$177.99
▲ +7.57%
$177.99▼ -46.82%
over 1Y
L $118.66H $375.07
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+7.6%
1W+7.6%
1M+17.9%
3M+17.0%
YTD-30.4%
1Y-46.8%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
B-
Valuation
Undervalued
Filings
Clean
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 37 analysts
Buy

Elite franchise economics and a stunning 60% EPS jump, but domestic same-store sales just turned negative — wait for re-acceleration.

Revenue $697M · FY2025

The read

Middling fundamentals offset by an attractive price (~33% below fair value) — worth a look on the value angle.

Wingstop remains a best-in-class asset-light franchisor: 98% franchised, 3,056 system units (+19.2% YoY), $5.3B system sales (+12.1%), and a $2.0M domestic AUV. The FY2025 P&L looks spectacular on paper — revenue $697M (+11.4%), net income $174M (+60.3%), diluted EPS $6.21 (+67.8%), 25.7% operating margin and 25.0% net margin — but management itself flags that headline net income is inflated versus operating reality: adjusted net income was only $114.5M ($4.08 adj. EPS), well below the GAAP $174M. On the adjusted basis, true earnings growth was a much more pedestrian ~4% ($110.3M → $114.5M), and adjusted EBITDA grew 15.2% to $244M — solid, but nowhere near the 60% GAAP optics.

The critical disclosure in the MD&A is that domestic same-store sales DECLINED 3.3% in FY2025, even as company-owned comps rose 2.6%. For a growth franchise priced at 25x GAAP / ~38x adjusted EPS and 6.1x sales, a negative system SSS print is the single most important data point in the filing — it means the AUV base is starting to compress and future royalty growth must lean harder on unit openings. The 493 net new units and digital mix reaching 73.2% of system sales are the offsets, but unit growth without SSS is a lower-quality compounding story than what investors have been paying for.

Is WING a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Covered call~60d expiry
  • Long 100 shares @ ~177.99
  • Short call 187 @ ~14.94 est
debit $16,305max +$2,395max −$16,304BE 163.05

HOLD means own it, don't chase it — harvesting premium against the position matches the verdict.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$283M$358M$460M$626M$697M
Gross profit—————
Operating income$73.8M$91.9M$113M$166M$179M
Net income$42.7M$52.9M$70.2M$109M$174M
Diluted EPS$1.42$1.77$2.35$3.70$6.21
Net margin15.1%14.8%15.3%17.4%25.0%

10-year statements — income, cash flow, balance sheet & CSV export →

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$5.86B
EV / EBITDA28.7
EV / Sales8.4
EV / FCF55.5
P / FCF45.9
PEG (trailing)0.48
Earnings yield3.6%
FCF yield2.2%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)—
Free cash flow$106M
Total debt$1.21B
Net cash-$1.01B
Altman Z-Score2.71 grey
Piotroski F-Score5/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield4.6%
Dividend yield (est.)0.7%
Shareholder yield5.2%
Shares Δ YoY-4.1%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Recent disclosure tone has been improving.
  1. 8-K Charter / bylaws change2026-05-22

    Annual meeting: bylaw amendment and director/say-on-pay vote results disclosed

  2. 8-K Earnings results2026-04-29

    Q1 2026 results filed; continues post-FY25 reporting cadence

  3. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-04-29

    Q1 2026 results filed; continues post-FY25 reporting cadence

  4. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-04-02

    2026 proxy: director slate, say-on-pay and exec comp disclosures

  5. 8-K Other event2026-03-11

    Other event disclosure with exhibits; no material financial change flagged

  6. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-18

    3,056 units (+19%), system sales $5.3B, but domestic SSS -3.3%; equity deficit -$737M

  7. 10-K Annual report2026-02-18

    3,056 units (+19%), system sales $5.3B, but domestic SSS -3.3%; equity deficit -$737M

  8. 8-K Officer / director change2026-01-13

    Executive officer change announced (departure/appointment) under Item 5.02

  9. 8-K Earnings results2025-11-04

    Q3 2025 quarterly results filed within FY2025 reporting cycle

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4/APeriod ending 2026-05-212026-06-09open ↗4/APeriod ending 2026-05-212026-06-09open ↗4/APeriod ending 2026-05-212026-06-09open ↗4/APeriod ending 2026-05-212026-06-09open ↗4/APeriod ending 2026-05-212026-06-09open ↗4/APeriod ending 2026-05-212026-06-09open ↗4/APeriod ending 2026-05-212026-06-09open ↗4/APeriod ending 2026-05-212026-06-09open ↗4/APeriod ending 2026-05-212026-06-09open ↗144Filing2026-05-29open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-212026-05-26open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-212026-05-26open ↗

Quality score

B-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueC
GrowthA-
ProfitabilityA+
Financial healthF
MomentumD
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✗P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$235.98

Undervalued +33% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $6.21 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 22.0% growth) × 1.05 quality = 38.0× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

118.6652-week375.07
Revenue
$697M
+11.4% YoY
Net margin
25.0%
ROE
—
P/E
28.7

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$697M+11.4%
Net income$174M+60.3%
Operating income$179M+8.3%
Diluted EPS$6.21+67.8%
Cash & equivalents$197M-37.8%
Total assets$693M-3.2%
Total liabilities$1.43B+2.8%
Stockholders' equity-$737M-9.1%
Op.: 25.7%L/E: -1.94x

Frequently asked

Is Wingstop Inc. (WING) a buy?
WING currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Elite franchise economics and a stunning 60% EPS jump, but domestic same-store sales just turned negative — wait for re-acceleration.
What is WING's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on WING's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $235.98. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is WING overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, WING currently appears undervalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is Wingstop Inc.'s quality score?
WING scores 65.447838720961/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001636222, latest 10-Q filed 2026-04-29) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/25/2026, 12:53:08 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 25, 2026, 8:53 AM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-05-21
HISLOP MICHAEL J
Director
Award981.00
2026-05-21
Madati Kilandigalu
Director
Award981.00
2026-05-21
Anand Krishnan
Director
Award981.00
2026-05-21
Lavelle Kate S
Director
Award981.00
2026-05-21
Greco Thomas
Director
Award981.00
2026-05-21
GOEBEL DAVID
Director
Award981.00
2026-05-21
Caine Lynn Crump
Director
Award1.43K
2026-05-21
Smith Ania
Director
Award981.00

Held by tracked funds

Form 13F · SEC · quarterly
Point72 Asset ManagementSteve Cohen720K sh$112M

As of each fund’s latest quarterly 13F — a delayed snapshot, not a live position. All tracked funds →

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-04-29Beat +12.3% est▼ -1.02%8-K ↗
2026-02-18Beat +17.2% est▲ +10.84%8-K ↗
2025-11-04Beat +15.1% est▲ +10.86%8-K ↗
2025-07-30Beat +13.2% est▲ +26.85%8-K ↗
2025-04-30—▲ +14.48%8-K ↗
2025-02-19—▼ -13.40%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Recent news

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Vs tracked universe

compare →

1194 tracked peers · median

TENK Score65 vs 67
Revenue growth11.4% vs 7.5%
Net margin25.0% vs 10.0%
Return on equity— vs 12.0%
P/E28.7 vs 26.2

News sentiment

EODHD · 33d
Bullish
+0.16
vs typical · 55 articles
↑ improving

Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.