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Research & education only — not financial advice.TENK is not a registered investment adviser; calls are impersonal, generated from SEC filings and a delayed/third-party price feed, and may be wrong or out of date. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates — see Disclosures. Do your own research.

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TTENK/calls
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Home›Stocks›YMM
YMM logo

YMM

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.

Next earnings Aug 19, 2026 · consensus $1.22 EPS, $3.16B rev

Buy
$8.43
▲ +4.33%
$8.43▼ -27.34%
over 1Y
L $7.54H $13.75
Today+4.3%
1W+11.8%
1M-11.4%
3M+3.7%
YTD-24.3%
1Y-27.3%
OverviewFinancialsValuationQualityFilings
Rating
Buy
Quality
B-
Valuation
Overvalued
Buy
Conviction
Horizon
Long (>12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 19 analysts
Buy

Full Truck Alliance is a cash-rich, 35%-margin freight platform compounding profits fast — China/ADR risk is the main offset to a cheap-looking franchise.

Revenue $1.79B · FY2025

The read

The fundamentals carry the rating, but the price is rich (~86% above our fair-value estimate) — a quality-at-a-price call. The case rests on the business, not the entry; patient buyers may wait for a pullback.

Full Truck Alliance operates China's leading digital freight-matching platform, connecting truckers and shippers — an asset-light, network-effect marketplace whose economics are now showing through powerfully. FY2025 revenue grew 16.0% to $1.79B while operating income jumped 74.9% to $593M and net income rose 49.0% to $638M, extending a remarkable swing from a -$573M loss in FY2021 to four straight years of rising profit. Margins are exceptional for any business — 33.2% operating and 35.7% net — reflecting the scalability of a take-rate marketplace once liquidity is established.

The balance sheet is pristine. Liabilities/equity is just 0.08x, the company holds $867M of cash against minimal debt, and operating cash flow grew 62.6% to $662M on trivial capex of $18.5M — a true capital-light cash machine. Management has begun returning capital, with dividends up 39.8% to $204M and modest buybacks. ROE is a more modest 11.0% because the equity base is inflated by a large cash and equity cushion (equity of $5.79B), and retained earnings remain at -$1.00B from the early-stage losses, but the trajectory is unambiguously improving.

Is YMM a buy? The one-page verdict, explained →

The options angle

model · matches our verdict
Bull call spread~90d expiry
  • Long call 8.5 @ ~0.79 est
  • Short call 9.5 @ ~0.43 est
debit $36max +$64max −$36BE 8.86

BUY verdict with defined risk: the short call finances part of the long one; max loss is the net debit.

Open in the calculator →

Educational template, not a trade recommendation. Strikes and premiums are Black-Scholes model estimates from the last close and 30-day realized volatility — real chains, spreads and IV will differ. Options involve substantial risk.

Financials · annual, by fiscal year

Line itemFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25
Revenue$731M$976M$1.19B$1.54B$1.79B
Gross profit—————
Operating income-$596M-$23.5M$140M$339M$593M
Net income-$573M$59.7M$314M$428M$638M
Diluted EPS—$0.00$0.01$0.02$0.03
Net margin-78.5%6.1%26.4%27.8%35.7%

Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.

Key statistics

Valuation

Enterprise value$7.95B
EV / EBITDA13.1
EV / Sales4.5
EV / FCF12.4
P / FCF13.7
PEG (trailing)5.73
Earnings yield7.2%
FCF yield7.3%

Quality & risk

ROIC (est.)8.1%
Free cash flow$643M
Total debt—
Net cash$867M
Altman Z-Score13.04 safe
Piotroski F-Score5/7

Capital returns

Buyback yield0.1%
Dividend yield (est.)2.3%
Shareholder yield2.4%
Shares Δ YoY+0.1%

Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.

Recent filings

all on EDGAR ↗
144Filing2026-05-21open ↗6-KPeriod ending 2026-05-212026-05-21open ↗SCHEDULE 13G/AFiling2026-05-13open ↗20-FPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-04-14open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗3Period ending 2026-03-182026-03-18open ↗

Quality score

B-
ValueGrowthProfitHealthMom.
ValueF
GrowthA
ProfitabilityA
Financial healthA
MomentumF
  • ✓Revenue growing year-over-year
  • ✓Profitable (positive net income)
  • ✓Net margin above 10%
  • ✗Return on equity above 15%
  • ✓Liabilities below 2× equity
  • ✗P/E below 25

Fair value est.

$1.14

Overvalued -86% vs price

cheapfair valueexpensive

Modified Graham: EPS $0.03 × (8.5 + 1.5 × 22.0% growth) × 1.05 quality = 38.0× multiple. An estimate, not a price target.

7.5452-week13.75
Revenue
$1.79B
+16.0% YoY
Net margin
35.7%
ROE
11.0%
P/E
281.0

SEC fundamentals · FY 2025

'21'22'23'24'25

■ revenue · ■ net income, by fiscal year

Revenue$1.79B+16.0%
Net income$638M+49.0%
Operating income$593M+74.9%
Diluted EPS$0.03+50.0%
Cash & equivalents$867M+9.0%
Total assets$6.34B+12.1%
Total liabilities$436M+1.0%
Stockholders' equity$5.79B+12.2%
Op.: 33.2%L/E: 0.08x

Frequently asked

Is Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. (YMM) a buy?
YMM currently carries a Buy rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Full Truck Alliance is a cash-rich, 35%-margin freight platform compounding profits fast — China/ADR risk is the main offset to a cheap-looking franchise.
What is YMM's fair value?
A Modified-Graham model based on YMM's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $1.14. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
Is YMM overvalued or undervalued?
Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, YMM currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
What is Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.'s quality score?
YMM scores 68.20385677268837/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.

Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001838413, latest 144 filed 2026-05-21) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:53:30 PM.

›About this recommendation — produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg · not investment advice

AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.

Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:53 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.

Research and education only — not financial advice. TENKis not a registered investment adviser or broker-dealer and gives no personalized advice. Every call is impersonal — identical for all users, generated on a schedule from SEC filings plus a delayed/third-party price feed — may be wrong or out of date, and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. The operator and an affiliated trading operation may hold or trade the securities TENK rates; see Disclosures. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research.

Vs tracked universe

compare →

1195 tracked peers · median

TENK Score68 vs 67
Revenue growth16.0% vs 7.5%
Net margin35.7% vs 10.0%
Return on equity11.0% vs 12.0%
P/E281.0 vs 26.2