BALL
BALL Corp
Next earnings Aug 3, 2026 · consensus $1.00 EPS, $3.77B rev
Last earnings -6.3% on 2026-05-05
$63.39
▲ +2.21%$63.39▲ +14.03%
over 1Y
L $45.92H $67.31
Earnings Dividend Split Congress buy Congress sellGrouped by date · hover a pin to expand
Today+2.2%
1W+3.3%
1M+17.9%
3M+6.1%
YTD+19.6%
1Y+14.0%
Hold
Conviction
Horizon
Medium (3–12mo)
12-mo target
$•••
Street · 22 analysts
Buy
Aluminum-can leader with rebounding volumes (+11.6%) but $7.01B debt and thin margins keep it a steady hold, not a buy.
Revenue $13.2B · FY2025
The read
Middling fundamentals and a rich price (~60% above fair value) leave little margin of safety — a wait-and-see.
Ball is the global leader in aluminum beverage packaging, and FY2025 shows the core business recovering. Revenue rose 11.6% to $13.2B as can volumes rebounded, operating cash flow surged to $1.26B, and ROE was a healthy 16.9%. The headline 77.2% drop in net income to $915M and 74.6% fall in EPS to $3.30 are optical: FY2024's $4.01B net income was inflated by the one-time gain from divesting the aerospace business, so $915M is the normalized earnings base — and on that base the 17.5x P/E and 1.2x sales multiple are reasonable.
The investment case rests on a defensive, consolidated industry with a sustainability tailwind: aluminum is the most-recycled beverage substrate, and the can continues to take share from glass and plastic. Management is returning substantial capital — $1.32B of buybacks reduced the share count 5.9%, and the company pays a $220M dividend — while keeping capex disciplined at $474M. Cash grew 36.9% to $1.21B.
AI-generated analysis, produced by our proprietary engine from SEC filing data.
Investment recommendation produced by TENK/calls (tenkcalls.com), Luxembourg. Completed Jun 21, 2026, 4:43 PM ET. Ratings & methodology: definitions · All recommendations to date: track record · Conflicts: disclosures. Not investment advice.
Financials · annual, by fiscal year
| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.8B | $13.4B | $12.1B | $11.8B | $13.2B |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | $1.29B | $1.21B | $1.27B | — | — |
| Net income | $878M | $732M | $711M | $4.01B | $915M |
| Diluted EPS | $2.65 | $2.25 | $2.23 | $13.00 | $3.30 |
| Net margin | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 34.0% | 7.0% |
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Key statistics
Valuation
Enterprise value$22.0B
EV / EBITDA11.6
EV / Sales1.7
EV / FCF27.9
P / FCF21.4
PEG (trailing)—
Earnings yield5.4%
FCF yield4.7%
Quality & risk
ROIC (est.)8.6%
Free cash flow$788M
Total debt$6.34B
Net cash-$5.13B
Altman Z-Score2.52 grey
Piotroski F-Score7/9
Capital returns
Buyback yield7.8%
Dividend yield (est.)1.3%
Shareholder yield9.1%
Shares Δ YoY-5.9%
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Disclosure timeline
SEC · 8-Ks + reportsSome governance/structural items recently, but no outright red flags.
Recent filings
all on EDGAR ↗4Period ending 2026-06-152026-06-17open ↗4Period ending 2026-06-152026-06-17open ↗11-KPeriod ending 2025-12-312026-06-15open ↗10-QPeriod ending 2026-03-312026-05-05open ↗8-KPeriod ending 2026-05-052026-05-05open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-292026-05-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-292026-05-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-292026-05-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-292026-05-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-292026-05-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-292026-05-01open ↗4Period ending 2026-04-292026-05-01open ↗
Frequently asked
- Is BALL Corp (BALL) a buy?
- BALL currently carries a Hold rating with 3/5 conviction, derived from its latest SEC filings. Aluminum-can leader with rebounding volumes (+11.6%) but $7.01B debt and thin margins keep it a steady hold, not a buy.
- What is BALL's fair value?
- A Modified-Graham model based on BALL's SEC fundamentals estimates a fair value of about $25.25. It is an estimate from reported earnings, not a price target.
- Is BALL overvalued or undervalued?
- Against a Modified-Graham fair-value estimate, BALL currently appears overvalued relative to its SEC-grounded earnings power.
- What is BALL Corp's quality score?
- BALL scores 67.00703998340816/100 (grade B-) on a SEC-grounded quality model spanning value, growth, profitability, financial health and momentum.
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000009389, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-05) · EODHD · Proprietary analysis · as of 6/21/2026, 8:43:50 PM.
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