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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

EDGAR® is a registered trademark of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. TENK/calls is an independent service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

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Home›Stocks›WMG
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WMG

Warner Music Group Corp.

Next earnings Aug 5, 2026 (before open) · consensus $0.35 EPS, $1.83B rev

Last earnings +2.3% on 2026-05-07

Hold
$28.28
▲ +6.36%
$28.28▲ +6.52%
over 1Y
L $23.52H $34.56
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+6.4%
1W+7.6%
1M-8.2%
3M+8.9%
YTD-6.0%
1Y+6.5%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityTimelineFilings
Rating
Hold
Quality
C+
Valuation
Fair value
Filings
Clean
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
Street · 23 analysts
Buy

Durable music-rights cash machine, but slowing growth, falling earnings and heavy leverage make it a hold, not a buy.

Revenue (FY2025) $6.71B · FY2025

Warner Music is one of the world's three major music companies, monetizing recorded music and publishing through long-lived catalog rights and streaming. The model throws off steady cash: FY2025 revenue rose 4.4% to $6.71B and operating cash flow was $678M, comfortably funding the $383M dividend (up 6.1%) and modest buybacks. Return on equity is a striking 56.4%, reflecting the asset-light, high-return economics of owning music copyrights. Revenue has compounded steadily from $5.30B in FY2021 to $6.71B in FY2025.

The concern is that profitability is moving the wrong way even as revenue grows. Net income fell 16.1% to $365M and operating income dropped 15.7% to $694M, compressing operating margin to 10.3% and net margin to 5.4% — the result of restructuring/transformation costs and amortization the company strips out of its preferred Adjusted OIBDA metric. After several years of flattish-to-declining net income ($551M in FY2022 down to $365M in FY2025), the growth-and-margin story is decelerating, not accelerating.

Is WMG a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Covered call~90d expiry
  • Long 100 shares @ ~28.28
  • Short call 30 @ ~1.39 est
debit $2,689max +$311max −$2,688BE 26.89

HOLD means own it, don't chase it — harvesting premium against the position matches the verdict.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$5.30B$5.92B$6.04B$6.43B$6.71B
Gross profit—————
Operating income$609M$714M$790M$823M$694M
Net income$304M$551M$430M$435M$365M
Diluted EPS—————
Net margin5.7%9.3%7.1%6.8%5.4%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$18.3B
EV / EBITDA17.1
EV / Sales2.7
EV / FCF33.9
P / FCF27.4
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield2.5%
FCF yield3.7%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)11.6%
Free cash flow$539M
Total debt$4.08B
Net cash-$3.54B
Altman Z-Score1.53 distress
Piotroski F-Score4/8

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.1%
Dividend yield (est.)2.6%
Shareholder yield2.7%
Shares Δ YoY+0.8%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Disclosure timeline

SEC · 8-Ks + reports
Routine disclosure cadence — no material red flags in recent filings.
  1. 8-K Earnings results2026-05-07
  2. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-05-07
  3. 8-K Material agreement2026-03-11
  4. 8-K Shareholder vote2026-03-06
  5. 8-K Reg FD disclosure2026-03-03
  6. 10-Q Quarterly report2026-02-09
  7. 8-K Earnings results2026-02-05
  8. 8-K Material agreement2026-02-05
  9. DEF 14A Proxy statement2026-01-20

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
4Period ending 2026-06-022026-06-04open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-022026-06-04open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-022026-06-04open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-022026-06-04open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-022026-06-04open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-022026-06-04open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-212026-05-26open ↗4Period ending 2026-05-122026-05-18open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-05-15open ↗SCHEDULE 13GFiling2026-05-13open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-05-12open ↗10-QPeriod ending 2026-03-312026-05-07open ↗

Quality score

C+
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueB
GrowthF
ProfitabilityB
Financial healthC+
MomentumC
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✗Net margin above 10%
  • ✓Return on equity above 15%
  • ✗Liabilities below 2× equity
23.5252-week34.56
Revenue
$6.71B
+4.4% YoY
Net margin
5.4%
ROE
56.4%
P/E
—

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$6.71B+4.4%
Net income$365M-16.1%
Operating income$694M-15.7%
Cash & equivalents$532M-23.3%
Total assets$9.83B+7.4%
Total liabilities$9.07B+7.0%
Stockholders' equity$647M+24.9%
Op.: 10.3%L/E: 14.02x

Frequently asked

Is Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) a buy?
WMG currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Durable music-rights cash machine, but slowing growth, falling earnings and heavy leverage make it a hold, not a buy.
What is Warner Music Group Corp.'s quality score?
WMG scores 61.030539840083726/100 (grade C+) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001319161, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-07) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:43:41 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:43 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Insider activity

Form 4 · SEC
2026-06-02
Kreiz Ynon
Director
Award38.00
2026-06-02
Hertz Noreena
Director
Award38.00
2026-06-02
Lynton Michael
Director
Award56.00
2026-06-02
Kurzman Cecelia
Director
Award38.00
2026-06-02
Dopfner Mathias
Director
Award38.00
2026-06-02
Dubuc Nancy
Director
Award38.00
2026-05-21
ZERZA ARMIN
COO & CFO
Gift27.5K
2026-05-12
ZERZA ARMIN
COO & CFO
Award209K
2026-05-12
ZERZA ARMIN
COO & CFO
Tax27.1K @ $33.60$909K

Earnings history

beat/miss · move
2026-05-07Beat +25.4% est▲ +17.18%8-K ↗
2026-02-05Miss -9.7% est▼ -5.62%8-K ↗
2025-11-20Miss -37.4% est▲ +1.75%8-K ↗
2025-08-07Miss -110.9% est▲ +6.46%8-K ↗
2025-05-08—▼ -9.25%8-K ↗
2025-02-06—▼ -1.49%8-K ↗

Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1194 tracked peers · median

TENK Score61 vs 67
Revenue growth4.4% vs 7.5%
Net margin5.4% vs 10.0%
Return on equity56.4% vs 12.0%
P/E— vs 26.2